g******4 发帖数: 6339 | 1 [1] 芝加哥银行收集了很多的房子, 现在还在收 ...
[2] 芝加哥银行拥有很多空房子, 如果这些房子投放市场,住房的价格会非常低,此外
,供大于求。银行不想承担所有损失. 他们希望别人分担损失.
他们保留空房子不售. 几年后de今天, 他们控制la大比例的住房供应, 形成la
Oligopoly market (kind of). 住房价格终于上涨
[3] 小弟斗胆预测:
(1) 银行控制住房供应,住房价格继续上涨 (2013-2015)
(2) 在某一时间点 (2014-2016): 房价上涨;利率低;失业率在下降;虚假de卖方市场
etc... 银行有最好的议价能力,同时投资公司看到赚钱的机会(接盘de都知道机会和风
险并存).银行打包出售 给投资公司
(3) 如此, 银行 start "击鼓传花"游戏. 投资公司,租赁公司, 房子投资者,普通购房
者参加游戏, 有些人赢了,有些人赔了钱. 作为整体分担la 房地产泡沫de损失 | g******4 发帖数: 6339 | 2 Surge in foreclosure auctions shows Chicago-area market's pain
February 06, 2013|By Mary Ellen Podmolik, Chicago Tribune reporter
More than 35,000 homes and small multifamily buildings in the Chicago area
completed the foreclosure process last year, the highest number since the
housing crisis began, and the vast majority of them became bank-owned.
Still, the heightened level of auctions — 35,244 in 2012, compared with 20,
281 in 2011 — along with an increase in initial foreclosure filings, shows
the local housing market has a long road to recovery, according to the
Woodstock Institute.
The year-end numbers show that, with few exceptions, all Chicago
neighborhoods and suburban communities saw high double-digit percentage
gains in auctions last year. Across the six-county area, 91.3 percent of the
foreclosed properties were repossessed by lenders. At the same time,
notices of initial default sent to homeowners, the first step in the
foreclosure process, increased by 2.9 percent last year, to 66,783.
http://articles.chicagotribune.com/2013-02-06/business/ct-biz-0 | g******4 发帖数: 6339 | 3
【在 g******4 的大作中提到】![](/moin_static193/solenoid/img/up.png) : Surge in foreclosure auctions shows Chicago-area market's pain : February 06, 2013|By Mary Ellen Podmolik, Chicago Tribune reporter : More than 35,000 homes and small multifamily buildings in the Chicago area : completed the foreclosure process last year, the highest number since the : housing crisis began, and the vast majority of them became bank-owned. : Still, the heightened level of auctions — 35,244 in 2012, compared with 20, : 281 in 2011 — along with an increase in initial foreclosure filings, shows : the local housing market has a long road to recovery, according to the : Woodstock Institute. : The year-end numbers show that, with few exceptions, all Chicago
| B*********n 发帖数: 2552 | 4 所以是会涨,15年以后呢
【在 g******4 的大作中提到】![](/moin_static193/solenoid/img/up.png)
| g******4 发帖数: 6339 | 5
黑衣兄,
在银行打包出售前, 会涨!
在银行打包出售给很多投资公司后, 9有很多卖家, 会涨 ma ?
【在 B*********n 的大作中提到】![](/moin_static193/solenoid/img/up.png) : 所以是会涨,15年以后呢
| N********n 发帖数: 13236 | 6 哪个sb投资公司知道跌还要买,您老开的公司?
【在 g******4 的大作中提到】![](/moin_static193/solenoid/img/up.png) : : 黑衣兄, : 在银行打包出售前, 会涨! : 在银行打包出售给很多投资公司后, 9有很多卖家, 会涨 ma ?
| g******4 发帖数: 6339 | 7 银行折扣价, 批发价出售。投资公司零售或出售下家.
零售卖家多la ... 对策: buy low, sell low quickly to make money
【在 N********n 的大作中提到】![](/moin_static193/solenoid/img/up.png) : 哪个sb投资公司知道跌还要买,您老开的公司?
| b*x 发帖数: 5456 | | N********n 发帖数: 13236 | 9 你是不是假设在市场上同一时间有无穷多sb接盘,瞬间cash all deal done?
