z**n
发帖数: 22303 | | D******r
发帖数: 491 | 2 will crush in 5-6 months.
But not sure about 7.62x39 or 5.45x39 ammos, these 2 rely too heavily on
imports and surplus, difficult to predict. | C*******r
发帖数: 10345 | 3 如果宏观经济不变，弹药价格应该大大下降。但是如果美元进一步走跌，特别是
commodities(像铜，铝，铅，和化工原料）价格大涨，弹药价格还会大幅上涨。这个上
涨的可能性很大，俺大概主管估计2/3机会。主要是受“救市”计划影响。 | z****c
发帖数: 602 | 4 Agree, especially when troops retreat from Iraq in the next a few month.
Just an example, on ebay price of a new Matech Backup Iron Sight(USGI) is
about $50 now. The MSRP of that thing is about $130. Guess a lot of veterans
are trying to get some quick cash. | C*******r
发帖数: 10345 | 5 还有，因为经济上的需求elasity的因素，对不怎么elastic的goods, 价格下跌要比上
涨慢得多。而弹药需求和枪支销售有关，也和consumer stockpiling有关，俺认为，从
目前枪支销售大涨来看，弹药持续高价还要一定时间。要crash, 先会是枪支价格crash
, 主要是因为枪支属于durable goods,价格变化幅度会很大。 |
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