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m******o
发帖数: 542
1
China has submitted to the UN a detailed explanation of its claims to a
disputed area of the East China Sea.
It argues that certain geological features prove its territory extends out
to a group of islands near Japan.
A UN commission of geological experts will examine China's submission but
does not have the authority to resolve conflicting claims.
Beijing and Tokyo have long laid claim to the islands, known as Senkaku in
Japan and Diaoyu in China.
Tensions flared up again in September after the... 阅读全帖
m**e
发帖数: 857
2
http://www.scmp.com/news/china/article/1135852/japan-envoy-meet
南华早报
联合国将于今年夏季在纽约举行会议,讨论中国有关钓鱼台主权的主张。中国向联合国
大陆礁层界限委员会(U.N.Commission on the Limits of the Continental Shelf)提
出的申请表示,钓鱼台在中国大陆向东海伸出的大陆棚上,是中国大陆棚的一部分。
该委员会定于7月15日到8月30日在纽约开会,有关中国钓鱼台的主张已排入议程。
根据联合国海洋公约,如果一个国家能证明大陆棚是该国陆地的自然延伸,这个国家就
有权主张200浬经济区。该委员会得以根据科学证据,评估中国的主张;但任何主权的
争议得透过有争议的国家来解决,该委员会没有解决争议的权力。
中国说,「钓鱼台开发区」是中国东海大陆棚和中琉界沟(琉球海槽,Okinawa Trough)
之间的群岛,「中琉界沟是东海大陆棚的天然终点」。中国向该委员会表示,有关中国
大陆棚的界限,中国政府仍在和其他国家谈判。
联合国大陆礁层界限委员会将中国申请书的摘要公布在该委员会的网站... 阅读全帖
m**e
发帖数: 857
3
http://www.scmp.com/news/china/article/1135852/japan-envoy-meet
南华早报
中共总书记习近平25日在北京人民大会堂会见了来访的日本公明党党首山口那津男,并
接受了安倍的亲笔信。
联合国将于今年夏季在纽约举行会议,讨论中国有关钓鱼台主权的主张。中国向联合国
大陆礁层界限委员会(U.N.Commission on the Limits of the Continental Shelf)提
出的申请表示,钓鱼台在中国大陆向东海伸出的大陆棚上,是中国大陆棚的一部分。
该委员会定于7月15日到8月30日在纽约开会,有关中国钓鱼台的主张已排入议程。
根据联合国海洋公约,如果一个国家能证明大陆棚是该国陆地的自然延伸,这个国家就
有权主张200浬经济区。该委员会得以根据科学证据,评估中国的主张;但任何主权的
争议得透过有争议的国家来解决,该委员会没有解决争议的权力。
中国说,「钓鱼台开发区」是中国东海大陆棚和中琉界沟(琉球海槽,Okinawa Trough)
之间的群岛,「中琉界沟是东海大陆棚的天然终点」。中国向该委员会表示,有关中国
大陆... 阅读全帖
P*******s
发帖数: 254
4
The following is provided as a strict set of guidelines which must be
adhered to for all males to ensure they follow the correct procedure when
using public toilets.
There is an etiquette which, until now, has been an unwritten rule that most
men follow, although some seem determined to breach.
Females may read on out of curiosity, although the procedures do not apply
to women's restrooms for they are an alien place with tiny, confusing bins
and queues which baffle even the greatest male scienti... 阅读全帖
w********9
发帖数: 8613
5
来自主题: Military版 - 惊讶于德国人的英语能力
这是Shorter Oxford American English Dictionary第五版列出的与德语或者日耳曼语
相关的英语词根或词汇。
-at, suffix2. + -dom, suffix. + -ed, suffix1. + -ed, suffix2. + -en, suffix1
+ -en, suffix2 + -en, suffix5 + -en, suffix6 + -er, suffix1. + -er, suffix3
. + -er, suffix5. + -est, suffix1. + -est, suffix2. + -et, suffix2. + -eth,
suffix1. + -hood, suffix. + -ing, suffix1. + -ing, suffix3. + -ish, suffix1.
+ -kin, suffix. + -le, suffix1 + -le, suffix3 + -less, suffix. + -ling,
suffix1. + -ling, suffix2 + -ly, suffix1. + -ly, s... 阅读全帖
n**s
发帖数: 2230
6
来自主题: Military版 - 加拿大的优势不可复制
http://www.nytimes.com/2013/08/22/us/politics/us-median-income-
Although median annual household income rose to $52,100 in June, from its
recent inflation-adjusted trough of $50,700 in August 2011, it remained $2,
400 lower — a 4.4 percent decline — than in June 2009, when the recession
ended.
