w********s 发帖数: 1570 | |
N********n 发帖数: 8363 | 2
In order to go up 100k a year you need endless supply of suckers
always willing to buy it up every year at the high. Someday you will
run out of suckers and thus housing price inevitably sinks, and that
is how every bubble ends.
【在 w********s 的大作中提到】![](/moin_static193/solenoid/img/up.png) : 中国买套房,1年涨10万美金不是问题
|
w********s 发帖数: 1570 | 3 'Someday' means 30 or 40 years later, why should I care now?
【在 N********n 的大作中提到】![](/moin_static193/solenoid/img/up.png) : : In order to go up 100k a year you need endless supply of suckers : always willing to buy it up every year at the high. Someday you will : run out of suckers and thus housing price inevitably sinks, and that : is how every bubble ends.
|
i*****d 发帖数: 178 | 4 ta看图水平不怎样啊
【在 w********s 的大作中提到】![](/moin_static193/solenoid/img/up.png) : 中国买套房,1年涨10万美金不是问题
|
N********n 发帖数: 8363 | 5
30 or 40? Consider it a miracle if there could be even 3 or 4 more
years of such ever-appreciating madness.
【在 w********s 的大作中提到】![](/moin_static193/solenoid/img/up.png) : 'Someday' means 30 or 40 years later, why should I care now?
|
w*****7 发帖数: 5038 | 6 Another 10 years
【在 N********n 的大作中提到】![](/moin_static193/solenoid/img/up.png) : : 30 or 40? Consider it a miracle if there could be even 3 or 4 more : years of such ever-appreciating madness.
|
B****o 发帖数: 1393 | |
a*******m 发帖数: 14194 | 8 10 years is possible.
Too many suckers and idiots in China, believe or not,
you have to admit.
【在 N********n 的大作中提到】![](/moin_static193/solenoid/img/up.png) : : 30 or 40? Consider it a miracle if there could be even 3 or 4 more : years of such ever-appreciating madness.
|
x*********n 发帖数: 28013 | 9 doesn't matter,
only if those idiots can earn money |
k**o 发帖数: 15334 | 10 中国的房价,还远远没有涨到位,与中国经济世界第二的位置,还有段距离。
当年日本泡沫的时候,一个东京的房地产,价值technically可以买下整个美国
的房地产。现在一个北京,还买不了曼哈顿吧。 |
bz 发帖数: 1770 | 11 只要TG规定一RMB兑6USD,立马火星都买下了。
【在 k**o 的大作中提到】![](/moin_static193/solenoid/img/up.png) : 中国的房价,还远远没有涨到位,与中国经济世界第二的位置,还有段距离。 : 当年日本泡沫的时候,一个东京的房地产,价值technically可以买下整个美国 : 的房地产。现在一个北京,还买不了曼哈顿吧。
|
k**o 发帖数: 15334 | 12 也不是不可能,当年泡沫时代,260日元对1美元,一个广场协议,几年之内
迅速变成120日元对1美元了,然后到现在都70多日元对1美元了。
【在 bz 的大作中提到】![](/moin_static193/solenoid/img/up.png) : 只要TG规定一RMB兑6USD,立马火星都买下了。
|
N********n 发帖数: 8363 | 13
Even for a big nation like China there's a limit supply of suckers.
If a sucker has overpaid 100k for a house last year would he come
back overpaying another 100k for a new house? No, b/c if he cannot
make payment on his current mortgage he cannot take on more.
The house flippers will quickly run out of suckers to dump on then
what happens? Well the flippers will have the houses stuck in their
hand so these flippers become suckers themselves and the bubble pops.
【在 a*******m 的大作中提到】![](/moin_static193/solenoid/img/up.png) : 10 years is possible. : Too many suckers and idiots in China, believe or not, : you have to admit.
|