l******x 发帖数: 1697 | 1 Monday, October 29, 2012
The race for Ohio’s Electoral College votes remains very close, but now
Mitt Romney now has a two-point advantage.
The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Ohio Voters shows
Romney with 50% support to President Obama’s 48%. One percent (1%) likes
some other candidate, while another one percent (1%) remains undecided. (To
see survey question wording, click here.)
http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/electio |
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l****z 发帖数: 29846 | 2 By J.T. Hatter
Obama decided early in his re-election campaign to destroy his opponent,
Mitt Romney. The Democratic Party's mud-slinging ads, and the mainstream
media newscasts, relentlessly painted Romney as an evil conservative who
looks down on the 47% of Americans who receive government benefits. Romney
was a wealthy industrialist who outsourced American jobs, a greedy
capitalist who murdered a steelworker's wife by taking away her health
insurance, a tax-evader, a bad Mormon, and a racist... 阅读全帖 |
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l****z 发帖数: 29846 | 3 There’s nothing undecided about that kid… |
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l****z 发帖数: 29846 | 4 October 30, 2012 by Doug Johnson
Jonathan Chait at NYMag (with appreciative linking from Andrew Sullivan) is
all in for politicizing Sandy:
Disasters are inherently political, because government is political, and
preventing and responding to disasters is a primary role of the state. But
there is an innate tension in overtly politicizing a disaster. At the moment
of greatest urgency, emotions run so hot that it’s hard to fairly assess
the costs and benefits of disaster response. On the othe... 阅读全帖 |
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w******8 发帖数: 977 | 5 有一个poll很有意思,就是independent voter support Romney over Obama by big
margin. 现在估计也没什么undecided了,就看turn out了。Romney还有希望。 |
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w******8 发帖数: 977 | 6 有一个poll很有意思,就是independent voter support Romney over Obama by big
margin. 现在估计也没什么undecided了,就看turn out了。Romney还有希望。 |
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l**********1 发帖数: 2980 | 7 不知道这个民调水分多少。不过,Michigan没有提前投票,对共和党比较有利。
好戏连台!
Dead heat for Romney and Obama in latest Michigan poll
Republican Nominee Mitt Romney 46.86%
President Barack Obama 46.24%
Another candidate 4.94%
Undecided 1.96%
Foster McCollum White Baydoun (FMW)B, a national public opinion polling and
voter analytics consulting firm based in Michigan and representing the
combined resources of Foster McCollum White & Associates (Troy Michigan) and
Baydoun Consulting (Dearborn Michigan) conducted a telephone-automa... 阅读全帖 |
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l**********p 发帖数: 272 | 8 By Jeff Greenfield
As the momentous day approaches, with epochal consequences for an anxiously
awaiting world, I take pen in hand—make that apply fingertips to keypad—to
renew a traditional plea I first made more than 30 years ago. It’s a plea
I’ve made in print, on the air and, now, through the miracle of digital
technology. But its message never changes.
It’s a plea directed to those of you who are still uncertain about which
way to vote. And it’s as simple as it is heartfelt: Stay home.
The c... 阅读全帖 |
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l**********p 发帖数: 272 | 9 new words learnt
"reasoning power of a baked potato" |
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f*********g 发帖数: 1637 | 10 For each of the undecided states in the Starting Map , you can select an
outcome by clicking the state buttons. Buttons toggle between Blue, Red and
None.
You will find all combination to reach magic number 270.
http://www.810.sba.uwm.edu/kumars/ |
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J***o 发帖数: 120 | 11 Among Indian-Americans, democratic support is even stronger: Obama 68 per
cent, Romney 5 per cent and undecided 25 per cent, despite Obama's
rhetorical attacks on outsourcing; his job approval rating is at 81 per cent
among Indian-Americans.
http://www.aljazeera.com/indepth/opinion/2012/10/20121031125628
大家说说为什么? 好像烙印们也有绿卡诉求,高薪族也比华裔多吧? |
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y***l 发帖数: 1371 | 12 今天上班路上听了个对OHIO志愿者的采访,觉得那个59岁的老太太说的太好了。
“If you are not part of solution, you are part of problem. If you do not
participate, then do not blame others for the lose"
再看看总统竞选个人基金的统计:
基金是限制只能以个人名义捐赈,每个人最多一共捐5000,而且名字要公开。
http://www.cnn.com/election/2012/candidates.html
Obama:Total Raised, year to date:
$632,177,423.00
Romney:Total Raised, year to date:
$389,088,268.00
Romney的支持者在捐款方面做得太差了,你如果真心希望Romney赢,捐上100块钱,你
不能投票一样可以捐钱,只要你在美国。这笔钱能让一个竞选工作者工作一天,或者一
个Volunteer工作三天以上,他们能针对性的打上上百个电话来给undecided voter... 阅读全帖 |
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l****z 发帖数: 29846 | 13
Nov 6, 2012
By Todd Starnes
A poll worker in North Carolina has been accused of telling people to vote
Democrat.
