c*****r
发帖数: 8227 | 1 If, 恶虎（JPM)为群狼(对手盘，HF)所困，结局就只有一个：JPM has to unwind, and
potential loss will be in billions. |
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P*O
发帖数: 4324 | 2 Here are the highlights. First on the CIO group:
Achilles Macris, hired in 2006 as the CIO’s top executive in London,
led an expansion into corporate and mortgage-debt investments with a mandate
to generate profits for the New York- based bank, three of the former
employees said.
Some of Macris’s bets are now so large that JPMorgan probably can’t
unwind them without losing money or roiling financial markets, the former
executives said, based on knowledge gleaned from people inside the ba... 阅读全帖 |
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a***s
发帖数: 5417 | 3 底层员工都mobilize起来给银行赚钱了。说明情况不妙啊。
看analyst estimation这Q eps 0.8x, 感觉很难实现。
已经unwinded position我瞎猜猜可能输掉了3-4b, 平均每股
输$1. 为了让报表好看，jpm 必须放弃很多盈利的头寸，
来冲销亏损。可能还得变卖一些资产，或者裁员。
我觉得这次er的时候，jpm会宣布裁员。（他们宣布过了吗？
如果两个月内已经宣布过裁员了，那就不必再裁了）。
但是如果已经裁员了，那么对这个Q又是个打击。因为裁员要
给package的，也是个不小的支出。 |
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p********n
发帖数: 2046 | 4 也许是什么Funds在Unwinding。比如最近MS Smith Barney的FA们闹的很凶，也许是其
中的一个Account干的，我瞎猜的哈。
PM/RAI是我喜欢的，所以随口说说。 |
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Y****r
发帖数: 3473 | 5 obama put in a lot of measures to prevent - 1) oil price to go up 2) stock
price to go down
those measures have to be unwind and they are starting now |
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i*********n
发帖数: 5465 | 6 We are downgrading shares of GNW to Underperform from Neutral following the
recent
rally in shares off of the bottom reached in late July/early August of more
than 100% and
over 50% since mid-November. We think that much of the rally has been the
result of
optimism for GNW’s US MI unit as a derivative play on the US housing market
, in addition
to the appointment of former Freddie Mac CEO David Moffett to the board of
directors,
while investors have been less focused on fundamentals in the life... 阅读全帖 |
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h******u
发帖数: 40 | 8 may sell some once it reaches tangible book value, 13.3x. also have to
unwind the August calls I wrote late last year at certain stage |
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k********8
发帖数: 7948 | 9 Rising dollar marks big investment shift
By George Magnus
Industrial commodities and EM currencies will be under pressure
Investors have come to regard a weak US dollar as an essential part of the
low real rate, high capital flow backdrop for about a decade, but things are
starting to change.
The US dollar has had a spring in its step this year, with the dollar index,
a weighted composite of the dollar’s strength versus its trading partners,
rising almost 4 per cent. This is likely to be the “am... 阅读全帖 |
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N********n
发帖数: 8363 | 10
When all the leveraged positions start to unwind and margin calls
start to fly, he who sells first sells the best. |
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d******r
发帖数: 1247 | 11 这消息好像没有人留意到，雅虎版上有人挖到这条消息，貌似这轮又要涨了。
Waters to Release Rival GSE Bill
by Victoria Finkle
SEP 10, 2013 4:39pm ET
WASHINGTON — Rep. Maxine Waters, the top Democrat on the House Financial
Services Committee, said Tuesday that she is preparing to unveil an
alternative housing finance reform proposal to rival more conservative
legislation backed by many House Republicans.
Waters criticized the GOP plan, spearheaded by Financial Services Committee
Chairman Jeb Hensarling, R-Texas, during a speech Tuesda... 阅读全帖 |
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k*****a
发帖数: 1463 | 12 NUGT, GDX, GDXJ, RING...
Even with such a good day, it is still bullish. Gold was the favorite short
over past half a year, it could take days/month to unwind. Today's short
squeeze is just a nice start.Adding to my positions. Big Faaaaaaaaaaaaaa. |
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i******r
发帖数: 1175 | 13 FA也该说A股UNDERWEIGHT吧？EM市场在从over-investment中UNWINDING，美国QE减少，
是资金回笼的黄金时期。到顶也得到QE明显减少吧。
LZ做的一堆NAV的分析有鸟用？如果NAV=1分，CAF也就是半分或两分。 |
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c*****r
发帖数: 8227 | 14 Carry Unwind，Margin Call
+
小道消息：
Dell to lay off 15,000
Cisco to lay off 10,000
叶轮下一次讲话要到February 11
好戏才刚刚上演 |
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N********n
发帖数: 8363 | 15 Silver looks a bit heavier than gold as commercial short position
is a bit higher than that of last swing high. I used to think
HFund and Retail were fighting each other but charts showed me
Retail did not seem to care much while it's SWAP engaging HFund
instead just like the gold front.
