b**h
发帖数: 293 | 1 On the 15 minutes chart, SPY is looking for a uptrend. The candle stick also
suggests a short term termination of the downtrend. Rebounding from here
has better chance than heading south. |
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B*******n
发帖数: 20645 | 2 double top to 24; uptrend weakening.
retest previous high. |
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j***b
发帖数: 5901 | 3 People think fas has time decay, so short fas is safer. But it's actually
not. In a bull market, the trend by far overcomes the time decay effect. Decay of fas is already minimal if the market stays flat. If the market has any uptrend at all, fas won't decay. |
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h****n
发帖数: 3447 | 4 如果不是day trade， 3x ETF本身没有任何safe可言。随便一个趋势相反，几天
position就腰斩了。我们这里只是说他们具有decay的特点，不是说这个特点就能够拿
来赚钱了。
LZ不理解为啥有种说法 short FAS比long FAZ 好。我仅仅是回答了这个问题。因为表
面看起来是一样的呀.如果是1X ETF，效果上就没有区别了呀，因为是3X，有这个decay
在里面，才有区别的。仅仅是为了解答LZ的疑问。
不是day trade，3X ETF都不应该碰的。谈论一个和另一个那个更有risk真的没啥用呀。
Decay of fas is already minimal if the market stays flat. If the market has
any uptrend at all, fas won't decay. |
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l******n
发帖数: 521 | 5 yea, my JKS. Watched it for a long time and saw some big buyer jumped in
last week but hesitated to follow.Now this regret is growing day by day.
minncai, how long do you see this uptrend can possibly last? |
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h********r
发帖数: 928 | 6 then load if there are some dips later....
uptrend is formed |
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M*****8
发帖数: 17722 | 9
......................
如果用 UpTrend Line，
最低也会在 $72 左右出。 |
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l******2
发帖数: 5522 | 10 In order for HIG to reach $100, it must drop to $1 first to store enough
uptrend potential |
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V********e
发帖数: 578 | 11 很难说。但是uptrend似乎被confirmed。会有回调，但是继续北上可能性很大。Rather
to be safe than sorry. |
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Y**N
发帖数: 2628 | 12 Sprd has strongly uptrend. |
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M*****8
发帖数: 17722 | 13 注意：
卖空时，开始的价位要保守。
必须预先留下大笔现金，这非常必要。
这样才能在预测的 Short Squeeze 高峰附近加码。
由于有冲动的散户今天会进来购买，
墙街必然不会放弃把他们吃了后再跌。
墙街还会拉高价位，高峰出货，再做空。
所以开头应该观察，等向上趋线破时才卖空。
向上趋线 ＝ Uptrend Line。
*** NOTE: PRICE TARGETS & CALCULATIONS ARE APPROXIMATE ***
(Minimum Cash Unit is $1000. Simply multiply for large sums.)
FORECAST FOR TICKER SYMBOL: GOOG AS OF 20111130 (YYYYMMDD)
CLOSING PRICE ON 20111130 was 599.3900
STOCK RATING: BEARISH
Short-Term Price Potential is DOWN:-19.5546 (-3.30%)
Short-Term Price Target: 579.8354
At Price... 阅读全帖 |
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M*****8
发帖数: 17722 | 14 注意：
卖空时，开始的价位要保守。
必须预先留下大笔现金，这非常必要。
这样才能在预测的 Short Squeeze 高峰附近加码。
由于有冲动的散户今天会进来购买，
墙街必然不会放弃把他们吃了后再跌。
墙街还会拉高价位，高峰出货，再做空。
所以开头应该观察，等向上趋线破时才卖空。
向上趋线 ＝ Uptrend Line。
*** NOTE: PRICE TARGETS & CALCULATIONS ARE APPROXIMATE ***
(Minimum Cash Unit is $1000. Simply multiply for large sums.)
FORECAST FOR TICKER SYMBOL: GOOG AS OF 20111130 (YYYYMMDD)
CLOSING PRICE ON 20111130 was 599.3900
STOCK RATING: BEARISH
Short-Term Price Potential is DOWN:-19.5546 (-3.30%)
Short-Term Price Target: 579.8354
At Price... 阅读全帖 |
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q*******7
发帖数: 168 | 15 Market data is pretty good in recent time period.
European may be in trouble, but uncertainty is much lower.