【在 g******4 的大作中提到】![](/moin_static193/solenoid/img/up.png) : 银行折扣价, 批发价出售。投资公司零售或出售下家. : 零售卖家多la ... 对策: buy low, sell low quickly to make money
| b*x 发帖数: 5456 | 10 别分析了, 你还是给我去俱乐部干活。
【在 N********n 的大作中提到】![](/moin_static193/solenoid/img/up.png) : 你是不是假设在市场上同一时间有无穷多sb接盘,瞬间cash all deal done?
| | | g******4 发帖数: 6339 | 11 [1] 芝加哥银行收集了很多的房子, 现在还在收
(1.1) CoreLogic Reports 767,000 Completed Foreclosures in 2012
February 01, 2013, Irvine, Calif
The five states with the highest foreclosure inventory as a percentage of
all mortgaged homes were: Florida (10.1 percent), New Jersey (7.0 percent),
New York (5.1 percent), Nevada (4.7 percent) and Illinois (4.5 percent).
http://www.corelogic.com/about-us/news/corelogic-reports-767,00
(1.2) Surge in foreclosure auctions shows Chicago-area market's pain
February 06, 2013|By Mary Ellen Podmolik, Chicago Tribune reporter
More than 35,000 homes and small multifamily buildings in the Chicago area
completed the foreclosure process last year, the highest number since the
housing crisis began, and the vast majority of them became bank-owned.
Still, the heightened level of auctions — 35,244 in 2012, compared with 20,
281 in 2011 —
The year-end numbers show that, with few exceptions, all Chicago
neighborhoods and suburban communities saw high double-digit percentage
gains in auctions last year. Across the six-county area, 91.3 percent of the
foreclosed properties were repossessed by lenders. At the same time,
notices of initial default sent to homeowners, the first step in the
foreclosure process, increased by 2.9 percent last year, to 66,783.
http://articles.chicagotribune.com/2013-02-06/business/ct-biz-0
[2] 芝加哥银行拥有很多空房子, 如果这些房子投放市场,住房的价格会非常低,此外
,供大于求。银行不想承担所有损失. 他们希望别人分担损失.
他们保留空房子不售. 几年后de今天, 他们控制la大比例的住房供应, 形成la
Oligopoly market (kind of). 住房价格终于上涨
(1) 银行控制住房供应,住房价格继续上涨 (2013-2015)
(2) 在某一时间点 (2014-2016): 房价上涨;利率低;失业率在下降;虚假de卖方市场
etc... 银行有最好的议价能力,同时投资公司看到赚钱的机会(接盘de都知道机会和风
险并存).银行打包出售 给投资公司
[3] 如此, 银行 start "击鼓传花"游戏. 投资公司,租赁公司, 房子投资者,普通购房
者参加游戏, 有些人赢了,有些人赔了钱. 作为整体分担la 房地产泡沫de损失
“As many as 90 percent of REOs are withheld from sale, according to
estimates recently provided to AOL Real Estate by two analytics firms. It’s
a testament to lenders’ fears that flooding the market with foreclosed
homes could wreak havoc on their balance sheets and present a danger to the
housing market as a whole.
http://reclaimourrepublic.wordpress.com/2013/02/22/theres-still | B*********n 发帖数: 2552 | 12 你要看这些房子都是什么区域的。有些区域你不写报告也知道,foreclosure遍地。
但你我care那些区是否掉价吗。。。
我们现在买房子看房子,会有人去看那些区吗?