A few weeks ago when silver was at the low 19.xx I said COT was
setup for a quick 10% move in either direction. We did get that
move when HFund was forced to unwind their shorts. To go higher
from here HFund has... 阅读全帖 |
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c*******9
发帖数: 6411 | 16 yahoo will go up eventually, the value is there. now there is trade
unwinding orfor whatever reason |
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a*****1
发帖数: 3134 | 17 同意。
我刚 unwind everything. |
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a*****1
发帖数: 3134 | 18 同意。
我刚 unwind everything. |
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m*********h
发帖数: 5449 | 19 Bullard (底) vs Greenspan (顶)? |
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m*********h
发帖数: 5449 | 20 【 以下文字转载自 StockDueDiligence 俱乐部 】
发信人: marketwatch (市场观察), 信区: StockDueDiligence
标 题: GOLDMAN: The Risk Of A Stock Market Crash Is Low Read more: http://www.businessinsider.com/goldman-
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Wed Nov 5 19:27:15 2014, 美东)
Elena Holodny
Nov. 4, 2014, 10:15 AM
Stocks have surged to all-time highs. And this has plenty of people worried
that a crash may be looming.
Goldman Sachs' Jan Hatzius doesn't see a crash coming.
Using a proprietary model that includes the historical price data fro... 阅读全帖 |
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a*****1
发帖数: 3134 | 21 everybody is unwinding for the bullish bet for the oil and E&P companies.
Have to wait until Jan 15 at least. The more the Merrier. |
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N****p
发帖数: 1691 | 22 The distribution count is at 6.
Mounting Distribution Puts Market In Correction Mode
By KEN SHREVE, INVESTOR'S BUSINESS DAILY
There's been a consistent pattern of strong opens and weak closes in the
market lately, and it was more of the same Monday as early gains faded,
sparked by another drop in oil prices.
The Nasdaq and S&P 500 rose 0.8% early, but sellers quickly regained control
. The Nasdaq fell 1%, ending just above its 50-day moving average. The S&P
500 wasn't so lucky. It gave up the ke... 阅读全帖 |
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y********n
发帖数: 4452 | 23
当然，大家平时开开玩笑，放松一下。股市有时候给人上弦的太厉害，需要unwind。 |
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r**s
发帖数: 266 | 24 Earlier in the week, stocks sold off after the unwinding of short bets on
the euro seeped into most asset classes. The euro posted its largest daily
gain against the U.S. dollar in more than six years on Thursday after ECB
President Mario Draghi's statement fell short of expectation for further
easing.
Some of the selling was related to leveraged funds that were likely forced
to close positions as volatility jumped. According to Bank of America
research, these funds, which were heavily involved ... 阅读全帖 |
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u******n
发帖数: 5727 | 26 The 1% Rule Trade has the following parameters. If at 10:30AM the S&P 500 (
SPX) is rising by at least 1% then traders should short sell index exchange
traded funds (ETFs), futures or similar products. If at 10:30AM the S&P 500
(SPX) is declining by at least 1% then traders should purchase index
exchange traded funds (ETFs), futures or similar products. The trade is to
be unwound by the end of the same trading day and not held overnight. The
timing of the unwinding of the trade within the day is... 阅读全帖 |
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y********n
发帖数: 4452 | 27 可能那个HF 要全部unwind了，影响了股市。不过影响非常有限。 |
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y********n
发帖数: 4452 | 28 如果有其它HF知道那个HF要unwind，事先进入，那真的会赚好多！easy money。 |
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n*******s
发帖数: 17267 | 29 今天小妞的重仓UVXY完全可能是明天的明星trade, 虽然这个可能性不是很大。
事情得一点一点unwind, 说啥什么这个低点那个高点有个毛用， 只会干扰别人的判断
。 |
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r***s
发帖数: 1805 | 30 你从那儿看到的, fed 已经停止 pump liquidity 了, 相反在 unwind liquidity. 别
的央行如EURO/JP倒是不断在pump liquidity, 这就是现在美股向上走的动力, 如果中
国央行也加入pump liquidity, 牛市继续. |
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y********n
发帖数: 4452 | 31 要short都做了，汇率都没变多少。当他们放几个月没钱赚开始unwind，个个都会挤在
别人前面出。到时候可想而知。
别忘了，中国贸易一个月进来多少美元和欧元？ |
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m*****t
发帖数: 1987 | 33 不痛不痒的，快像我党领导人的讲话了
In a get together with the prior three chairs of the Federal Reserve, Janet
Yellen repeated that the Fed remains on path for a gradual set of rate hikes
. Yellen said the U.S. consumer, supported by progress in the labor market,
is propelling the U.S. economy forward despite global headwinds and that she
does not see the December rate hike as a mistake. She said most of her FOMC
colleagues expect to overshoot the Fed's long-term 4.5 percent unemployment
goal but are not seeking... 阅读全帖 |
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发帖数: 1 | 34 front month到15.55开始建仓，先搞一小单。如果尾盘挤空，收盘ETP roll完再加。
worst scenario止损位15，周五下午前unwind (to avoid VIX weekend effect)
周日晚上看形势再进 |
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y***r
发帖数: 16594 | 35 英帝 10% 还是比较合理的。
美帝还早。
恐慌来临的时候，不要找什么相对强的。离的远远的比较好。
而且这还是第一波，
2000,1800这两个位置可以考虑，其他位置都是不可考虑的。
后续影响比较多，我转一个soros的。
A decision by the United Kingdom to exit the European Union would likely
trigger a big sell-off in the pound, a sharp decline in household income and
a recession, according to billionaire investor George Soros.
