e******u
发帖数: 3206 | 1 The Donald J. Trump Referendum
With the party conventions wrapped up, the contours of the final 100 days of
the general election are becoming clearer. The country wants change, which
should help Republicans. But Democrats are confident that Hillary Clinton
will win if they can make the election about Donald Trump, and Mr. Trump
seems happy to oblige.
Democrats revealed in Philadelphia that they’ve decided not to make the
campaign a typical left-right ideological battle. Instead, they will try to... 阅读全帖 |
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g*****g
发帖数: 1067 | 2 各大crooked媒体最多poll一千到两千人，而且专挑民主党poll。甚至foxnews都在捏造
数据，谎称希拉里领先，给trump施加压力。
现在真正公平可信的五万人poll出来了：
trump 67%， hillary 19%。trump会创纪录地席卷50个州
Bonnie Woolfolk Smith This is a repost:
Here is what a Real Poll looks like in America. Please take the Time to Read
.. A Total of 50,000 people Polled in 50 States....
PG Farnsworth We have just completed our own poll since we cannot get
factual information from the mainstream media!! We called 1000 homes in each
of the 50 states and asked basic questions on the ... 阅读全帖 |
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a**t
发帖数: 3833 | 3 【 以下文字转载自 USelection 俱乐部 】
发信人: CalCat (北加猫), 信区: USelection
标 题: Asian-Americans Are Against Trump
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Mon Oct 10 13:21:26 2016, 美东)
Asian-American Voters Are Diverse But Unified Against Donald Trump
By Dhrumil Mehta and Jennifer Kanjana
Filed under 2016 Election
The new National Asian American Survey shows that Asian-American registered
voters are increasingly identifying as Democrats. The Democratic edge over
Republicans has increased by 11 percentage points since 2012, according... 阅读全帖 |
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g*****g
发帖数: 1067 | 4 【 以下文字转载自 USANews 讨论区 】
发信人: ggggggg (星光小妹), 信区: USANews
标 题: 五万人统计！trump 67%， hillary 19%
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Tue Oct 11 02:00:21 2016, 美东)
各大crooked媒体最多poll一千到两千人，而且专挑民主党员poll/
现在真正公平可信的poll出来了：trump 67%， hillary 19%。trump会创纪录地席卷50
个州
Bonnie Woolfolk Smith This is a repost:
Here is what a Real Poll looks like in America. Please take the Time to Read
.. A Total of 50,000 people Polled in 50 States....
PG Farnsworth We have just completed our own poll since we cannot get
factual information from th... 阅读全帖 |
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z****0
发帖数: 3942 | 5 Dear Fellow Asian Ams:
After about 6 hours of discussion and debate, 80-20's
Endorsement
Convention (EC) came to the following conclusion: Endorse Hillary with
reservation. See Press Release. We wished we could advance our goal
of equalopportunitymore during thispresidentialelection
cycle. Nevertheless, Sec. Clinton'sreply to our questionnaire, and
this judicious decision by the EC to reward and punish politicians
appropriatelyshall help. Pleaseforwardthis endorsement
far and wide among yourfrie... 阅读全帖 |
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m**c
