r********n
发帖数: 1162 | |
f*******4
发帖数: 656 | |
S*******r
发帖数: 11017 | |
z********o
发帖数: 3895 | 4 so need 8,000 to clear da chao |
N*******r
发帖数: 1098 | 5 Nothing new on the up to date demand. It is always around 8.2K. |
O****w
发帖数: 61 | 6 Seems the newly submitted 485 cases(EB3->2 porting and missing the 2007 boat
) were not included in the table.
【在 z********o 的大作中提到】
: so need 8,000 to clear da chao
|
L***a
发帖数: 3674 | 7 Thanks.
We are getting very close now. |
L***a
发帖数: 3674 | 8 obviously not
boat
【在 O****w 的大作中提到】
: Seems the newly submitted 485 cases(EB3->2 porting and missing the 2007 boat
: ) were not included in the table.
|
m****r
发帖数: 484 | 9 估计还要再过三个月能清空大潮
【在 S*******r 的大作中提到】
: 8275个需求？
: 7000个名额过不了大潮啊
|
L***a
发帖数: 3674 | 10 how come?
【在 m****r 的大作中提到】
: 估计还要再过三个月能清空大潮
|
|
|
p*****s
发帖数: 1780 | 11 以前的哪里能看？
【在 f*******4 的大作中提到】
: EB3 貌似比上次多了1万多人？？
|
L***a
发帖数: 3674 | 12 8275-7000=1275
1250*2/5=510?
510/255=2?
so....
Sep, Oct, Nov?
【在 m****r 的大作中提到】
: 估计还要再过三个月能清空大潮
|
N****g
发帖数: 2829 | 13 应该已经包括了，8000的数字比485 inventory显示的多。
boat
【在 O****w 的大作中提到】
: Seems the newly submitted 485 cases(EB3->2 porting and missing the 2007 boat
: ) were not included in the table.
|
m****r
发帖数: 484 | 14 差不多是这么算的，也就是个大概估算，很多信息不知道
【在 L***a 的大作中提到】
: 8275-7000=1275
: 1250*2/5=510?
: 510/255=2?
: so....
: Sep, Oct, Nov?
|
L***a
发帖数: 3674 | 15 8月的inventory出来了？
【在 N****g 的大作中提到】
: 应该已经包括了，8000的数字比485 inventory显示的多。
:
: boat
|
N****g
发帖数: 2829 | 16 no, last inventory.
【在 L***a 的大作中提到】
: 8月的inventory出来了？
|
s******n
发帖数: 340 | 17 Eb2 DEMAND IN August was 10450 |
s******n
发帖数: 340 | 18 C/I EB2 have consumed at least 25 K Spillover |
w*l
发帖数: 2550 | 19 seems pwmb not counted.
so may need much longer.
【在 m****r 的大作中提到】
: 差不多是这么算的，也就是个大概估算，很多信息不知道
|
L***a
发帖数: 3674 | 20 +1
【在 w*l 的大作中提到】
: seems pwmb not counted.
: so may need much longer.
|
|
|
r********n
发帖数: 1162 | 21 PWMB has minimum impact by far because not too many PWMB has been submitted
and approved yet.
Several PWMBs have been approved, but not a too big number.
【在 w*l 的大作中提到】
: seems pwmb not counted.
: so may need much longer.
|
e*9
发帖数: 2289 | |
w*l
发帖数: 2550 | 23 As I learned there are a couple of thousands of pwmb; there is one who
submitted 485 in Apr get approved; so it totally depends on whether uscis is
trying to get rid of those pwmb.
If there are >1000 so short, those >1000 may need three months to be covered
from the beginning of next fiscal year. Think about the amount of pwmb
cases can be preadjed during that time. So the 07 wave may need >6 months to
be cleared.
submitted
【在 r********n 的大作中提到】
: PWMB has minimum impact by far because not too many PWMB has been submitted
: and approved yet.
: Several PWMBs have been approved, but not a too big number.
|
s******n
发帖数: 340 | 24 Overall, there is around 10K PWMB before August 17th. I read this from a
lawyer's blog. I guess there are about 2-3K Chinese? Quite a few friends with PD April 07 missed the boat.