Ken Sharpe, of High Point, NC, told Fox News that he was waiting in line to
vote when he noticed a poll worker approach a woman who needed help. The
incident occurred at the Springfield Friends Church polling station in the
city’s third ward.
Sharpe said he watched as the worker showed the woman where the Obama button
was – along with all the other Democrats on the ticket.
“She w... 阅读全帖 |
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o****y 发帖数: 26355 | 15 Margin is too small, less than 1% triggering automatic recount.
Nobody cares, recount ba. |
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B**W 发帖数: 2273 | 16 还有一个重要的直接原因就是如何组织campaign, 巴马找的人非常好,而且非常“科学
”专业。NYT 刚出来一个报道,巴马的队伍组织了一批行为心理学家,专门建立了一个
undecided voter的数据库,每天打几千个电话跟踪这些人的变化,让这些专家分析他
们的心理行为等。文章里提到,在FL,GOP的队伍都傻眼了,因为出现了很多他们压根
不知道的人,但他们都在巴马的数据库里。巴马竞选团队也是第一时间就掌握选情的人
,比媒体的人都早。
http://www.nytimes.com/2012/11/08/us/politics/obama-campaign-cl
其实这也是领导能力的一部分,如何找对人,用对人,最终找到支持自己的选民,让他
们出来投票。选举本身就已经是能力的体现了。别管你支持谁,学学人家怎么运作这个
没坏处。 |
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y***r 发帖数: 16594 | 17 很多原因,反正GOP是没问题的,有问题的是天,是地,是DEM。
WASHINGTON -- Republicans across the country were shellshocked as President
Barack Obama defeated Mitt Romney in Tuesday’s presidential election,
finishing the race with 332 electoral votes and winning every battleground
state except for North Carolina. The blame game began almost immediately, as
Republicans looked to determine how a vulnerable incumbent like Obama had
found a pathway to reelection.
The evidence behind the president’s victory points toward a stron... 阅读全帖 |
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Z*****l 发帖数: 14069 | 18 http://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2013/jan/6/obama-supporters
CURL: Obama supporters shocked, angry at new tax increases
Sunday, January 6, 2013
Enlarge Photo
President Obama talks about taxes on Friday, Aug. 3, 2012, at the ... more >
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l****z 发帖数: 29846 | 19 A Rasmussen poll finds that voters approve of the U.S. Supreme Court’s
Hobby Lobby decision by a 10-point margin.
Results of the survey of 1,000 likely U.S. voters indicate that 49 percent
of those polled agree that business owners should have the option of
exempting themselves from ObamaCare’s HHS contraceptive mandate if it
violates their religious beliefs. By comparison, 39 percent oppose the high
court’s decision and 12 percent are undecided.
In addition, the poll found that 58 percent of vo... 阅读全帖 |
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l****z 发帖数: 29846 | 20 Poll: GOP Candidate Holds 13-Point Lead in Democratic New York Congressional
District
6:28 PM, Sep 11, 2014 • By JOHN MCCORMACK
In New York's 21st congressional district, Republican Elise Stefanik is
leading Democrat Aaron Woolf 46 precent to 33 percent, according to a new
poll released by Siena College Thursday evening. Green Party candidate Matt
Funiciello garners 10 percent of the vote, and 11 percent remain undecided.
The race for the 21st district has been rated a "toss-up" by the Coo... 阅读全帖 |
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l****z 发帖数: 29846 | 21 Illinois’ new GOP governor throws down gauntlet in union, spending fight
While Bruce Rauner campaigned for governor of Illinois, he repeatedly
promised change. Opponents, supporters and undecided voters alike complained
he never defined what that change meant.
Now they know.
In his first budget address to the Illinois General Assembly, the new
Republican governor promised deep cuts, to the tune of $6.7 billion. Higher
education, local governments and other state departments are all subject to
th... 阅读全帖 |
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T*********s 发帖数: 2987 | 22 I do believe they cook the numbers often.
But whether this can be seen as evidence is debatable. There could be 13%
who are undecided. |
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s*********r 发帖数: 9493 | 23 好吧,认真回一下:
我觉得这个案件体现了希拉里性格中可怕的一面:为了成功不择手段。只要合法,就无
所不用其极。说明她至少不是一个品德高尚的人。
这也是我初选支持床铺,大选期间至今undecided的原因之一吧。 |
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t*******h 发帖数: 2744 | 24 http://www.newyorker.com/humor/borowitz-report/palin-endorsemen
CREDIT PHOTOGRAPH BY CRAIG RUTTLE / AP
DES MOINES, Iowa (The Borowitz Report)—An endorsement from former Alaska
Governor Sarah Palin is expected to widen Donald J. Trump’s already
impressive lead among so-called “idiot voters,” an aide to the billionaire
said on Tuesday.