发帖数: 7349 | 6 A BBC correspondent says both teams are now concentrating more on getting
their supporters to vote rather than swaying those undecided. |
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t******l
发帖数: 10908 | 11 然后回到那个实数集 R 的 cantor diagonal argument 或者 dedekind cut。。。说到
这里的时候，从香浓信息学的角度，我很想骂那俩是沙比。
我骂人的原因，是实数的最初直观定义是数轴上的点。。。或者说，几何问题里最终能
量个长度的数。。。当然有数学系小姐曾经问过那数列问题咋整？。。。欧几里德说了
，你丫是文科毕业的嘛？所有数学问题都能够表达成几何问题，要不然咋说数学是空间
的艺术涅？
但是香浓给了一个修饰语说，你们说的其实是数轴上携带信息的点。。。也就是该实数
的信息量既不能为零，也不能为无穷大。。。当然这是废话，信息量为零是京片子出租
车司机侃大山。。。信息量无穷大的话，大家都不能回家吃晚饭了，undecidable 这个
实数点在数轴上的哪里。
当然又有傻冒跳出来问，sqrt(2) 这种无限不循环小数难道不是信息量无穷大？。。。
香浓都懒的回答，直接扔下一句 "尼玛" 立马走人不跟猴子说人话。
<待续> |
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t******l
发帖数: 10908 | 12 我不懂 fuzzy logic，但我想你这个 fuzzy 在 [ 0 , 1 ] 上的某一个具体的点，也得
是信息量不为无穷大。也就是用某种方法 measurable，而不至于陷入 undecidable。
。。其本身也不能违反数论。 |
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t******l
发帖数: 10908 | 13 过于严格的统计学，跟过于讲究测度论一样，本质上是理论数学希尔伯特查经班的玄学
。。。对广大实际数学应用屁用没有。。。原因就在于违背香浓信息学的有限信息量要
求，导致信息学上的不可计算 undecidable。 |
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t******l
发帖数: 10908 | 14 或者说，equal probability 完全可以作为公理直接引用。。。因为理论数学上真正的
随机过程，是信息学上面不可能的，因为该随机序列的无限信息量，导致信息学上的不
可计算 undecidable。
所以 beyond equal probability 假设的证明，跟高端测度论一样，本质上就是玄学，
希尔伯特查经班 for its own sake，没有任何哪怕是潜在的工程实用价值。 |
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s***h
发帖数: 487 | 15 不一定是 algebraic real number，但至少是 decidable real number。CS 不解任何
undecidable problem。
当然最好是 computable real number。
: 首先俺要承认俺没去维基你说的究竟是啥。
: 不过搞CS的不会care别的学科洪水滔天。
: 所有可测量/计算的物理过程都是“代数数”这是CS的不成文
公理信条。
: 可以解释为啥量子计算都是物理地在做。
: 真心祝他们成功。和当年和俺吃过饭做AI的辣位一样。
: 整死CS俺也很开心。吃瓜不怕事大。 |
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s***h
发帖数: 487 | 16 研究黑洞内部，就好比商学院系花穿低胸吊带在闺房暧昧，但又不承认超越友谊的关系
。本质上是 undecidable problem。 |
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s***h
发帖数: 487 | 17 数学里面确实有很多问题，从 CS 角度看，本质是 sum of undecidable numbers。
这类问题，CS 不能说 Math 有错，因为是 out of scope of CS 。
: 不是decimal的问题。代数数很多也decimal。
: 因为超越数是不countable的，所以不可以全部在计算机/物理过程中表达
。当然
，可以
: 表达countable无穷个超越数，但对计算/物理任意给定的“一般&
rdquo;的超越数没有
意义。
: 严格一点说，物理过程能够测量的是代数数部分。举例说那个-1/12的拉
马努金
和。而
: 其它部分压根可能就不是已知的数，如R部分。 |
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发帖数: 1 | 18 你的基本概念错得一塌糊涂。
decidable的概念是对集合的。是不是decidable取决于是否有图灵机可以决定一个数是
否属于该集合。
啥叫判定两个数a,b是不是相等？如果是判断两个数相等，引进数集的概念干什么？简
单说，你怎么证明pi是decidable或者undecidable? |
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s***h
发帖数: 487 | 19 因为等号是定义在数集上面的呀 。。。
: 你的基本概念错得一塌糊涂。
: decidable的概念是对集合的。是不是decidable取决于是否有图灵机可以
决定一
个数是
: 否属于该集合。
: 啥叫判定两个数a,b是不是相等？如果是判断两个数相等，引进数集的概
念干什
么？简
: 单说，你怎么证明pi是decidable或者undecidable? |
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g********d
发帖数: 4174 | 21 Posted on Advocate.com February 05, 2011
Survey: 20 Md. Senators for Marriage Equality
By Advocate.com Editors
As the Maryland legislature prepares to consider the marriage equality bill,
20 senators publicly support the measure. The bill needs 24 votes to pass
in the chamber.
