E*****m
发帖数: 25615 | 1 http://guardianlv.com/2013/07/religion-to-disappear-by-2041-cla
Religion to Disappear By 2041 Claims New Study
Added by Rebecca Savastio on July 23, 2013.
Saved under Rebecca Savastio, World
Religion to Disappear By 2038 Claims New Study
Author and noted biopsychologist Nigel Barber has completed a new study that
shows Atheism is most prevalent in developed countries, and, according to
his projections, religion will completely disappear by 2041. His findings
are discussed in his new book “Why Atheism Will Replace Religion.” A new
study that clarifies his earlier research will be published in August. His
findings focus on studying trends within countries around the world and the
fact that “Atheists are heavily concentrated in economically developed
countries”-
In my new study of 137 countries (1), I also found that atheism increases
for countries with a well-developed welfare state (as indexed by high
taxation rates). Moreover, countries with a more equal distribution of
income had more atheists. My study improved on earlier research by taking
account of whether a country is mostly Moslem (where atheism is criminalized
) or formerly Communist (where religion was suppressed) and accounted for
three-quarters of country differences in atheism.
His main thesis stems from the phenomenon of religion declining as personal
wealth increases. He cites the reason as people having less of a need for
supernatural beliefs when the tangible, natural world is providing for their
needs. He says the majority of the world will come to view religion as
completely irrelevant by 2041.
Political Scientist Eric Kaufmann holds the opposite view, citing the fact
that Atheists have fewer children than religious people. He thinks this
could indicate the religious mindset will proliferate due to religious folks
simply breeding more than Atheists. But what is the significance of the
prolific breeding of religious people?
Biotechnologist Thomas Rees poses this question in his essay “Will the
Religious Inherit the Earth?” In this piece, he discusses Kaufmann’s
research and comes to the conclusion that the breeding aspect could tip the
odds in favor of the religious purely due to fertility and childbearing
rates among them.
Barber, however, dismisses the breeding-related evidence, saying “…Yet,
noisy as they can be, such groups are tiny minorities of the global
population and they will become even more marginalized as global prosperity
increases and standards of living improve.”
He also says that as women become more integrated into the workforce, they
will have fewer children, even if they are members of a religious
fundamentalist group: “Moreover, as religious fundamentalists become
economically integrated, young women go to work and produce smaller families
, as is currently happening for Utah’s Mormons,” he says.
If a recent PEW study is any indication of a solid answer to the question,
Kaufman may be correct. The study, performed by PEW in 2012, indicates a
huge upswing in Atheism, with 20% of Americans now identifying as Agnostic,
Atheist or “Unaffiliated” with a religion. This number represents the
largest percentage of people in PEW’s history of polling who identify as
non-religious.
It is clear that the growth of Atheism or “unaffiliated” people is growing
at an incredibly rapid rate in the United States, but it seems that being
non-religious is also exploding globally. The UK’s Daily Mail reported an
extensive 2010 study that showed unaffiliated individuals as the “third
largest global group” behind Christians and Muslims, placing the
unaffiliated ahead of Hindus, Buddists, Jews and all other religious
affliations.
By: Rebecca Savastio |
E*****m
发帖数: 25615 | 2 完全消失是不可能的， 應該是指像北歐一樣剩下5%還上教堂。
這研究和我的猜測接近， 社會安全及福利有保障了， 人心不安這種
宗教養料就少了， 人就沒必要信教了。
乍看覺得這宣稱太樂觀， 不過想到愛爾蘭及其他西歐國家的例子，
這還真不是不可能。 比較大的變數是伊斯蘭 （文中提到了）。 |
l*****a
发帖数: 38403 | 3 同意
【在 E*****m 的大作中提到】
: 完全消失是不可能的， 應該是指像北歐一樣剩下5%還上教堂。
: 這研究和我的猜測接近， 社會安全及福利有保障了， 人心不安這種
: 宗教養料就少了， 人就沒必要信教了。
: 乍看覺得這宣稱太樂觀， 不過想到愛爾蘭及其他西歐國家的例子，
: 這還真不是不可能。 比較大的變數是伊斯蘭 （文中提到了）。
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x*a
发帖数: 4968 | |
w*********r
发帖数: 3382 | |
G*M
发帖数: 6042 | 6 真神，本老跟你赌一饭局，2041年，美国基督徒还有30% 以上。 |
E*****m
发帖数: 25615 | 7
我覺得我會輸，還是賭了， 請你吃飯還是請得起的。
我估計那時美國基督徒應該在35% 到45%, 西歐應該都在15% 以下，
中國應該在5% 以下， 如果社會發展得好的話。
【在 G*M 的大作中提到】
: 真神，本老跟你赌一饭局，2041年，美国基督徒还有30% 以上。
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x*a
发帖数: 4968 | |
E*****m
发帖数: 25615 | 9 你不是有永生？
【在 x*a 的大作中提到】
: 到底是年轻人。
: 我多半是看不着你俩的输赢了。
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x*a
发帖数: 4968 | 10
永生是将来大审判以后的事，在那之前，死就是死了。
【在 E*****m 的大作中提到】
: 你不是有永生？
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E*****m
发帖数: 25615 | 11
耶穌說求他的必得應許， 你求一下不就好了。
我知道你也不信就是了。
【在 x*a 的大作中提到】
:
: 永生是将来大审判以后的事，在那之前，死就是死了。
|
x*a
发帖数: 4968 | 12
我不想求这个，其实也没多大兴趣。
【在 E*****m 的大作中提到】
:
: 耶穌說求他的必得應許， 你求一下不就好了。
: 我知道你也不信就是了。
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E*****m
发帖数: 25615 | 13
你都求啥？ 有沒有求過耶穌告訴你在網上該做什麼？
【在 x*a 的大作中提到】
:
: 我不想求这个，其实也没多大兴趣。
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G*M
发帖数: 6042 | 14 本老相信真神不会小气到给本老买经济舱吧
【在 E*****m 的大作中提到】
:
: 你都求啥？ 有沒有求過耶穌告訴你在網上該做什麼？
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d******r
发帖数: 5008 | 15
大审判以后查查历史就行了。
【在 x*a 的大作中提到】
:
: 我不想求这个，其实也没多大兴趣。
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E*****m
发帖数: 25615 | 16
當然不會買經濟艙。
【在 G*M 的大作中提到】
: 本老相信真神不会小气到给本老买经济舱吧
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