The US Median Household Income Declined in these years. But It increases in
Canada. That's why we should compare the data in 2013.
m********5
发帖数: 17667
7
They yellow plight has destroy just about every continent from African, to
the Mediterranean, they even have a deep water port in the Grand Bahamas,
they own and run the panama canal and the yellow horde now out-number the
Panamanians, And then there's Cuba / where the rat in chief has personally
decided to further the communist foot/hold, we all seem to have forgotten
the thousands that have left that hell hole...And should never forget why
the situation in Cuba started (missiles at out front d... 阅读全帖
m********5
发帖数: 17667
8
在非洲和南美输出污染和贫困,受到全世界一致谴责。中国人现在就是过街老鼠人人喊
打。
The Chinese are wonderful on the environment. They have even managed to
change the color of the sky over the mainland. You can often see sunspots
without damaging your eyes.
China does not have a good record when it comes to protecting the
environment, that lake is the main source of fresh water to country, so good
luck!!
Good luck. I think that the Chinese will wish they had stayed home before
this project is finished.
Nicaraguans better be aware that m... 阅读全帖
w*********g
发帖数: 30882
9

我看习core走的是相反的路线。
你看看陈光标、徐昕在美国的所作所为就能明白一二。我觉得这些活动背后的目的是在
煽动红脖闹革命。哈哈
China and the Jews
Posted by Lasha Darkmoon on December 10, 2014
Are the Jews trying to take over China? If so, how come the Chinese are now
studying Jewish texts looking for hot tips on how to take over America?
Part 1 : On Domination Games
A new article by Kevin MacDonald on China is well worth reading. The article
be1gins with these words: “Tablet [magazine] has an article reflecting
Jewish angst over the possibility that th... 阅读全帖
h******t
发帖数: 872
10
来自主题: Military版 - 中国人与犹太 ZT
中国人与犹太人的较量
http://bbs.wenxuecity.com/currentevent/685434.html
China and the Jews
Posted by Lasha Darkmoon on December 10, 2014
Are the Jews trying to take over China? If so, how come the Chinese are now
studying Jewish texts looking for hot tips on how to take over America?
Part 1 : On Domination Games
A new article by Kevin MacDonald on China is well worth reading. The article
be1gins with these words: “Tablet [magazine] has an article reflecting
Jewish angst over the possibility that the Chin... 阅读全帖
v**e
发帖数: 8422
11
厄玛已致9死 所经海岛完全摧毁 路径诡异难预测(图)
飓风艾尔玛星期三继续在加勒比岛屿肆虐,当地出现危及到生命的五级风暴和洪水。目
前已经造成9人死亡。
美国国家飓风中心说,气象预报人员说,“极度危险的风暴中心”星期三经过圣马丁和
安圭拉、持续风力每小时高达185英里(295公里)。
法国政府说,在圣马丁岛的四座“最坚固”的建筑物被飓风摧毁。法国内务部长说,“