According to a Washington Post survey, of the 47 senators, 18 have signed on
as co-sponsors of the bill, and two others support it. Six senators, all
Democrats, are undecided.
The two non-cosponsors in support of the bill ... 阅读全帖 |
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g********d
发帖数: 4174 | 22 http://advocate.com/News/Daily_News/2011/06/13/Crunch_Time_for_
UPDATE: Three previously undecided Democratic state senators will now
support legislation granting marriage rights to same-sex couples, multiple
sources confirmed to The Advocate Monday afternoon.
The support from senators Joseph P. Addabbo Jr., Carl Kruger, and Shirley L.
Huntley was first reported by the New York Times.
The three state senators had voted against a gay marriage bill that failed
by a 38-24 vote in 2009.
“We commend ... 阅读全帖 |
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m******1
发帖数: 19713 | 23 Catholic Conference: Marriage Equality Bill Against Religious Liberty
By Julie Bolcer
TimothyDolanx390 (Arch NY) | Advocate.com
New York Archbishop Timothy Dolan
The New York State Catholic Conference, which is lobbying to stop the state
Senate from voting on the marriage equality bill, argues that support for
the bill as currently worded would constitute “a vote against religious
liberty and against the very ministries and services that New Yorkers cannot
do without.”
In a note posted to Facebo... 阅读全帖 |
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g********d
发帖数: 4174 | 24 Posted on Advocate.com June 17, 2011 10:15:00 AM ET
Marriage Equality Gridlock in New York
By Julie Bolcer
NEW YORK STATE SENATE 20110617 X390 (GETTY) | ADVOCATE.COM
New York senate Republicans will meet Friday for the third day in a day row
to discuss whether to vote on the marriage equality bill, which has remained
one vote shy of passage since Tuesday.
Republican senators in New York plan to meet in conference Friday morning
for the third day in a row as they deliberate whether to bring the m... 阅读全帖 |
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m******1
发帖数: 19713 | 25 Marriage Equality Gridlock in New York
By Julie Bolcer
NEW YORK STATE SENATE 20110617 X390 (GETTY) | ADVOCATE.COM
New York senate Republicans will meet Friday for the third day in a day row
to discuss whether to vote on the marriage equality bill, which has remained
one vote shy of passage since Tuesday.
Republican senators in New York plan to meet in conference Friday morning
for the third day in a row as they deliberate whether to bring the marriage
equality bill for a vote before the schedule... 阅读全帖 |
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m******1
发帖数: 19713 | 26 Marriage Equality Momentum on Hold in New York
By Julie Bolcer
DEAN SKELOS X390 (.GOV) | ADVOCATE.COM
Following a three-hour meeting on Friday morning, the third such conference
in as many days, Republican senators in New York emerged with no decision on
whether to bring the marriage equality bill for a vote by the scheduled end
of session on Monday. In fact, majority leader Dean Skelos said that
concerns about the language of the bill supersede the questions of whether
and when to bring the mea... 阅读全帖 |
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g********d
发帖数: 4174 | 27 Posted on Advocate.com June 20, 2011 05:20:00 PM ET
N.Y. Senator Tweets for Marriage Equality Feedback
By Julie Bolcer
New York State senator Greg Ball, an undecided Republican who asked his
Twitter followers how he should vote on the marriage equality bill, said the
feedback appears to be trending toward support of the measure, but he
refuses to budge unless the bill includes stronger religious exemptions.