你要看看downtown那些区的报告呢?应该是半年涨了10%都不止了。。。
【在 g******4 的大作中提到】![](/moin_static193/solenoid/img/up.png) : [1] 芝加哥银行收集了很多的房子, 现在还在收 : (1.1) CoreLogic Reports 767,000 Completed Foreclosures in 2012 : February 01, 2013, Irvine, Calif : The five states with the highest foreclosure inventory as a percentage of : all mortgaged homes were: Florida (10.1 percent), New Jersey (7.0 percent), : New York (5.1 percent), Nevada (4.7 percent) and Illinois (4.5 percent). : http://www.corelogic.com/about-us/news/corelogic-reports-767,00 : (1.2) Surge in foreclosure auctions shows Chicago-area market's pain : February 06, 2013|By Mary Ellen Podmolik, Chicago Tribune reporter : More than 35,000 homes and small multifamily buildings in the Chicago area
| g******4 发帖数: 6339 | 13
hehe ...
小弟认为, downtown那些区2013-2015涨20%都不止 。。。
【在 B*********n 的大作中提到】![](/moin_static193/solenoid/img/up.png) : 你要看这些房子都是什么区域的。有些区域你不写报告也知道,foreclosure遍地。 : 但你我care那些区是否掉价吗。。。 : 我们现在买房子看房子,会有人去看那些区吗? : 你要看看downtown那些区的报告呢?应该是半年涨了10%都不止了。。。
| B*********n 发帖数: 2552 | 14 你懂行的话,我就出手拉 。
【在 g******4 的大作中提到】![](/moin_static193/solenoid/img/up.png) : : hehe ... : 小弟认为, downtown那些区2013-2015涨20%都不止 。。。
| g******4 发帖数: 6339 | 15
这位先生懂行:
Joseph L. Pagliari is a clinical professor of real estate at the University
of Chicago's Booth School of Business.
-------------
As everyone knows, the housing market experienced a substantial rise in
prices — a “bubble” if you like — in the early to mid-2000s, only to be
followed by an equally significant fall in home prices.
Many of the markets that experienced the greatest rise in home prices were
also the markets that saw the greatest decline. (This seems particularly
true of the so-called “sand” markets: Las Vegas, Phoenix, and parts of
Florida and southern California.) Fortunately, Chicago was not whipsawed by
such wild gyrations (and the consequent destruction of home equity, real
estate-related jobs and economic damage more broadly).
Even so, Chicago's net home appreciation rate is among the lowest of the 20
metro areas surveyed by Case-Shiller. In this context, the recent laggardly
performance of the Chicago metro area is more consistent with Chicago's
meager growth in home values over the last dozen-plus years.
When measured against the performance of the so-called “gateway” markets (
Chicago plus Boston, New York, Washington, Los Angeles and San Francisco),
the performance of Chicago over the last dozen-plus years is especially
worrisome — in a sense, the region is losing prestige and value among the
nation's premier metropolitan areas.
A number of long-term, structural factors have contributed to Chicago's
sluggish performance, but let me focus on just one: the declining financial
health of the city, county and state. As one well-known example of the state
's deteriorating financial health, consider Moody's recent downgrade of
Illinois' credit rating to the worst in the nation. At the root of the
financial problem lies the state's unfunded pension liabilities — by some
estimates, there is less than 40 cents on hand for every $1 of pension
liability. Consider the state's unfunded pension liability on a per-capita
basis compared to some of the nation's most-populous states:
Illinois' unfunded pension problem is more than twice as serious as
California's — another state well known for its financial difficulties.
Like business owners, many homeowners worry that these financial problems
will translate to increased taxes, or decreased services, or both. In the
long run, this may make the Chicago area a less-attractive market in which
to either remain or relocate. Metropolitan areas compete with one another
for jobs, high-income earners, prestige. This competition plays itself out
in many ways — changing home values is just one of them. These financial
difficulties developed over decades; therefore, they are not amenable to
quick fixes. While we should hope for the best, we should also recognize
that significant headwinds remain.
— Joseph L. Pagliari is a clinical professor of real estate at the
University of Chicago's Booth School of Business.
Read more: http://www.chicagobusiness.com/article/20130219/OPINION/130219791/have-chicago-area-home-prices-hit-bottom-finally#ixzz2MtE6c0kJ
Stay on top of Chicago business with our free daily e-newsletters
【在 B*********n 的大作中提到】![](/moin_static193/solenoid/img/up.png) : 你懂行的话,我就出手拉 。
| g******4 发帖数: 6339 | 16 Banks are walking away from thousands of vacant properties after starting
and then refusing to complete the foreclosure process because they do not
want to pay for maintaining the homes.