这意味着更多的当地建筑物可能已经不彻底或者部分摧毁。”
安圭拉政府说,岛上正在经历极端强风和特大暴雨。
新闻报道说,加勒比海岛Barbuda被“完全毁坏”,该国总理说,90%的住房垮塌。经济
损失达1.5亿美元。岛上的通讯系统被100%破坏。
气象预报说, “极其危险的风暴中心”也将经过维尔京群岛北部的部分地区。艾尔玛
飓风星期三夜间将波多黎各附近,并在星期四扫过多米尼加共和国海岸。
波多黎各总督敦促当地340万人到全境各地的460个飓风避难中心去,并且命令当地国民
卫队和警察开始撤离洪水危险地区的居民。截至星期三晚上,飓风中心没有直接经过波
多黎各,但是风暴依然造成80万人停电。
艾尔玛飓风星期三以每小时26公里的速度向西和西... 阅读全帖
v**e
发帖数: 8422
12
厄玛已致9死 所经海岛完全摧毁 路径诡异难预测(图)
飓风艾尔玛星期三继续在加勒比岛屿肆虐,当地出现危及到生命的五级风暴和洪水。目
前已经造成9人死亡。
美国国家飓风中心说,气象预报人员说,“极度危险的风暴中心”星期三经过圣马丁和
安圭拉、持续风力每小时高达185英里(295公里)。
法国政府说,在圣马丁岛的四座“最坚固”的建筑物被飓风摧毁。法国内务部长说,“
这意味着更多的当地建筑物可能已经不彻底或者部分摧毁。”
安圭拉政府说,岛上正在经历极端强风和特大暴雨。
新闻报道说,加勒比海岛Barbuda被“完全毁坏”,该国总理说,90%的住房垮塌。经济
损失达1.5亿美元。岛上的通讯系统被100%破坏。
气象预报说, “极其危险的风暴中心”也将经过维尔京群岛北部的部分地区。艾尔玛
飓风星期三夜间将波多黎各附近,并在星期四扫过多米尼加共和国海岸。
波多黎各总督敦促当地340万人到全境各地的460个飓风避难中心去,并且命令当地国民
卫队和警察开始撤离洪水危险地区的居民。截至星期三晚上,飓风中心没有直接经过波
多黎各,但是风暴依然造成80万人停电。
艾尔玛飓风星期三以每小时26公里的速度向西和西... 阅读全帖

发帖数: 1
13
来自主题: Military版 - 这是暖教的遭到老天的无情讥讽
我忽悠?我虽然不是专门研究这个的,但是还是懂一点。
arctic sea ice decline导致温度梯度降低,jet stream变弱,纵向风变多,ridge &
trough变多,极端气候变化更多,这个是公认的,只不过现在气候预测模型还不好模拟
这种短期的具有随机性的天气事件

发帖数: 1
14
来自主题: Military版 - 数据说话:长江水深
Naval History and Heritage Command
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South Dakota I (Armored Cruiser No. 9)
1902... 阅读全帖
x******g
发帖数: 33885
15
尼玛,真是笑死了 - 老美里还是有很多明白人的
The recent evenements revealed to Huawei that they have to be independant of
the US manufacturers....as soon as possible.
The ban on Huawei is one of the baddest decision of the White House.
Trump is the cuck of the entire world. I'm starting to think he must enjoy
this little psychodrama of talking tough and then backing down.
The US has lost a lot of respect since that fat degenerate was elected. I
guess that was the goal all along ("Russia, if you're listening")
Thi... 阅读全帖
L*********s
发帖数: 3063
16
来自主题: Military版 - 转一篇知乎上的文章[中英文版]
This is the article I wrote yesterday, first posted Chinese.
是啊,中国共产党是一个邪教。
在70多年前,中国处于长期半分裂状态,美英法德俄意日等在中国都有区域代理人。中
华民国中央政府受制于不与国家配合的地方军阀,国家连铁路在地方省份上的口径都无
法统一时,中国孱弱无力。我们作为一个延续了几千年的政治实体,却被西方看作是下
等人,愚昧的低级动物时,是中国共产党,通过内战结束中国的这个状态。
所以,在除台湾外的基本的国家统一下,中共有了它的第一个原罪:中央集权。
在60多年前,除了中国仅承认的西方殖民地香港和澳门,两个不属于中华人民共和国的
城市土地外,中共驱逐了所有的境外资本势力、特工与军队。在1956年。中国共产党迫
使自己的老师,苏联共产党,从中国辽宁省大连市的旅顺特别区撤军的时候,不惜与全
世界两大霸权国家美国和苏联同时交恶,被全世界进行经济封锁,中共才终于结束了作
为列强的傀儡而存在。无论是西方还是苏联。在苏联的长波电台和联合舰队倡议被中共
拒绝后,中苏彻底交恶,紧接着就是中共备受诟病的三年困难时期饿死成百上千万人。... 阅读全帖

发帖数: 1
17
璁茶鏇村ソ鐨勫姙娉曪紝澶у涔熸參鎱㈣浜嗛渶瑕併
璐翠釜鑰佺編瀵逛綘閭f湰涔︾殑璇勪环
In details Moss digs outs the facts about the laetrile researches which the
medical cartel tried to hide.