Ball, an Air Force veteran who advocated against the “don’t ask, don’t
tell” policy, pose... 阅读全帖 |
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m******1
发帖数: 19713 | 28 Name: Stefan
Date posted: 6/23/2011 1:25:41 PM
Hometown: Duluth
Comment:
Other undecided, possible Yes votes are Mark Grisanti, John Flanagan (both
of whom were personally lobbied by Michael Bloomberg, as was Lanza), Charles
Fuchillo, and Greg Ball. Also, sources from the Republican conference are
saying that a 32nd vote has been obtained, but the Senator whishes to remain
anonymous until the bill is brought to the floor. |
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g********d
发帖数: 4174 | 29 ALBANY, N.Y. (AP) — Same-sex marriage is now legal in New York after Gov.
Andrew Cuomo signed a bill that was narrowly passed by state lawmakers
Friday, handing activists a breakthrough victory in the state where the gay
rights movement was born.
New York becomes the sixth state where gay couples can wed and the biggest
by far.
"We are leaders and we join other proud states that recognize our families
and the battle will now go on in other states," said Sen. Thomas Duane, a
Democrat.
Gay rights ... 阅读全帖 |
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g********d
发帖数: 4174 | 30 http://www.usnews.com/news/blogs/washington-whispers/2011/08/30
Allan Lichtman, the American University professor whose election formula has
correctly called every president since Ronald Reagan’s 1984 re-election,
has a belated birthday present for Barack Obama: Rest easy, your re-election
is in the bag.
“Even if I am being conservative, I don’t see how Obama can lose,” says
Lichtman, the brains behind The Keys to the White House.
Lichtman’s prediction helps to explain a quirk in some polling th... 阅读全帖 |
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g********d
发帖数: 4174 | 31 RALEIGH, N.C. -- North Carolina is the only state in the Southeast without a
gay marriage ban in its constitution. The idea has gone nowhere in the last
decade because Democratic leaders quashed Republican efforts to debate
amendment referenda.
Now with Republicans in charge of the Legislature for the first time in 140
years, conservatives are making their move. Lawmakers return Monday to
Raleigh to debate proposed amendments, including one to let voters next year
decide if a state law already o... 阅读全帖 |
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g********d
发帖数: 4174 | 32 Op-ed: Movements Don't Stop and Start Every Two Years
When the Senate Judiciary Committee convenes to vote today on the repeal of
the Defense of Marriage Act, it could have far-reaching impacts that are
difficult to imagine now.
By Adam Bink, op-ed contributor
SENATE JUDICIARY COMMITTEE PATRICK LEAHY 390x (GETTY) ADVOCATE.COM
Sen. Patrick Leahy, chairman of Judiciary Committee
Today, the Senate Judiciary Committee will vote on the Respect for Marriage
Act, a bill that repeals the Defense of Marr... 阅读全帖 |
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g********d
发帖数: 4174 | 33 http://www.theroot.com/views/should-president-obama-endorse-mar
With President Obama's sights set on his re-election, some decisions must be
made about how the campaign can re-energize his base.
One segment, the gay community and their allies, has been frustrated with
Obama and his "evolving" (at a snail's pace) stance on marriage equality.
While the administration made good on its campaign promise on important
issues such as the repeal of "Don't ask, don't tell," failing to support
full marriag... 阅读全帖 |
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m******1
发帖数: 19713 | 34 Gay advocacy group starts new public relations campaign
January 19, 2012 By Dar Danielson
The gay advocacy group, “One Iowa” is starting a new campaign to try and
sway public opinion in favor of same-sex marriages. Nearly three years after
the Iowa Supreme Court ruling made it legal for same-sex couples to marry
in Iowa, polls still show a majority of Iowans oppose the decision.
A February 2011, Des Moines Register Iowa Poll showed 38% against, 35% in
favor. One Iowa’s executive director, Troy P... 阅读全帖 |
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m******1
发帖数: 19713 | 35 Washington Marriage Bill Gets Another Vote, Corporate Boost
By Julie Bolcer
Jim Kastama x390 (fair) | ADVOCATE.COM
The marriage equality bill in the Washington senate is just one vote shy of
the 25 needed for passage following an announcement from Democratic senator
Jim Kastama, while businesses including Microsoft and Nike have also
announced their support for the measure.