The result: hundreds of thousands of homes are being withheld from the
market, raising questions about whether the recent run-up in housing prices
is artificial.
......
http://www.safeguardproperties.com/News_and_Events/All_Client_A
【在 g******4 的大作中提到】![](/moin_static193/solenoid/img/up.png) : [1] 芝加哥银行收集了很多的房子, 现在还在收 : (1.1) CoreLogic Reports 767,000 Completed Foreclosures in 2012 : February 01, 2013, Irvine, Calif : The five states with the highest foreclosure inventory as a percentage of : all mortgaged homes were: Florida (10.1 percent), New Jersey (7.0 percent), : New York (5.1 percent), Nevada (4.7 percent) and Illinois (4.5 percent). : http://www.corelogic.com/about-us/news/corelogic-reports-767,00 : (1.2) Surge in foreclosure auctions shows Chicago-area market's pain : February 06, 2013|By Mary Ellen Podmolik, Chicago Tribune reporter : More than 35,000 homes and small multifamily buildings in the Chicago area
| j*****c 发帖数: 76 | 17 房市复苏谁都知道。芝加哥overall还算正常。当然downtown厉害一点。但是也没有很
夸张。这是美国又不是中国,downtown贵了就不住了么。老美本来就不像国人那么钟情
downtown。但是无论怎么说现在是买房好时机。
★ 发自iPhone App: ChineseWeb 7.7
【在 g******4 的大作中提到】![](/moin_static193/solenoid/img/up.png) : [1] 芝加哥银行收集了很多的房子, 现在还在收 : (1.1) CoreLogic Reports 767,000 Completed Foreclosures in 2012 : February 01, 2013, Irvine, Calif : The five states with the highest foreclosure inventory as a percentage of : all mortgaged homes were: Florida (10.1 percent), New Jersey (7.0 percent), : New York (5.1 percent), Nevada (4.7 percent) and Illinois (4.5 percent). : http://www.corelogic.com/about-us/news/corelogic-reports-767,00 : (1.2) Surge in foreclosure auctions shows Chicago-area market's pain : February 06, 2013|By Mary Ellen Podmolik, Chicago Tribune reporter : More than 35,000 homes and small multifamily buildings in the Chicago area
| s*****g 发帖数: 7857 | 18 银行就有把房子修好,自己出租的。
【在 g******4 的大作中提到】![](/moin_static193/solenoid/img/up.png) : [1] 芝加哥银行收集了很多的房子, 现在还在收 : (1.1) CoreLogic Reports 767,000 Completed Foreclosures in 2012 : February 01, 2013, Irvine, Calif : The five states with the highest foreclosure inventory as a percentage of : all mortgaged homes were: Florida (10.1 percent), New Jersey (7.0 percent), : New York (5.1 percent), Nevada (4.7 percent) and Illinois (4.5 percent). : http://www.corelogic.com/about-us/news/corelogic-reports-767,00 : (1.2) Surge in foreclosure auctions shows Chicago-area market's pain : February 06, 2013|By Mary Ellen Podmolik, Chicago Tribune reporter : More than 35,000 homes and small multifamily buildings in the Chicago area
| c********r 发帖数: 1422 | 19 shush, let him continue his daydreaming. Don't wake him up.
【在 j*****c 的大作中提到】![](/moin_static193/solenoid/img/up.png) : 房市复苏谁都知道。芝加哥overall还算正常。当然downtown厉害一点。但是也没有很 : 夸张。这是美国又不是中国,downtown贵了就不住了么。老美本来就不像国人那么钟情 : downtown。但是无论怎么说现在是买房好时机。 : : ★ 发自iPhone App: ChineseWeb 7.7
| j*****c 发帖数: 76 | 20 基本很少,银行也想有人赶紧打包买走。装修出租管理这又得找一票人干,这不是银行
业务。servicer那里一直都堆着一堆这些房子。有关系的人都在里面淘好房子买,白菜
价。
★ 发自iPhone App: ChineseWeb 7.7
【在 s*****g 的大作中提到】![](/moin_static193/solenoid/img/up.png) : 银行就有把房子修好,自己出租的。
| | | x*********n 发帖数: 28013 | 21 gogo大哥,小弟来几个points。
首先,小弟我已经cash ready,bank ready准备买房了!
why?