Concerning the laetrile used by persons, it鈥檚 interesting on the side 178,
of the 5 lines told to Moss in 1976, by an American patient in Tijuana
Clinic, to read these words: 鈥淲hen I came here I had a pain that was like
鈥︹and now, a week later, it鈥檚 gone鈥 But else we during the book
only are going trough looking on all of the good and bad laetrile m... 阅读全帖
W**********r
发帖数: 8927
18
http://www.marketwatch.com/news/story/jp-morgans-wamu-deal-sparks/story.aspx?guid={AEDF6391-5116-4CD7-88E4-ADAB31A67EF6}&dist=msr_1
In a presentation on its WaMu acquisition, J.P. Morgan forecast a 58% peak-
to-trough slump in California home prices if the U.S. enters a severe
recession. In Florida, house prices could fall 64% in such a scenario, while
nationwide prices could drop 37%, the bank said.
J.P. Morgan also immediately wrote down the value of WaMu's assets by more
than $30 billion, mai
D******e
发帖数: 1085
19
来自主题: USANews版 - 房价还要继续下跌的三大理由
california crashed around 89. And in 93, the price started to firm and
steadily went up. Then, in 03-06, it did a spike up. Prices started to
fall in 07. It has been 3 yrs. More or less, the price reset is over. Yes
, it can go down 20%. But it could go up 20% too. You cant time it. At
the peak, the risk is high, whereas at the trough, its low.
When mortgage is $5000, mortgage rate goes from 6 to 7.5% (20% increase),
you will need 9000 more a year. When mortgage is $2500 (low home pri
l****z
发帖数: 29846
20
By Paula Dierkins
The ongoing public employees' union protests in Wisconsin against the (minor
) cut in benefits witnesses these protestors comparing their struggle to
those of the popular, spontaneous public uprising raging all over the Middle
East. Such a claim however is ludicrous and laughable. The public in the
Middle Eastern countries is revolting against government tyranny. On the
contrary, if the demands of the Wisconsin protestors are heeded, it would
result in high taxes and therefo... 阅读全帖
l****z
发帖数: 29846
21
Tuesday, June 14, 2011
By Matt Cover
(CNSNews.com) – Twenty-eight months after Congress passed President Obama’
s signature economic stimulus law, and nearly one year after he declared the
summer of 2010 to be “Recovery Summer,” 1.9 million fewer people are
employed.
In February 2009, the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reported that 141.7
million people were employed. By the end of May 2011 – the last month for
which data are available – that number had fallen to 139.8 million, a
difference of... 阅读全帖
l****z
发帖数: 29846
22
来自主题: USANews版 - Navy buys biofuel for $16 a gallon
The Obama Navy Illustrates Why America Is Sinking: PC Navy Buying Biofuel At
$16 A Gallon
In Obama’s God damn America we do truly breathtakingly stupid things and
then keep doing them until we collapse. And then of course we can also add
a healthy mixture of Obama’s crony capitalist fascism:
Navy buys biofuel for $16 a gallon
posted at 7:00 pm on December 11, 2011 by J.E. Dyer
This is going to help the Defense Department weather looming budget cuts
, for sure. Teaming up with the De... 阅读全帖
l****z
发帖数: 29846
23
来自主题: USANews版 - But, I have a vagina
March 5, 2012 | Posted by Baron Von Ottomatic
I have a vagina, and I insist someone pay to maintain it. You’ve come a
long way, baby. I remember when you could bring home the bacon, fry it up
in a pan, and never – never – let me forget I’m a man. A woman needs a
man like a fish needs a bicycle. You’re gonna make it after all!
It turns out a woman needs a man like a fish needs a taxpayer to subsidize
its spawning. Who knew being born with a vagina entitles you to a lifetime
of free vagina ... 阅读全帖
l****z
发帖数: 29846
24
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/worlds-largest-solar-plant-21-bil
World's Largest Solar Plant, With Second Largest Ever Department of Energy
Loan Guarantee, Files For Bankruptcy
Tyler Durden's picture
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 04/02/2012 20:14 -0400
Solyndra was just the appetizer. Earlier today, in what will come as a
surprise only to members of the administration, the company which proudly
held the rights to the world's largest solar power project, the hilariously
named Solar Trust of America... 阅读全帖
o******y
发帖数: 233
25
西门子纯属自找。
trough技术美国60/70年代就建站运行了,稳定运行到现在,建在美西的6,7个光热电
站到今天运营还是不错的,都属于DOE/FPL旗下的电站。但是刨除国家补助这种技术能
不能挣钱,都40/50年了还看不出来么。
如果不是西门子当时傻了,就是故意给中国购买作中介然后趁机配合推销光热电站必须
用的gas turbine等各种配套东西。
k****g
发帖数: 1509
26
来自主题: USANews版 - zz: FYI
I decided to support Barack Obama pretty early in the Democratic primary,
around spring of 2007. But unlike so many of his supporters, I never
experienced a kind of emotional response to his candidacy. I never felt his
election would change everything about American politics or government, that
it would lead us out of the darkness. Nothing Obama did or said ever made
me well up with tears.