Kastama, a conservative Democrat from Puyallup south of Seattle, announced
his decision at a news conference Thursday after... 阅读全帖 |
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m******1
发帖数: 19713 | 36 Washington Gay Marriage Bill Clears Senate Committee
By Julie Bolcer
OLYMPIA CAPITOL BUILDING WASHINGTON X390 (FAIR) | ADVOCATE.COM
The marriage equality bill in Washington state moved one step closer to
becoming law on Thursday when a senate committee advanced the measure to the
floor for a vote.
According to the Associated Press, “The Government Operations, Tribal
Relations & Elections Committee approved the measure with a 4-3 voice vote
split on party lines. The bill is expected to head to a ... 阅读全帖 |
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g********d
发帖数: 4174 | 37 ANNAPOLIS, Md. (WJZ) — The battle over Maryland’s same-sex marriage bill
heats up as supporters of the proposal plan to rally in Annapolis Monday.
Andrea Fujii reports it’s something opponents did last month.
Last month, opponents of the state’s same-sex marriage proposal rallied
near the State House steps. Their message to lawmakers: vote no on the bill.
The future of the bill rests in the hands of lawmakers in the House. It’s
a battle that’s expected to be one of the longest and hard-fought in... 阅读全帖 |
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a******c
发帖数: 291 | 38 My data are from the following coverage in Washington Post:
http://www.washingtonpost.com/local/dc-politics/half-of-marylan
To quote the poll: "Overall, the Post poll found that 50 percent of
Marylanders support allowing gay and lesbian couples to marry while 44
percent are opposed."
That leaves 6% undecided.
The reason I am less optimistic about the referendum is that gay-marriage
opponents are more motivated to vote than supporters. Some people will voice
their support for gay marriage when in... 阅读全帖 |
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g********d
发帖数: 4174 | 39 3 to Go: Another Senate Democrat Says He Favors Marriage Equality
Sen. Tim Johnson was one of the last remaining holdouts in the Senate among
Democrats on marriage equality but announced today that he's "evolved."
Johnson is retiring at the end of this term as South Dakota's senator, and
his son Brendan is considered a possible candidate to replace him in 2014.
"After lengthy consideration, my views have evolved sufficiently to support
marriage equality legislation," he said in a statement relea... 阅读全帖 |
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g********d
发帖数: 4174 | 40 US house representatives: democratic 201 republican 232 vacant 2
201-11(democrats who oppose marriage equality)-8(undecided democrates)+2(
republicans who support marriage equality, Richard Hanna of New York and
Ileana Ros-Lehtinen of Florida) = 184 support marriage equality. |
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k*****e
发帖数: 22013 | 41 【 以下文字转载自 USANews 讨论区 】
发信人: lczlcz (lcz), 信区: USANews
标 题: Fox News被评为最受信任的新闻频道
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Thu Feb 18 16:49:10 2016, 美东)
As Western Journalism has reported, the top three news and commentary
programs in the United States are found on Fox News. Bill O’Reilly’s
program The O’Reilly Factor leads the nation as the most watched news
program, followed by Megyn Kelly’s The Kelly File, and in third place is
Sean Hannity’s show Hannity.
Now, in a recent poll, Fox News was found to be the most trus... 阅读全帖 |
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s**********t
发帖数: 1846 | 42 For each of the undecided states in the Starting Map , you can select an
outcome by clicking the state buttons. Buttons toggle between Blue, Red and
None.
http://www.810.sba.uwm.edu/kumars/ |
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s*******i
发帖数: 85 | 43 delegates肯定是追不上了。
popular vote还有戏。
我相信只要最后UD差距在100以内，Hillary获胜希望就很大。
Obama的负面新闻会越来越多，像他postor这类言论，其实对undecided选民影响会很大
。现在去abcnews, fox,
youtube，反对声音都是非常激烈。race card本来就是双刃剑，他用这个take
advantage的时候，也应该预计到有被
它伤到的一天。 |
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r******6
发帖数: 25 | 44 Hillary hasn't won yet, but trends are good for her.