The risk of crashing is very low. Why short the market |
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r*m
发帖数: 16380 | 16 trend 就是浮云。
HQ 曰： 神马 up trend？ |
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q*******7
发帖数: 168 | 17 Risk of big down seems low, So it seemed to me with high risk for short |
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p********o
发帖数: 8012 | 18 在群众恐慌的时候往往还有5到10％的涨幅。
如果你烧了，胆小的先卡窝了。胆大心细的反手做多到570至580出。胆包天的每隔20块
继续加烧。
一切都看时势，大盘跌，他回500是肯定的。但是万一大盘去了1350呢？那就600见吧。
这个太难预测了，hq刚说没有uptrend今天就被打脸了。 |
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x***n
发帖数: 2658 | 19 i'm on your side. very strong market these days. follow the uptrend till the
new yearly high |
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o*******w
发帖数: 2310 | 20 it is in the uptrend
however, it needs more correction. |
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u***k
发帖数: 257 | 21 wishful thinking
look at Buffet on IBM and Gates on CAT
stock is on uptrend and the valuation is still be low |
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C*G
发帖数: 7495 | 22 Iphone４S 遇到了天朝无敌牛比手机的挑战
hiahia |
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S****X
发帖数: 2301 | 23
1305 will the target if we are still in uptrend. |
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D*w
发帖数: 1011 | 24 烧大麻而死的都不知道有几拨了,现在还有人前仆后继
发信人: ManOf35 (stocktrader), 信区: Stock
标 题: 心得，于AMZN重击中。
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Fri Apr 27 06:00:47 2007)
卖空AMZN在$43，补空于$49，$52，在$54无奈将空仓转为六月$60期权，损失$13，000
于$40，000 账面价值，与两天之内!!我一年才挣了$8000。。。。
回过头看看，又一次重温我写下的交易原则，我不知道违背了其中的多少条。哭皇天无
泪，恨咽雨有声。这两天，寸食难进，滴水勘饮，几乎未曾合眼。覆水已难收，花败可
再开? 我棰心自问，你在干什么。
交易其实很简单，良好的心理素质比交易技能更重要，每个人都可以成为warren
buffet如果他(她)能始终如一地秉承交易原则。从股票交易联想到人生，这使我想起一
句话，人的性格决定命运。伟人之所以成为伟人，在于他具有坚持原则的意志，倒不一
定是什么超凡的资质。无志者常立志，有志者立长志，其实这就是伟人和俗人的区别。
股票交易要遵循原则，作人难道不是这样吗?善有善报，恶有恶报，不是不报... 阅读全帖 |
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r***l
发帖数: 9084 | 25 i have 500 shares of sohu and 600 shares of ntes, bought last week.
but I still anticipate some major pullback of sohu/ntes, although I think
both are in uptrend to reach 60-65(sohu) and 52-55(ntes) |
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r***k
发帖数: 13586 | 26 Selling TNA calls is very risky, not to say the market is in uptrend now. |
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t*******0
发帖数: 42 | 27 If sina is believed to retest 47-50 first before a reverse trend is possible
, are you still going to buy sina @55 to gamble the doomed uptrend? |
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t**e
发帖数: 2379 | 31 搏反弹的，该出了吧。
两天都没补上缺口，有点弱，感觉要往下掉一下，但应该到不了153，届时可以再拾起
来。
美元hold up的很不错。12月9号的uup看着都摇摇欲坠了，居然这么顽强。现在看起来
大有形成长期uptrend的样子。
deflation看来是必然的了。
牛牛们，小心为妙。 |
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l********y
发帖数: 345 | 32 I think this year will have two major uptrends. Currently we're in one big
march to 1350 and the next one is somewhere in the fall where it will march
to 1500.
Sit tight and enjoy the ride :) |
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o**y
发帖数: 3065 | 33 Should be good to look to US equities now, especially for some value stocks.
I plan to use 农夫播种法 to pick up some stocks which has relatively low
beta, consistent uptrend. Today I just bought MO, ATK and RJA in small lots.
|
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o**y
发帖数: 3065 | 34 MSFT is still in a tight range-bound market, are you betting for breakout?
TSL may be in bottom, but it's too volatile, so it's risky to buy too many
shares.