While Trump was previously thought to have a lock on the idiot vote heading
into the Iowa caucuses, a recent surge by Senator Ted Cruz, of Texas, has
put the idiots... 阅读全帖 |
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T*********k 发帖数: 1621 | 25 Trump is in melt-down mode. He is not helping himself by tweet those out of
control, over the top nonsense.
This makes him look mentally unstable. I don't think it helps him winning
those undecided republicans and moderates.
I stick to my prediction: after Super Tuesday in March, it will be all over
for him. |
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j*********r 发帖数: 24733 | 26 还说明了Undecided选民也支持川铺,利好 |
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n*****e 发帖数: 473 | 28 It was hard for me to imagine that Trump being a leader of this country due
to his character and temperament. Last night's debate, he locked everyone
into the metal cage, rip off everyone's clothes and reveal their true colors
. It was interesting and painful at same time to watch, I was actually
amazed by the fact that he has the guts to say the truth, got even stronger
when facing challenges. DC is desperately needing some serious changes.
Though i am still undecided, but no longer rule out Tr... 阅读全帖 |
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l****z 发帖数: 29846 | 29 As Western Journalism has reported, the top three news and commentary
programs in the United States are found on Fox News. Bill O’Reilly’s
program The O’Reilly Factor leads the nation as the most watched news
program, followed by Megyn Kelly’s The Kelly File, and in third place is
Sean Hannity’s show Hannity.
Now, in a recent poll, Fox News was found to be the most trusted news source
among several news channels.
http://www.suffolk.edu/documents/SUPRC/2_17_2016_marginals.pdf
The poll was conduct... 阅读全帖 |
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f*******7 发帖数: 2210 | 30 您是支持Rubio的么?现在Rubio天天期待所有人都退了,他好跟Trump一对一。
如果您是Trump支持者,请有点谋略,看问题要有全局观。
就算你没有全局观,就说这个poll,如果这个poll是真的,那Rubio要高兴得跳起来了
,他只比Cruz少4个点,而且还有5% undecided,他最后还可能赢,那就完全是气势大
涨。对Trump来说,在Texas第二,比Cruz少2-3个点,是最好的结果。
当然这个Poll可能是个outliner,今天另外一个poll, Cruz大幅度领先。 |
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T*********I 发帖数: 10729 | 31 还有undecided 5%
最终也会全投给
Rubio +Cruz阵营
这样
Rubio +Cruz 就= 45
哈哈,成了。 |
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T**********e 发帖数: 29576 | 32 Cruz获得州长副州长和各级GOP州官支持,应该能拿下老窝,如果超过50%就赢者通吃
155票,半数以下按比例分配冲击没那么大。
2016 Texas Republican Presidential Primary
(Monmouth University 2/22-2/24)
Asked of 456 likely voters - republican
Ben Carson (R) 6%
Ted Cruz (R) 38%
John Kasich (R) 5%
Marco Rubio (R) 21%
Donald Trump (R) 23%
Other 1%
Undecided 6% |
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n*****e 发帖数: 473 | 33 所以希望他能当选吧。上个月我还是undecided。现在越来越清楚了。以前没喜欢过这
个大嘴巴的人,现在感觉是个真性情的人。 |
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b*****d 发帖数: 61690 | 34 Among the block walkers was John McGrath, a high school junior from
Arlington, who had already knocked on 70 doors for Trump that afternoon,
flipping five voters toward Trump from candidates such as Marco Rubio and
even Bernie Sanders, he told me. While he’s not old enough to vote in his
state’s primary on Tuesday—he will turn 18 just before the general
election in November—this isn’t McGrath’s first time going door-to-door
for a candidate. Back in 2014, he knocked on doors for Gov. Greg Abbott,... 阅读全帖 |
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m****g 发帖数: 2215 | 35 Byron York: Showing strength in Michigan, Trump feeds on hostility to GOP,
Romney
http://www.washingtonexaminer.com/byron-york-showing-strength-i
In many of Trump's victories this year, commentators have noted that late-
deciding voters have chosen another candidate, either Marco Rubio earlier in
the campaign, or Ted Cruz more recently. Trump would then "underperform"
poll estimates, while still winning. That inevitably led to the suggestion
that GOP voters were changing their minds and that Tru... 阅读全帖 |
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m****g 发帖数: 2215 | 36 The latest FOX 2 Detroit/Mitchell poll has around 10% undecided votes. Per
Washington Examiner, most of these votes will go to Cruz/Kasich/Rubio. I
just hope Cruz/Kasich/Rubio will split these votes evenly. |
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m****g 发帖数: 2215 | 37 Be cautious.