Not sure how many have submitted though. |
m******m
发帖数: 644 | 25 看样子要浪费了一些名额,比较去年10月和现在看起来,共批1400个左右,加上一点点新
交的,批1500左右顶多.
【在 e*9 的大作中提到】
: EB3C实批75人
|
m****r
发帖数: 484 | 26 If this is true, it may take whole year to clear 07/07 mess. Hope next year
SO will be huge
with PD April 07 missed the boat.
【在 s******n 的大作中提到】
: Overall, there is around 10K PWMB before August 17th. I read this from a
: lawyer's blog. I guess there are about 2-3K Chinese? Quite a few friends with PD April 07 missed the boat.
: Not sure how many have submitted though.
|
L***a
发帖数: 3674 | 27 only wish it's NOT ture
year
【在 m****r 的大作中提到】
: If this is true, it may take whole year to clear 07/07 mess. Hope next year
: SO will be huge
:
: with PD April 07 missed the boat.
|
S**W
发帖数: 79 | 28 烙印EB3实批950人，老中EB3实批75人。太不正常了。 |
s******n
发帖数: 340 | |
N*******r
发帖数: 1098 | 30 这么老的东西。。。
【在 s******n 的大作中提到】
: Blog about EB2 C/I PWMB analysis:
: http://us-non-immigrants.blogspot.com/2011/06/updated-green-car
|
|
|
L***a
发帖数: 3674 | 31 有没有新的啊
【在 N*******r 的大作中提到】
: 这么老的东西。。。
|
N*******r
发帖数: 1098 | 32 您要是08年的PD，未来6个月就能交 485. |
d****n
发帖数: 301 | 33 老音的EB3数字也忒吓人了，要是一放水，按这比例，我们不得被他们淹了。 |
w*l
发帖数: 2550 | 34 Seems not too bad:
EB2C PWMB:
2006-Oct 33
2007-Feb 58
2007-May 298
2007-Jul 485
2007-Aug 583
Situation is not so terrible for EB2C.
【在 s******n 的大作中提到】
: Blog about EB2 C/I PWMB analysis:
: http://us-non-immigrants.blogspot.com/2011/06/updated-green-car
|
L***a
发帖数: 3674 | 35 1457
。。。
【在 w*l 的大作中提到】
: Seems not too bad:
: EB2C PWMB:
: 2006-Oct 33
: 2007-Feb 58
: 2007-May 298
: 2007-Jul 485
: 2007-Aug 583
: Situation is not so terrible for EB2C.
|
M*N
发帖数: 435 | 36 但这是包括了7月和8月的呀
【在 L***a 的大作中提到】
: 1457
: 。。。
|
L***a
发帖数: 3674 | 37 还有8千2百多人
7000so
剩1200
中印二三开
老中480
480+1457=1937/250=8
不乐观啊不乐观
【在 M*N 的大作中提到】
: 但这是包括了7月和8月的呀
|
n***s
发帖数: 10056 | |
L***a
发帖数: 3674 | 39 吃自己的名额要明年5，6月才能清空大潮
(T ^ T)
【在 n***s 的大作中提到】
: So conclusion is....
|
T******r
发帖数: 2937 | 40 no conclusion. u r just on the boundary, lets just pray
【在 n***s 的大作中提到】
: So conclusion is....
|
|
|
a***x
发帖数: 26368 | 41 好呀。最好是6月之后。
【在 L***a 的大作中提到】
: 吃自己的名额要明年5，6月才能清空大潮
: (T ^ T)
|
L***a
发帖数: 3674 | 42 为什么呀
凭什么呀
【在 a***x 的大作中提到】
: 好呀。最好是6月之后。
|
a***x
发帖数: 26368 | 43 因为我又要回国吃包子了呀
【在 L***a 的大作中提到】
: 为什么呀
: 凭什么呀
|
L***a
发帖数: 3674 | 44 你拿到绿卡不就可以更自由的出入了
【在 a***x 的大作中提到】
: 因为我又要回国吃包子了呀
|
a***x
发帖数: 26368 | 45 在俺吃包子的时候current不要呀
【在 L***a 的大作中提到】
: 你拿到绿卡不就可以更自由的出入了
|
L***a
发帖数: 3674 | 46 哈哈
那就赶紧回来呗
然后再拿着绿卡回去吃下一口
说不定还没咬到馅儿呢
【在 a***x 的大作中提到】
: 在俺吃包子的时候current不要呀
|
a***x
发帖数: 26368 | 47 机票你出啊。。。
【在 L***a 的大作中提到】
: 哈哈
: 那就赶紧回来呗
: 然后再拿着绿卡回去吃下一口
: 说不定还没咬到馅儿呢
|
w*l
发帖数: 2550 | 48 Maybe not that bad.