1. The pastor problem has caught up attention of undecided/republicans at
least. Most people favor the process to last longer and they don't worry much about its
damage to the party.
2. The michigan/florida problems are on the side of Hillary. DNC is in no
position to deny their delegates at its convention. Especially for florida,
both seating the current vote or doing a revote would favor Hillary. All officials
at the florida side want to sea |
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a*******k
发帖数: 74 | 45 This is really a great choice.
-This shows that he is really a maverick, making his own decisions.
-Also brings a change theme to his compaign.
-Use Palin to appeal to those still undecided female Clinton supporters.
-compensate for his old age and lack of executive experience.
Liked Palin instantly half way through her speech. She has working
classroots, and is not a washington insider. Her speech is clear and crisp.
She is energetic. Consevertive by reformist.
The election is getting more and |
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f******A
发帖数: 11 | 46 Taking Time to Decide
But Asian Americans are clearly not as firmly in the Democratic column as
are African Americans and even Hispanics. An academic study of the Asian-
American vote released recently found Sen. Obama leading Sen. McCain by
about 15 points among this group, but with fully one-third still undecided.
Their fluidity is understandable. Most Asian Americans are immigrants,
encompassing many different cultures, religions and languages. In 2004,
barely one-third of them were registere |
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m******n
发帖数: 6327 | 47 ☆─────────────────────────────────────☆
mqt (猫和狗) 于 (Tue Nov 4 12:30:22 2008) 提到:
27% for Mac
20% undecided
was live on CNN
☆─────────────────────────────────────☆
altopalo (城市猎人) 于 (Tue Nov 4 13:04:01 2008) 提到:
错误的参数!
☆─────────────────────────────────────☆
altopalo (城市猎人) 于 (Tue Nov 4 13:04:35 2008) 提到:
20%其实都投麦凯恩，不好意思说而已。
☆─────────────────────────────────────☆
chuschus (,,...) 于 (Tue Nov 4 13:12:03 2008) 提到:
cnn?
then forget it,
count the final number on ballot, it w |
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m******n
发帖数: 6327 | 48 ☆─────────────────────────────────────☆
wait31 (wait) 于 (Tue Nov 4 15:05:27 2008) 提到:
那个vote用的是obama的标志。
☆─────────────────────────────────────☆
wings (the Lord of the Wings (wing^T^gniw)) 于 (Tue Nov 4 15:17:59 2008) 提到:
跟poll里面的undecided一样。
☆─────────────────────────────────────☆
theds (tds) 于 (Tue Nov 4 16:26:58 2008) 提到:
that's the standard VOTE button. can be found on johnmccain.com too.
☆─────────────────────────────────────☆
swsxyzj (yoyoyo......) 于 (Tue Nov 4 16:3 |
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w******g
发帖数: 2047 | 49 Republican challenger Pat Toomey leads Sen. Arlen Specter of Pennsylvania by
double digits in a possible November showdown, according to a new poll.
A Franklin and Marshall College survey released Wednesday indicates that 45
percent of likely voters back Toomey, with 31 percent supporting Specter and
20 percent undecided.
Polls conducted last October and December suggested Toomey, a former
congressman and former head of the Club for Growth - a limited-government
and anti-tax organization - and S |
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m*********a
发帖数: 3299 | 50 By Julianna Goldman and Roger Runningen
March 19 (Bloomberg) -- Democrats need about six more votes from House
members to pass a U.S. health-care overhaul, Obama administration officials
said today.
White House and Democratic leaders aim to collect those votes from a pool of
about 14 to 15 undecided lawmakers to get to the 216 votes needed to pass
the measure, according to the officials, who spoke on condition of anonymity.
Obama has met or called about three dozen lawmakers in the last five day |
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