Possibly for that same reason, I have never felt even a bit of the crushing
sense of disappointment that at... 阅读全帖
l****z
发帖数: 29846
27
By James Delingpole Environment Last updated: September 25th, 2013
On Friday the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change delivers its latest
verdict on the state of man-made global warming. Though the details are a
secret, one thing is clear: the version of events you will see and hear in
much of the media, especially from partis pris organisations like the BBC,
will be the opposite of what the IPCC’s Fifth Assessment Report actually
says.
Already we have had a taste of the nonsense to come: a... 阅读全帖
l****z
发帖数: 29846
28
The Bundy Family and Armed Resistance to ‘Government Land Grabs’: Know the
Facts
by Brandon Darby and Logan Churchwell3 Jan 20166,504
Ammon Bundy, son of infamous Nevada rancher Cliven Bundy, is leading an
armed effort to occupy a headquarters building located in a federal wildlife
preserve near Burns, Oregon, as a reaction to a local criminal case between
ranchers and public land officials beginning in 2001.
What started as a community protest–over the extended sentencing of father
and son ranc... 阅读全帖
b********n
发帖数: 38600
29
来自主题: USANews版 - 机器人升级了:床铺是con artist
"Rubio has never had a job in his life. He's one of the Republican weasels
who whine about government but spend their life being in a state legislature
or Congress being paid with our tax dollars. He's like Ryan, another weasel
who has lived his life at the government trough.
If we have to hear one more time that Rubio's mother was a maid -- seriously
-- who cares? We aren't voting for his mother. Instead he's expecting
people to vote for him -- a guy who can't manage his own finances, has a
sug... 阅读全帖
c***n
发帖数: 1034
30
里根经济在当时还不错的原因
如果从1980年与1988年的数据看,比如失业率、经济增长率,1988年都比1980年好一些
。那么原因是什么呢?
很简单:透支未来。
里根给富人减税以讨好富人获得富人支持,同时增加联邦政府支出来创造就业。国
债八年间从997billion增加到2850billion。通过增加联邦政府支出来创造就业不是新
鲜事,New Deal是经典。Bernie 的Rebuild America Act也是这个思路。但是政府赤字
飙升的运营方式谁都知道是不可能长期持续的,透支未来后人是要被迫买单的。
另外一个有利于里根的,是当时还没有NAFTA、CAFTA、PNTR with China。投资和消
费都主要在美国国内与欧洲发生。相对平均的收入状况使得制造业没有大量转移。所以
里根经济得以维持并取得一定成绩。
但是后人必然要为里根埋下的贫富差距买单,要为其赤字买单。滴水经济水是根本
滴不下来的,现在的状况就是:给富人减税,他们就用这笔钱去华尔街投机,去海外制
造,榨取世界廉价劳动力的血汗,同时把本国的劳动者推向贫穷,迫使他们接受更低的
工资。在这个race... 阅读全帖
g********2
发帖数: 6571
31
Clinton destroyed Barack Obama in front of his Democratic audience!
Via American Mirror:
“If you saw that (Commander in Chief forum), she’s the only person
that has the standing and the understanding to keep us safe and give us the
space we need to grow our way out of the long trough we’ve been in since
the financial crash, and if we do it, we can take the rest of the world with
us. You know, you didn’t have a lot of this craziness when I was president
because people felt good.
After 8 y... 阅读全帖

发帖数: 1
32
来自主题: USANews版 - 这篇文章太犀利了
What Trump has in common with the Brexit vote
We live in a corrupt country. We thought America was different from a Banana
Republic, but we were naïve. We were wrong.
How do I know? Look no further than the panic among the media, establishment
and political elite class about the possibility of Donald Trump taking
power.
Everyone in power is scared and desperate to stop Trump. They’ll do
anything and say anything to stop him from winning the White House.
