i**s 发帖数: 332 | 1 想着4月30日的8000元退税截至期,恐怕不好赶上了。
假如房子价格较贵,比如30/40万刀以上的房子,是否可能4.30以后降价,那岂不比拿
退税强?
另,这个8000退税和贷款多少有关系吗? |
m***y 发帖数: 14763 | |
O*******k 发帖数: 611 | 3 4.30后房价会明显下降,但是要保佑老奥不要再extend了。。。。 |
e********t 发帖数: 9607 | 4 难说阿,4.30后是季节性房市开始热了,不好说到时房子一定会比冬天便宜。
如果去年11月底结束的话,房价下降是更有可能的。
这可能也是去年extend的原因。
【在 O*******k 的大作中提到】![](/moin_static193/solenoid/img/up.png) : 4.30后房价会明显下降,但是要保佑老奥不要再extend了。。。。
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O*******k 发帖数: 611 | 5 有道理,不过反正我身边的人都是眼巴巴等着4.30后买,有中国人也有美国人。。。也
许我这里房价高的原因。。。
【在 e********t 的大作中提到】![](/moin_static193/solenoid/img/up.png) : 难说阿,4.30后是季节性房市开始热了,不好说到时房子一定会比冬天便宜。 : 如果去年11月底结束的话,房价下降是更有可能的。 : 这可能也是去年extend的原因。
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w******y 发帖数: 8040 | 6 房奴区利率升高0.5比8000 credit终结对房价降低影响大的多吧
除非O8就是狗住不升息, 看能狗多久
【在 O*******k 的大作中提到】![](/moin_static193/solenoid/img/up.png) : 有道理,不过反正我身边的人都是眼巴巴等着4.30后买,有中国人也有美国人。。。也 : 许我这里房价高的原因。。。
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H****y 发帖数: 221 | |
b*****r 发帖数: 4717 | 8 interesting, the demand is still there but later, if everyone waits after 4.
30 to buy, the price will be up due to the roll forward of demand.
【在 O*******k 的大作中提到】![](/moin_static193/solenoid/img/up.png) : 有道理,不过反正我身边的人都是眼巴巴等着4.30后买,有中国人也有美国人。。。也 : 许我这里房价高的原因。。。
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i**s 发帖数: 332 | 9 我觉得房价高的地区反倒没必要等,它行市在那儿摆着,怎么都不会太差。一旦有好价
格的房子大家就会一拥而上。 也就购买力不旺盛的地方卖家会趁退税政策指望卖个好
价钱。
【在 O*******k 的大作中提到】![](/moin_static193/solenoid/img/up.png) : 有道理,不过反正我身边的人都是眼巴巴等着4.30后买,有中国人也有美国人。。。也 : 许我这里房价高的原因。。。
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H*****1 发帖数: 4815 | 10 有阵没关注房市了,两三个礼拜前,去一个open house凑热闹,代理说最近的交易额
已经明显上升了,那么说demand不会在4.30后显著上升啊
当然也可能是agent忽悠人的
4.
【在 b*****r 的大作中提到】![](/moin_static193/solenoid/img/up.png) : interesting, the demand is still there but later, if everyone waits after 4. : 30 to buy, the price will be up due to the roll forward of demand.
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m***y 发帖数: 14763 | 11 Agents always say that :)
【在 H*****1 的大作中提到】![](/moin_static193/solenoid/img/up.png) : 有阵没关注房市了,两三个礼拜前,去一个open house凑热闹,代理说最近的交易额 : 已经明显上升了,那么说demand不会在4.30后显著上升啊 : 当然也可能是agent忽悠人的 : : 4.
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r*****e 发帖数: 7853 | 12 Better to buy sooner than later if you can get $8000:
1. rate will go up. 0.5% can cost you a lot of money
2. house price may be stable, at least not drop that much
3. suppose a house of this kind can become $15000 cheaper after 4/30,
many sellers may decide keeping the house instead of selling it.
【在 i**s 的大作中提到】![](/moin_static193/solenoid/img/up.png) : 想着4月30日的8000元退税截至期,恐怕不好赶上了。 : 假如房子价格较贵,比如30/40万刀以上的房子,是否可能4.30以后降价,那岂不比拿 : 退税强? : 另,这个8000退税和贷款多少有关系吗?
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h*d 发帖数: 19309 | 13 I have no idea if tax credit will continue but I highly doubt mortgage rate
would go up. there are many existing house listed at higher than new
construction price in my area now and considering how many people are under
water.
【在 r*****e 的大作中提到】![](/moin_static193/solenoid/img/up.png) : Better to buy sooner than later if you can get $8000: : 1. rate will go up. 0.5% can cost you a lot of money : 2. house price may be stable, at least not drop that much : 3. suppose a house of this kind can become $15000 cheaper after 4/30, : many sellers may decide keeping the house instead of selling it.
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r*****e 发帖数: 7853 | 14 A really old post :)
The current low mortgage rate was partially because the Fed's buying
mortgage security. Fed has a plan to stop that at the end of March.
Without that, the rate will go up.
rate
under
【在 h*d 的大作中提到】![](/moin_static193/solenoid/img/up.png) : I have no idea if tax credit will continue but I highly doubt mortgage rate : would go up. there are many existing house listed at higher than new : construction price in my area now and considering how many people are under : water.
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r****c 发帖数: 2585 | 15 80万以上房子怎么都没有退,影响不大
【在 i**s 的大作中提到】![](/moin_static193/solenoid/img/up.png) : 想着4月30日的8000元退税截至期,恐怕不好赶上了。 : 假如房子价格较贵,比如30/40万刀以上的房子,是否可能4.30以后降价,那岂不比拿 : 退税强? : 另,这个8000退税和贷款多少有关系吗?
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c****o 发帖数: 32446 | 16 4/30后变成16000块的tax credit,而且没有收入限制 |
P********6 发帖数: 709 | 17 good that some people are aware of this:
(1) fed will stop buy mortgage security, the influence in the next few
months should be within 0.7%, but 0.7% is a lot of money. More likely the
influence will be around 0.3% (also a lot of money).
(2) the $8000 tax rebate will not be extended. otherwise the congress will
talk about moral hazard. after april 30, it'll be a game theory of many
factors playing together:
(a) many buyers who have been waiting to see price drop will step in if
prices really
【在 r*****e 的大作中提到】![](/moin_static193/solenoid/img/up.png) : A really old post :) : The current low mortgage rate was partially because the Fed's buying : mortgage security. Fed has a plan to stop that at the end of March. : Without that, the rate will go up. : : rate : under
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