1.我觉得一个成功男人一辈子需要6套房子,refer釉工,3套so far,
2.在一个好的location比如西北郊,房价低迷,但是仍然保持着有点衰败的活力。
3.我觉得未来还是美国的!没有之一,美国掌握着这个世界最重要资源,和原材料,军
事能力,政治能力无可匹敌。
4.大量的热钱源源不断涌入这个准备复苏的国家,详见俄罗斯富翁。
5.先人一步永远是对的。大量的海外留学生正在涌入这个国家,他们中的80%都能轻松
买下房子,因为visa,他们有的回去,有的留下,可是漂泊的生活让他们无从选择。一
旦这些人都有了stable job,market的房子轻松被cash pay off,then you are late!
6.永远不要想future,因为胜利属于敢于take risk的人。
最后,不要抢downtown的房子,我个人最不喜欢和人抢东西,因为我知道,当你和别人
做同样一件事情,往往你不能出奇制胜。 | g******4 发帖数: 6339 | 22 兄弟你让人佩服.
小弟梦想:一个房子,两辆车; 一个LP,两个娃。娃都去藤校.LP和我留疯城.
那在芝大家伙,写的文章, 真吓人.
20年后,人们看芝加哥,9像人们现在看底特律 ??
【在 x*********n 的大作中提到】![](/moin_static193/solenoid/img/up.png) : gogo大哥,小弟来几个points。 : 首先,小弟我已经cash ready,bank ready准备买房了! : why? : 1.我觉得一个成功男人一辈子需要6套房子,refer釉工,3套so far, : 2.在一个好的location比如西北郊,房价低迷,但是仍然保持着有点衰败的活力。 : 3.我觉得未来还是美国的!没有之一,美国掌握着这个世界最重要资源,和原材料,军 : 事能力,政治能力无可匹敌。 : 4.大量的热钱源源不断涌入这个准备复苏的国家,详见俄罗斯富翁。 : 5.先人一步永远是对的。大量的海外留学生正在涌入这个国家,他们中的80%都能轻松 : 买下房子,因为visa,他们有的回去,有的留下,可是漂泊的生活让他们无从选择。一
| x*********n 发帖数: 28013 | 23 等你有了这些,你会发现你要的更多。
应该有。
用投资的心态去生活,用生活的心态去投资,不是我说的,好像有人这么说过,挺有道
理的。
【在 g******4 的大作中提到】![](/moin_static193/solenoid/img/up.png) : 兄弟你让人佩服. : 小弟梦想:一个房子,两辆车; 一个LP,两个娃。娃都去藤校.LP和我留疯城. : 那在芝大家伙,写的文章, 真吓人. : 20年后,人们看芝加哥,9像人们现在看底特律 ??
| l********l 发帖数: 1416 | | g******4 发帖数: 6339 | 25 有两个基本的事实:
(1)银行有很多的房子
(2)利率上升前, 银行需要把它们弃置
【在 j*****c 的大作中提到】![](/moin_static193/solenoid/img/up.png) : 房市复苏谁都知道。芝加哥overall还算正常。当然downtown厉害一点。但是也没有很 : 夸张。这是美国又不是中国,downtown贵了就不住了么。老美本来就不像国人那么钟情 : downtown。但是无论怎么说现在是买房好时机。 : : ★ 发自iPhone App: ChineseWeb 7.7
| g******4 发帖数: 6339 | 26
要更多房子,车子; LP,娃 ? ... 多la 多麻烦!!