If, yes IF, the so is 7000, among the 1200, I would like to say that EB2C
may be only 20%, should not be that many, say 40%. These 240 cases have been
preadjed.
This month pd 4/2007, by the end of this month, suppose all EB2C prior to it
could submit 485, this may introduce ~350 new cases. A hundred or more
among these ~350 might have been submitted and some of them might have been
preadjed.
Suppose these ~350 all turn into actual demand within 3 months, then by end
of Nov, the total EB2C demand may be 350 + 240 = 600 (up to this number). After that, the pwmb will gradually turn into demand and will be cleared by quota of the following months.
To have actual demand available to consume the monthly quota after Dec,
USCIS might want all pwmb to submit their 485 by Sep at least, so Sep may
have a chance to pass 1-Aug? Or they might save the numbers for future use
and wait for the preagj for new 485 cases.
However, if the so left is fewer, situation may be totally different.
【在 L***a 的大作中提到】
: 还有8千2百多人
: 7000so
: 剩1200
: 中印二三开
: 老中480
: 480+1457=1937/250=8
: 不乐观啊不乐观
|
w*l
发帖数: 2550 | 49 Just checked the Aug demand data, I was wrong.
Underestimated the Eb2C among the 1200.
been
it
been
end
After that, the pwmb will gradually turn into demand and will be cleared by
quota of the following months.
【在 w*l 的大作中提到】
: Maybe not that bad.
: If, yes IF, the so is 7000, among the 1200, I would like to say that EB2C
: may be only 20%, should not be that many, say 40%. These 240 cases have been
: preadjed.
: This month pd 4/2007, by the end of this month, suppose all EB2C prior to it
: could submit 485, this may introduce ~350 new cases. A hundred or more
: among these ~350 might have been submitted and some of them might have been
: preadjed.
: Suppose these ~350 all turn into actual demand within 3 months, then by end
: of Nov, the total EB2C demand may be 350 + 240 = 600 (up to this number). After that, the pwmb will gradually turn into demand and will be cleared by quota of the following months.
|
L***a
发帖数: 3674 | 50 What's the right estimation then?
(@_@)
by
【在 w*l 的大作中提到】
: Just checked the Aug demand data, I was wrong.
: Underestimated the Eb2C among the 1200.
:
: been
: it
: been
: end
: After that, the pwmb will gradually turn into demand and will be cleared by
: quota of the following months.
|
|
|
w*l
发帖数: 2550 | 51 Your 480. Maybe even more than that.
【在 L***a 的大作中提到】
: What's the right estimation then?
: (@_@)
:
: by
|
x*****1
发帖数: 67 | 52 如果eb-3c在2007年前是这个数，2007前的2年总排到了吧。 |
r*******8
发帖数: 449 | 53 hard to say. around 1500 approved since 10/2010.
【在 x*****1 的大作中提到】
: 如果eb-3c在2007年前是这个数，2007前的2年总排到了吧。
|
n***s
发帖数: 10056 | 54 in English or in Chinese;-)
I hope I am in the inside of the boundary this time.
【在 T******r 的大作中提到】
: no conclusion. u r just on the boundary, lets just pray
|
L***a
发帖数: 3674 | 55 Yes U R
baozi plz
【在 n***s 的大作中提到】
: in English or in Chinese;-)
: I hope I am in the inside of the boundary this time.
|
n***s
发帖数: 10056 | 56 If VB passes 06/22/07, I'll give you baozi.
【在 L***a 的大作中提到】
: Yes U R
: baozi plz
|
L***a
发帖数: 3674 | 57 3x
=]
【在 n***s 的大作中提到】
: If VB passes 06/22/07, I'll give you baozi.
|