Just ahead of the vote by Britons on Thursday on whether to exit the EU or
remain, Soros issued an urgent warning about potential consequences.
"Too many believe that a vote to ... 阅读全帖 |
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发帖数: 1 | 36 油的COT report， speculative long positions at historical high，而大盘的VIX
COT report short positions也是historical high。非常不正常。即使unwind一部分
这些positions也要跌一下。 |
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b*********n
发帖数: 13256 | 38 fed 要Unwind bond是早就说的事，借机砸盘而已 |
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c********a
发帖数: 111 | 39 就是本月。我当时也没想明白，可能是L/S unwind,也可能是趁bear market rally
unload,Permian的positions一直很crowded。 |
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b*********n
发帖数: 13256 | 41 Fed approves unwinding of stimulus program; no rate hike |
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a******9
发帖数: 20431 | 42 我账户突然飙了
就剩三个股票 两个银行还有一点卖鸡肉的tsn 下一步银行能不能留着?
：Fed approves unwinding of stimulus program; no rate hike |
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m*********7
发帖数: 293 | 44 可是etn的prospectus却明确说了以下一段。如果这么看我还是认为那篇文章说的不准
确。
Changing Prices of the Futures Contracts Included in the Index May Result in
a Reduced Amount Payable at Maturity or Upon Redemption
Each underlying
Index is composed of futures contracts on the VIX Index. Unlike equities,
which typically entitle the holder to a continuing stake in a corporation,
futures contracts normally specify a certain date for delivery of the
underlying asset or for settlement in cash based on the level of the
underlying asse... 阅读全帖 |
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发帖数: 1 | 45 carry trade要unwind，风险资产得继续承压了吧？ |
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t*********8
发帖数: 134 | 46 这个预测说到明年年底要到80 美分，不知靠谱不
Slump Strips Aussie Dollar of 'Poster Child' Status
The Australian dollar was served a double blow on Thursday, falling to its
lowest level against the U.S. dollar since 2010, on concerns around the U.S.
Federal Reserve scaling back the pace of stimulus and a downturn in key
trading partner China's manufacturing sector.
And strategists expect the commodity currency, which is the second worst-
performing this year after the Japanese yen, to head further south in the
months... 阅读全帖 |
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c**i
发帖数: 6973 | 47 Quote of the day: "More editor Lisa Smosarski said: “Sex is a great and
free way to relax, unwind and have fun in today’s fairly stressful society.”
It's Official: Women Have More Lovers. Daily Express (The World's Greatest
Newspaper"), Dec. 8, 2008.
http://www.express.co.uk/posts/view/74861/It-s-official-Women-have-more-lovers
Note: This is a poll conducted by a British magazine called More, whose
editor is Lisa Smosarski and whose website is www.moremagazine.co.uk.
Unfortunately the website pr |
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p****n
发帖数: 83 | 48 因为小孩生病临时取消行程。感兴趣请站内信箱联系。谢谢！
Hyatt House Gaithersburg
200 Skidmore Blvd
Gaithersburg, MD 20877, US
Check-In Date: Tuesday, April 14, 2015
Hotel Check-In Time: 4:00 PM
Check-Out Date: Friday, April 17, 2015
Hotel Check-Out Time: 12:00 PM
Two-bedroom Trio Suite
Our two bedroom, two bathroom trio suite includes one king bed and two
double beds as well as a sofa sleeper in the living area. These large suites
are ideal for families and teams. Each bedroom has its own bathroom,
spacious closet, televis... 阅读全帖 |
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c********r
发帖数: 1422 | 49 state funding基本占郊区学校的budget2%不到，这个$10mil cut over 4 yrs没大影响
。但illinois education budget cut对超过20%来自于state funding的chicago
school district就不一样了。静观illinois怎么unwind这个还在继续增长的100
billion budget deficit。
lose |
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m****g
发帖数: 3975 | 50 7.Gunnison River
http://gorptravel.away.com/rafting-guide/colorado/gunnison-river.html
Unwinding through the farmland and hills of the Gunnison Valley, the Upper
Gunnison is an easy and scenic Class I-II float. There are a few mild rapids
to give the kids a kick, plus the chance of sighting wildlife like deer,
eagles, and great blue herons. Paralleling Colorado Route 135 from Almont to
Gunnison, this is an easy river to access.
Black Canyon of the Gunnison River Gorge
One of the most remote rive |
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