This presidential election looks like... 阅读全帖
s***v
发帖数: 4924
33
来自主题: USANews版 - 星巴克的杯子总是spill
starbucks有stopper,一般就在柜台旁边的一个杯子里,随便拿,drive trough的话,
跟人家要一个就行。
s******c
发帖数: 2261
34
来自主题: Automobile版 - 这是骗子吗?
两个月前车撞了,当时要回国就拖回apartment没管,准备回来再修。刚回来发现车被
leasing office认为影响美观拖走了,要付拖车费和每天20存车费才还我。砍价付了拖
车费把车赎回来修,结果mechenic说车前frame变形,压住右轮子alignment。修frame
大概要2000,车撞之前也只值3000了,他劝我还不如再买一个二手的。于是350卖给
junkyard,早知道当初不赎回来了。
准备上local craigslist买个便宜的用用,发现3000刀左右的mileage几乎都上100k。
找到两个mileage不高而且价格比kbb低不少的,赶紧联系了一下,都只有email,而且两
个都说车在别的州,听起来很不靠谱。而且理由都很象,一个死了丈夫一个要去阿富汗
,一个用google check一个用ebay.都反复要名字地址要把车给我运过来。都拼命发车
照片,有一个还发了CARFAX。不知道是不是骗子阿,有木有人有类似经验?
原文在下面,有兴趣的看一看吧。
1.Hello,
First of all the car is in Omaha, NE and I wa... 阅读全帖
o******o
发帖数: 185
35
It is very tight schedule. Despite you can go trough the immegration very
quick, you still have to change terminal (by train!) and re-enter the
security area. That takes time. I will recommend you book a later flight to
prevent the hassle.
★ Sent from iPhone App: iReader Mitbbs Lite 7.39
s*******o
发帖数: 395
36
来自主题: ChinaStock版 - 今天关注002008
我看了你的图,那个12.7是下一个箱体的箱顶才对啊。
只是下一个箱体的箱底还没有确认,要等待止跌回抽确认。
你看一下之前的箱底在逐步提高,如果趋势不便,说明下一个箱底也要提高,大概到12
块上下。
另外,XT指标用的peak 和 trough 都调用了未来数据函数,不能单独使用,要结合KDJ
布林线 判断 才有效
g*****u
发帖数: 14294
37
来自主题: ChinaStock版 - 海通的图
MACD, RSI, High Low, Peak, Trough.
y***r
发帖数: 16594
38
来自主题: ebiz版 - 怎么回复这个?
我英文不好,不敢给病人打电话,怎么办?
Dear Seller:
I am writing you because I have not received the above-referenced camera I
bought from you trough E-bay. I have the tracking number:
9101128882300604921755 and USPS website shows the package as delivered
already. However, I did not get. USPS suggests I contact you for you to
track it yourself or file a claim with them.
I will appreciate it if you can provide me with your phone number so that I
can contact you.
a*****y
发帖数: 33185
39
来自主题: Faculty版 - Reform the PhD system or close it down
If you find something abusive or inappropriate or which does not otherwise
comply with our Terms or Community Guidelines, please select the relevant '
Report this comment' link.
Comments on this thread are vetted after posting.
#20273
Indeed, there are many Ph.D. programs that can be closed. The first one on
my list to close would be the Religion program in Columbia university. Why
do we need Ph.D.'s specializing in religion? Leave that area to the rabis
and ministers!
Report this comment2011-04... 阅读全帖
k*****g
发帖数: 311
40
来自主题: FleaMarket版 - [出售]target电子版20%off coupon@$20
target电子版20% off single transaction coupon一张
valid trough Dec 7th.
站内联系。
t***s
发帖数: 163
41
来自主题: Investment版 - 偶的野鸡momentum indicator, 版主mark
偶的野鸡momentum indicator
我纯粹搞点学术讨论,请暂时抛开TA vs FA之争, index investing vs trading之争。
高手请跳过此帖。
股市的短期价格波动实际是牛、熊对短期趋势的分歧,所谓“量价势人,永不可挡”(
-robin语录)。TA分析大盘momentum,有助于分清牛熊力量对比,对于建立trading
algorithm是必不可少的。
Pane 1. S&P500 price candlestick
Pane 2. VIX (volatility)
Pane 3. 偶的野鸡momentum indicator: X轴上方绿色显示为 “牛”, X轴下方红色
显示为 “熊”
Backtest:
1. 1987年崩盘,大熊出洞。
2. dot.com 泡沫,牛牛疯狂
3. 2000年泡沫破裂,熊熊发力
4. 2003年后熊熊冬眠,VIX长期bottom
5. 今年8月,熊熊再次苏醒,VIX new high
观察:
1. “熊” trough = 底
“熊”底尖锐:Fear在市场极快散布,一过心理底线,万马奔腾,很快熊熊无货可卖,
或者继
b*****e
发帖数: 1125
42
来自主题: Investment版 - 我的感觉吧
I am not saying it's statistically significant leading indicator, I am sure
you wont get good results using any test.