【在 x*********n 的大作中提到】![](/moin_static193/solenoid/img/up.png) : 等你有了这些,你会发现你要的更多。 : 应该有。 : 用投资的心态去生活,用生活的心态去投资,不是我说的,好像有人这么说过,挺有道 : 理的。
| b*x 发帖数: 5456 | 27 两个基本事实,
1) 美元贬值, 大量发行新钞。
2) 政府控制 inflation数据 和增长数据, 保证长短期利率不上涨。
结果,
两个是矛盾的的, 唯一解决办法,
把贬值的美元赶到没有计入inflation的东西里去, 这些东西必涨来下一个泡泡。
如果不知道是什么, 自己google一下。
【在 g******4 的大作中提到】![](/moin_static193/solenoid/img/up.png) : 有两个基本的事实: : (1)银行有很多的房子 : (2)利率上升前, 银行需要把它们弃置
| g******4 发帖数: 6339 | 28 这是多变量函数。我们需要知道我们正在谈论 domain.
the interest rate will go up in two years.
美元贬值, 涨来下一个泡 不需要考虑 in that domain.
【在 b*x 的大作中提到】![](/moin_static193/solenoid/img/up.png) : 两个基本事实, : 1) 美元贬值, 大量发行新钞。 : 2) 政府控制 inflation数据 和增长数据, 保证长短期利率不上涨。 : 结果, : 两个是矛盾的的, 唯一解决办法, : 把贬值的美元赶到没有计入inflation的东西里去, 这些东西必涨来下一个泡泡。 : 如果不知道是什么, 自己google一下。
| b*x 发帖数: 5456 | 29 你还来讲数学??先把分子搞清楚吧。
而且用纯数学解释经济?
【在 g******4 的大作中提到】![](/moin_static193/solenoid/img/up.png) : 这是多变量函数。我们需要知道我们正在谈论 domain. : the interest rate will go up in two years. : 美元贬值, 涨来下一个泡 不需要考虑 in that domain.
| x*********n 发帖数: 28013 | 30 事实上最近美元是在升值。
QE这玩意也是随时都可以停止的。
昨天还有消息说QE要减少规模,也有某某说may 停止。股市应声下挫0.5%
其实其实,美国的经济问题的核心就是罗姆尼说的就业率。
可惜美国的民主不能保证每次都能遇到一个强有力的明主。
【在 b*x 的大作中提到】![](/moin_static193/solenoid/img/up.png) : 两个基本事实, : 1) 美元贬值, 大量发行新钞。 : 2) 政府控制 inflation数据 和增长数据, 保证长短期利率不上涨。 : 结果, : 两个是矛盾的的, 唯一解决办法, : 把贬值的美元赶到没有计入inflation的东西里去, 这些东西必涨来下一个泡泡。 : 如果不知道是什么, 自己google一下。
| | | g******4 发帖数: 6339 | 31 9考虑从现在到两年或三年, 许多因素可忽略, ex. 美元贬值, 下一个泡 ...
9考虑两个基本的事实
(1)银行有很多的房子
(2)利率上升前(within two or three years), 银行需要把它们弃置
【在 b*x 的大作中提到】![](/moin_static193/solenoid/img/up.png) : 你还来讲数学??先把分子搞清楚吧。 : 而且用纯数学解释经济?
| b*x 发帖数: 5456 | 32 讲再多, 你还是认为自己outsmart everyone。
简单的。
现在Nov 2013, chicago housing index future price 120.00
Nov 2017 chicago housing index future price 129.40
你能outsmart market吗? | t******2 发帖数: 2265 | 33 昨天还等你电话呢,今天有空接着聊会儿?
【在 b*x 的大作中提到】![](/moin_static193/solenoid/img/up.png) : 讲再多, 你还是认为自己outsmart everyone。 : 简单的。 : 现在Nov 2013, chicago housing index future price 120.00 : Nov 2017 chicago housing index future price 129.40 : 你能outsmart market吗?
| g******4 发帖数: 6339 | 34
不敢, 不敢
不敢, 不敢.
