l****z
发帖数: 29846 | 1 Experts Confounded: Retail Sales Rise First Time in Four Months, But Weaker
Than Expected
updated on Wed Apr 15, 2015 03:45 by [email protected]
/* */ (Mike Mish Shedlock
)
The Bloomberg retail sales consensus estimate was for a 1.1% gain. Sales did
rise for the first time in four months, but not as much as expected.
Retail sales in March rebounded 0.9 percent after dropping 0.5 percent
in February. The market consensus for March was for a 1.1 percent boost.
Excluding autos, sales gained 0.4 percent, following no change in February.
Expectations were for a 0.6 percent increase. Gasoline sales dipped 0.6
percent after 2.3 percent increase in February. Excluding both autos and
gasoline sales rebounded 0.5 percent after declining 0.3 percent in February
. Expectations were for a 0.4 percent increase.
Experts Confounded
Please consider U.S. Retail Sales Rise for First Time in Four Months.
U.S. retail sales rose for the first time in four months in March, but
the gain wasn’t enough to offset weaker spending during the winter months
as consumers continued to largely pocket savings from cheaper gasoline
prices.
“This outcome confounds all the standard consumer-spending models,” J.
P. Morgan chief U.S. economist Michael Feroli said in a note to clients. “
Job gains, wealth gains, low gas prices and very high consumer sentiment
would all point to solid consumer spending increases.”
“The rebound we had been waiting for was rather soft and disappointing,
” Laura Rosner, an economist at BNP Paribas, said in a note to clients.
Paying less at the pump should free up money for U.S. consumers to spend
elsewhere. But many are socking that money away, or using it to pay down
debt.
Possible Explanations
Consumers did not realize how much the weather has changed for the
better.
The standard models are bogus.
Reports of strong jobs are more myth than reality.
I opt for a combination of two and three. | t*c
发帖数: 8291 | 2 虽然原油大跌，汽油价格就没怎么跌，
我们这里的汽油经常在$3.5一加仑左右徘徊。只有很短的时间低于$3.
只有几天时间低于$2.5. 所以所谓便宜原油对经济的刺激，从何而来？
Weaker
/* */ (Mike Mish
Shedlock
did
.
【在 l****z 的大作中提到】
: Experts Confounded: Retail Sales Rise First Time in Four Months, But Weaker
: Than Expected
: updated on Wed Apr 15, 2015 03:45 by [email protected]
: /* */ (Mike Mish Shedlock
: )
: The Bloomberg retail sales consensus estimate was for a 1.1% gain. Sales did
: rise for the first time in four months, but not as much as expected.
: Retail sales in March rebounded 0.9 percent after dropping 0.5 percent
: in February. The market consensus for March was for a 1.1 percent boost.
: Excluding autos, sales gained 0.4 percent, following no change in February.
| l****z
发帖数: 29846 | 3 你哪里啊, 我们这里当初油价跌入1.7. 现在一直在2.3左右.
【在 t*c 的大作中提到】
: 虽然原油大跌，汽油价格就没怎么跌，
: 我们这里的汽油经常在$3.5一加仑左右徘徊。只有很短的时间低于$3.
: 只有几天时间低于$2.5. 所以所谓便宜原油对经济的刺激，从何而来？
:
: Weaker
: /* */ (Mike Mish
: Shedlock
: did
: .
| m**e
发帖数: 495 | 4 还能是哪里，加州人民民主共和国。
【在 l****z 的大作中提到】
: 你哪里啊, 我们这里当初油价跌入1.7. 现在一直在2.3左右.
| l****z
发帖数: 29846 | 5 哦, 我找工作的时候从来不考虑CA的, 看到CA的就说不去.
我的AK47不能带去的州我一律不考虑.
【在 m**e 的大作中提到】
: 还能是哪里，加州人民民主共和国。
| j*****y
发帖数: 2042 | 6 同吃惊，costco油价2.5以下的飘过
【在 l****z 的大作中提到】
: 你哪里啊, 我们这里当初油价跌入1.7. 现在一直在2.3左右.
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