r********n
发帖数: 1162 | 1 I copied from Q's forum. Credit to Spectator.
http://www.qesehmk.org/forums/showthread.php?4-EB2-Predictions-
SOFAD=EB2 C&I visa number plus Spillover.
totally we need 25k visa numbers in order to reach 2008. Things don't look
too great. We will be lucky if we can reach 2008.01 in the FY 2012.
With the reform of EB5 and new EB2 category, things look very bad. This year
we got 28k SOFAD, I doubt we can get 20k SOFAD in the next FY.
------------------- SOFAD
------------------ FY2012
Not including any Porting
April 2007 -------- 1,293
May 2007 ---------- 3,498
June 2007 --------- 6,282 (without spillover or Porting) FY2012 would end in
June 2007)
July 2007 -------- 10,675
August 2007 ------ 12,860
September 2007 --- 14,778
October 2007 ----- 16,975
November 2007 ---- 19,010
December 2007 ---- 20,888 (if porting were 5,000 then 25,888 visas required
to clear Dec 2007)
January 2008 ----- 23,453
February 2008 ---- 25,870
March 2008 ------- 27,856
April 2008 ------- 30,259
May 2008 --------- 32,482
June 2008 -------- 34,372
July 2008 -------- 36,174
August 2008 ------ 37,947
September 2008 --- 39,584
October 2008 ----- 41,669
November 2008 ---- 43,403
December 2008 ---- 45,226 | y**********r
发帖数: 2004 | | p*****a
发帖数: 3634 | | z********o
发帖数: 3895 | 4 "totally we need 25k visa numbers in order to reach 2008. Things don't look
too great. We will be lucky if we can reach 2008.01 in the FY 2012."
火箭的意思是今年到9月pd还有可能到不了08年1月？
那现在不是有不少08年的pd已经拿绿卡了？ | m*****e
发帖数: 719 | | r********n
发帖数: 1162 | 6 this was an analysis done by Indians 6 months ago.
I think we are already lucky to see 2008.03 approvals. My estimation is 06.
2008 will be the cut off date for this FY.
look
【在 z********o 的大作中提到】
: "totally we need 25k visa numbers in order to reach 2008. Things don't look
: too great. We will be lucky if we can reach 2008.01 in the FY 2012."
: 火箭的意思是今年到9月pd还有可能到不了08年1月？
: 那现在不是有不少08年的pd已经拿绿卡了？
| r********n
发帖数: 1162 | 7 If this year we can get spillover of more than 40k, we can reach December
2008 (true approvals).
I think 40k spillover is really difficult to get.
year
【在 r********n 的大作中提到】
: I copied from Q's forum. Credit to Spectator.
: http://www.qesehmk.org/forums/showthread.php?4-EB2-Predictions-
: SOFAD=EB2 C&I visa number plus Spillover.
: totally we need 25k visa numbers in order to reach 2008. Things don't look
: too great. We will be lucky if we can reach 2008.01 in the FY 2012.
: With the reform of EB5 and new EB2 category, things look very bad. This year
: we got 28k SOFAD, I doubt we can get 20k SOFAD in the next FY.
: ------------------- SOFAD
: ------------------ FY2012
: Not including any Porting
| a***g
发帖数: 2402 | 8 这个帖子貌似是2010年10月3日发的，却在评论2011年9月的VB。。。这位神人穿越了？
【在 m*****e 的大作中提到】
: 我虽然是新手，但也觉得这个分析在胡说八道！
| r********n
发帖数: 1162 | 9 The link got messed up.
This analysis was done six months ago.
The data is still valid.
The true approval needs to be 45k in order to pass 2008.
【在 a***g 的大作中提到】
: 这个帖子貌似是2010年10月3日发的，却在评论2011年9月的VB。。。这位神人穿越了？
| N*******r
发帖数: 1098 | 10 ＦＹ１３ starts at Oct.01.
So Hope 40K to reach end of Sept. of this FY -FY12. | c**s
发帖数: 3796 | 11 good one.
所以我估计２月份，EB２肯定是批了三万多(March 2008 ------- 27,856 +5000porting?)，考虑到三月排期前进，头两个季度EB２消
耗４万名额是没什么问题的。
year
【在 r********n 的大作中提到】
: I copied from Q's forum. Credit to Spectator.
: http://www.qesehmk.org/forums/showthread.php?4-EB2-Predictions-
: SOFAD=EB2 C&I visa number plus Spillover.
: totally we need 25k visa numbers in order to reach 2008. Things don't look
: too great. We will be lucky if we can reach 2008.01 in the FY 2012.
: With the reform of EB5 and new EB2 category, things look very bad. This year
: we got 28k SOFAD, I doubt we can get 20k SOFAD in the next FY.
: ------------------- SOFAD
: ------------------ FY2012
: Not including any Porting
| B*****g
发帖数: 34098 | 12 多等几天在分析吧，下个月的数据应该比较靠谱了
5000porting?)，考虑到三月排期前进，头两个季度EB２消
【在 c**s 的大作中提到】
: good one.
: 所以我估计２月份，EB２肯定是批了三万多(March 2008 ------- 27,856 +5000porting?)，考虑到三月排期前进，头两个季度EB２消
: 耗４万名额是没什么问题的。
:
: year
| N*******r
发帖数: 1098 | 13 I guess there is no demand report again in this month, because the # on
report will be very low still. | r********n
发帖数: 1162 | 14 yes, I agree. I think 30k number makes sense.
5000porting?)，考虑到三月排期前进，头两个季度EB２消
【在 c**s 的大作中提到】
: good one.
: 所以我估计２月份，EB２肯定是批了三万多(March 2008 ------- 27,856 +5000porting?)，考虑到三月排期前进，头两个季度EB２消
: 耗４万名额是没什么问题的。
:
: year
|
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