【在 b*x 的大作中提到】![](/moin_static193/solenoid/img/up.png) : 讲再多, 你还是认为自己outsmart everyone。 : 简单的。 : 现在Nov 2013, chicago housing index future price 120.00 : Nov 2017 chicago housing index future price 129.40 : 你能outsmart market吗?
| c********r 发帖数: 1422 | 35 历史事实来了。您给解释一下?
【在 g******4 的大作中提到】![](/moin_static193/solenoid/img/up.png) : 9考虑从现在到两年或三年, 许多因素可忽略, ex. 美元贬值, 下一个泡 ... : 9考虑两个基本的事实 : (1)银行有很多的房子 : (2)利率上升前(within two or three years), 银行需要把它们弃置
| b*x 发帖数: 5456 | 36 同学, 先把函数写出来, 这样我好copy paste好不好。 O8的数学很好的。
【在 c********r 的大作中提到】![](/moin_static193/solenoid/img/up.png) : 历史事实来了。您给解释一下?
| g******4 发帖数: 6339 | 37 房子的价格不是单变量的函数.
【在 c********r 的大作中提到】![](/moin_static193/solenoid/img/up.png) : 历史事实来了。您给解释一下?
| c********r 发帖数: 1422 | 38 你又开始一如既往的狡辩了.自己回去看你怎么写得!
你列那两个最主要的"事实"不就是为了支持你的房价下跌么?
还记得前几个月你乱滋shiller home price的事么?我认识的台湾人真的没有肤浅而且
至贱到这种程度的.
http://www.mitbbs.com/article_t/Chicago/31833899.html
【在 g******4 的大作中提到】![](/moin_static193/solenoid/img/up.png) : 房子的价格不是单变量的函数.
| g******4 发帖数: 6339 | 39
房子价格是多变量的函数!!!
房子的价格不是单变量(interest rate) 的函数,
NO!!
It is not that simple.
【在 c********r 的大作中提到】![](/moin_static193/solenoid/img/up.png) : 你又开始一如既往的狡辩了.自己回去看你怎么写得! : 你列那两个最主要的"事实"不就是为了支持你的房价下跌么? : 还记得前几个月你乱滋shiller home price的事么?我认识的台湾人真的没有肤浅而且 : 至贱到这种程度的. : http://www.mitbbs.com/article_t/Chicago/31833899.html
| g******4 发帖数: 6339 | 40 Housing Recovery Is a Sham Says the Guardian’s Heidi Moore
By Morgan Korn | Daily Ticker – 4 hours ago
-------------------------------
Not necessarily says Heidi Moore, U.S. finance and economics editor at the
Guardian. The so-called housing recovery may be “dubious,” she writes in a
recent column: “What looks like a housing recovery to the rest of us, but
is, in fact, something of a trap.”
Moore joined Dan Gross, an editor and columnist at Newsweek/Daily Beast and
author of “Better, Stronger, Faster: The Myth of American Decline…and the
Rise of the New Economy” and The Daily Ticker's Aaron Task to discuss the
state of the U.S. housing market.
Moore says banks and investors are propping up the recovery, not real buyers
. Banks now own a large percentage of available homes for sale because of
foreclosures and are controlling the supply to artificially increase prices,
she argues.
http://finance.yahoo.com/blogs/daily-ticker/housing-recovery-sh
【在 g******4 的大作中提到】![](/moin_static193/solenoid/img/up.png) : [1] 芝加哥银行收集了很多的房子, 现在还在收 : (1.1) CoreLogic Reports 767,000 Completed Foreclosures in 2012 : February 01, 2013, Irvine, Calif : The five states with the highest foreclosure inventory as a percentage of : all mortgaged homes were: Florida (10.1 percent), New Jersey (7.0 percent), : New York (5.1 percent), Nevada (4.7 percent) and Illinois (4.5 percent). : http://www.corelogic.com/about-us/news/corelogic-reports-767,00 : (1.2) Surge in foreclosure auctions shows Chicago-area market's pain : February 06, 2013|By Mary Ellen Podmolik, Chicago Tribune reporter : More than 35,000 homes and small multifamily buildings in the Chicago area
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