I plan to make quick money from short term Forex, and put the profit into
low volatile stocks to ride with the slow uptrend and earn dividents. |
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X*****s
发帖数: 2767 | 35 这是wsj最新的一片文章里来的, 下面这段话真他妈的扯淡，never-arriving pullback
，这么说1315是今年的最低点了？真是寡廉鲜耻的pump啊。
“while those unlucky investors on the sidelines wait for the never-arriving
pullback",
From Arbeter:
The stock market continues to grind higher in what is reminiscent of a
major new uptrend, in our view. Many times, early bull market price action
moves fluidly higher as volatility drops off a cliff, while those unlucky
investors on the sidelines wait for the never-arriving pullback. While this
may not be the ... 阅读全帖 |
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v****e
发帖数: 19471 | 36 it has finished its first leg up and need some good consolidation before the
next uptrend starts. including DT efforts, I got about 15 dollars in this
19 dollar (48--67) run. pretty happy and can't be greedy anymore. |
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k********8
发帖数: 7948 | 37 i dont worry too much about any of those stochastic indicators in an
uptrending market...afterall, those indys' just keep on digging graves for
many many coming frogs |
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R***a
发帖数: 2605 | 38 七月的“大千群雄”
来源: buydip? 于 2012-01-27 21:12:53 [档案] [博客] 旧帖] [转至博客] [给我悄
悄话] 本文已被阅读：247次
字体：调大/调小/重置 | 加入书签 | 打印 | 所有跟帖 | 加跟贴 | 查看当前最热讨
论主题
大千群雄谱 -- 如何从解读大千中获益
来源: 七月晴天 于 07-07-31 13:58:34 [档案] [博客] [旧帖] [转至博客] [给我悄
悄话]
到大千一年, 作为一个旁观者, 亲身见证了大千的风风雨雨, 和大千高手的起起落落.
想把我的观察记录下来, 和大家分享. 也许有助于解读大千, 从中学习. 本文是从第三
者的角度尽量客观的看大千的人和事, 如由此伤害了谁, 绝不是本文的初衷,敬请原谅.
用一句套话: Below information are true and correct to the best of my
knowledge.
捣乱者
在大千呆过一年以上的都知道捣乱者是大千(DQ)的灵魂人物. 他对大盘(主要是QQQQ)
和个股的图解在大千无人能出其右. 他的贴最多, 也最容易理解. 关... 阅读全帖 |
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B**********r
发帖数: 7517 | 39 We might resume uptrend movement tomorrow. It is overbought, but anything
can happen. |
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i*u
发帖数: 299 | 40 Small cap outperformed larger cap stocks for the fifth consecutive week; the
Russell 2000 added the most gains among major asset classes in January,
while bonds and commodities finished almost flat for the month. Economic
data lifted optimism on economic recovery last week, where nonfarm payrolls
surprisingly added more positions (243k vs. 121k est.) to the market in
January. The unemployment rate (8.3% vs. 8.5% est.) continued to decline
after the holiday season. The short-end of the treasury y... 阅读全帖 |
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o**y
发帖数: 3065 | 41 我觉得非美都在uptrend上，欧系暂时打住了，最好就是澳美，纽美。 |
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k********8
发帖数: 7948 | 42 uptrend是不错
但是短期来看要盘整了
盘多久就不知道了
现在市场做多太强了，没有人抛盘，就只能用盘的方法制造抛盘了 |
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t********n
发帖数: 1524 | 43 破了
但是没conform
目前这个还是小时图的 trend
随时可以uptrend的 |
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s*********8
发帖数: 901 | 44 With most assets around the world off to a fantastic start in 2012, it's
hard to find negative sentiment anywhere on the globe. But there is negative
sentiment in India…
Yesterday, I talked to Rahul to get an on-the-ground update on India. He
told me, "I have not met a single person here who is optimistic about the
Indian markets (and business people here are generally optimistic). Also,
globally, people are probably more negative about India now than at any time
in the last decade."
That's wha... 阅读全帖 |
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L****n
发帖数: 12932 | 45 look at wkly chart, it's a uptrend stock now retrieved and resting on 50 ma.
selling has been weakening. I wouldn't short this one. |
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W********g
发帖数: 610 | 47 昨天捞了底，今天脚底板湿啦!!!!!!!!!!!!! |
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d****a
发帖数: 2901 | 50 就没correction,confirm what? |
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