My feeling is the peaks and troughs of Chinese mkt is kind of leads US mkt,
maybe in weeks or months.

panic
h*******y
发帖数: 864
43
来自主题: Investment版 - 当前的形势
Great depression didn't end because of war. The high unemployment ended
because of the war. But the GDP by itself grew at a rapid rate before then
and the unemployment did decline (albeit still much higher than the pre-1929
era).
At the business trough in 1933, the unemployment rate stood at 25% (if there
had been a 'U6' version of labor underutilization then, it likely would
have been about 44% vs. 16.8% today). At the same time, the consumption
share of GDP was above 80% in 1933 and the househ
h*******y
发帖数: 864
44
Most people suppose that China's economic success depends on exporting cheap
goods to the rich world. If so, when US consumer weakened since 2009, China
's growth would already have been seriously dented by a stuttering American
economy.
The fact is: if exports are measured correctly, however, they account for a
surprisingly modest share of China's economic growth.
The headline ratio of exports to GDP is very misleading. It compares apples
and oranges: exports are measured as gross revenue while... 阅读全帖
S**C
发帖数: 2964
45
来自主题: Investment版 - Market divergence
If EU can get together which is highly doubtful, I will buy Europe.
Currently I am avoiding Europe although it is relatively cheap. I doubt the
EU crisis has been fully priced in, the best case scenario will be a V-
shaped recovery, but even so it will go through a deep trough, especially EU
are moving toward continent wide austerity direction and they are on the
verge of recession. I suspect the austerity plan will not work, just as we
already find out in Greece and Spain.
EM and Asia are undue... 阅读全帖
a*******8
发帖数: 4534
46
来自主题: Investment版 - 有人在wellsfargo买fund吗?
I can't buy fidelity funds trough wellsfargo right?
r****m
发帖数: 1204
47
来自主题: Investment版 - 请求推荐 dividend 高的 fund/bond/stock?
Indeed, high returns always comes with high risks!
Such highly leveraged REITS could be quite risky, many of them stopped
paying dividends (or went bust) during the trough of the last real estate
boom/bust cycle.
However, if you believe the recent RE boom just started and could last for a
while, they are a good vehicle to ride on.
Not for everyone, though.
r****m
发帖数: 1204
48
来自主题: Investment版 - 请问IUL的trick到底在哪里?
IUL为啥要做dollar cost averaging?
>> 2 reasons:
a) There is 7-pay limitation on IUL, you can't invest a lot one-time.
b) In the long term, index will go up, but in the short term, it has
fluctuations, so you better DCA because nobody knows when is the peak and
when is the trough.
为什么你认为IUL expense too high呢?按照规定,只有最开始八年的admin
fee ,以及放钱的6%,20元的管理费而已。
>> Isn't this enough? Calculate how much the expenses you already
identified will earn you in 30 years, after-tax. You will be surprised how
much it c... 阅读全帖
S**C
发帖数: 2964
49
来自主题: Investment版 - 401K 三十年
I am here to share some data regarding investors behavior and its
consequences, which is a big gap between investor returns and funds returns,
and it can only be explained by investors on aggregate bail out at the
market trough and pile up near the market peak. Too bad.
There are certainly someone with the skill and/or luck, if a retail investor
believe he has that, good luck. I figure it is easier for me to find
someone with the skill in certain area, and I figure smart people won't
suddenly be... 阅读全帖
y***p
发帖数: 34
50
来自主题: JobHunting版 - yingp's job seeking experience (6)
Who to apply, esp. for PhD.
This is special for Engineer PhD or some other PhDs applying
industry jobs.
My suggestions is:
Do not waste time on small companies.
You will definitely find a good position at a good company if you
try hard.
So just find out the fortrun 500/1000 company list,
pick out the ones fit your background, then apply it trough some ways.
If you happened have some chance to apply small companies,
then try them as test.
Just do not waste too much time on them.
They cannot beat
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