http://www.washingtonexaminer.com/byron-york-showing-strength-i
In many of Trump's victories this year, commentators have noted that late-
deciding voters have chosen another candidate, either Marco Rubio earlier in
the campaign, or Ted Cruz more recently. Trump would then "underperform"
poll estimates, while still winning. That inevitably led to the suggestion
that GOP voters were changing their minds and that Trump was fading. Late
deciders moved away from Trump in Iowa on Feb. 1 ... 阅读全帖 |
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m****g 发帖数: 2215 | 38 The latest FOX 2 Detroit/Mitchell poll has around 10% undecided votes. Per
this article, most of these votes will go to Cruz/Kasich/Rubio. I just hope
Cruz/Kasich/Rubio will split these votes evenly. |
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s**p 发帖数: 518 | 39 你们怎么学gop先内讧了?Michigan只要赢了就好,而且现在赢的可能性很大。大家都
捉急也可以理解,但是你们想的到的地方别人也想得到啊,别把老头的竞选团队想得太
差吧,更何况老头是孤军作战,MI不是明天去吗?undecided就让他last minute决定后
投票这样就不会再更改了,支持他的不会因为他不去就不投他。现在既然gop不合作,
Trump就只有依靠选民,当然是winner take all更加重要了。他广告不是在FL和OH都打
出来了吗?还有网上YouTube的。老头老太选民估计早就决定了,不上网也没关系。
[在 flychina7 (111) 的大作中提到:]
:不再支持Trump了,Trump必败,不是初选就是普选,而且非常可能是初选。原因如下:
:
:........... |
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d*****s 发帖数: 5610 | 40 4个加起来93%,还有7% undecided. |
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m****s 发帖数: 494 | 41 多听听undecided voter的声音
关键就是一个愿不愿意改变的问题 |
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t*******d 发帖数: 12895 | 42 辩论好好准备对undecided voter很重要 |
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j*********r 发帖数: 24733 | 43 川普辩论的确需要改进,但是迎合了undecided voters,就有可能丢掉别的粉丝,看你
怎么看这个问题了。 |
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s*********r 发帖数: 9493 | 44 嗯。谢谢顶贴。
初选支持床铺,就是为了在大选期间再考察。
目前是undecided. |
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s*******1 发帖数: 16479 | 45 你不用找了,我给你发这儿
也有别的候选人的立场供比较
http://www.marijuana.com/blog/news/2015/04/where-do-presidentia
Donald Trump – Republican
The businessman and former reality television host supports medical
marijuana but has taken conflicting positions on full legalization over the
years. He supports the right of states to enact their own marijuana laws
without federal interference.
In 1990, Trump called for legalizing all drugs. “We’re losing badly the
war on drugs. You have to legalize drugs to win that war,” he sa... 阅读全帖 |
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s*******1 发帖数: 16479 | 46 甜妹,他当时这个观点我反而不赞同。
下面是他现在的stand,我比较赞同。只限于医用我可以接受。我外公走之前因为病痛
打的吗啡减轻痛苦,我觉得用于这方面是人道的,不过要有很强的管理。
http://www.marijuana.com/blog/news/2015/04/where-do-presidentia
Donald Trump – Republican
The businessman and former reality television host supports medical
marijuana but has taken conflicting positions on full legalization over the
years. He supports the right of states to enact their own marijuana laws
without federal interference.
In 1990, Trump called for legalizing all drugs. “We’re losing badly the... 阅读全帖 |
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L**d 发帖数: 620 | 48 那对Trump很不利,Trump一般输在undecided. |
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t*c 发帖数: 8291 | 49 居然还有人到现在还undecided. 这些人智商真桌鸡。
based
Marco |
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m****s 发帖数: 494 | 50 NY会全拿的
最新的Poll
Trump 65% Cruz 12% Kaish 1% 其它undecided
With Marco Rubio out of the race, Trump leads his closest rival, Texas
Senator Ted Cruz, by 52 points (64% to 12%). Rubio received 4% of the vote
before suspending his campaign. Ohio Governor John Kasich earned just 1%,
getting no bounce from his recent home-field victory in the Buckeye State.
In a hypothetical, two-man matchup between Trump and Cruz, Trump leads 69%
to 25%.
http://media.wix.com/ugd/3bebb2_e6ef41f2113347feaedca7d88762c6f |
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