f**********n 发帖数: 29853 | 1 Anders Tegnell predicted herd immunity, when about 60% of a population is
immune, will be reached in the capital, Stockholm, within two to three weeks.
http://www.wnd.com/2020/04/sweden-says-no-lockdown-coronavirus-reponse-working/ | I****s 发帖数: 1167 | 2 Sweden’s state epidemiologist Anders Tegnell has announced a record daily
high of coronavirus cases for the second consecutive day. 812 positive COVID
-19 tests were reported during the prior 24 hours, taking the overall total
to 17,567. Tegnell had previously insisted on several occasions that the
spread of the virus was slowing.
哪里看出能群免了? | f**********n 发帖数: 29853 | 3 你得看新闻。谷歌翻译据说不错。
COVID
total
【在 I****s 的大作中提到】 : Sweden’s state epidemiologist Anders Tegnell has announced a record daily : high of coronavirus cases for the second consecutive day. 812 positive COVID : -19 tests were reported during the prior 24 hours, taking the overall total : to 17,567. Tegnell had previously insisted on several occasions that the : spread of the virus was slowing. : 哪里看出能群免了?
| h****g 发帖数: 2216 | 4 https://www.newsweek.com/coronavirus-second-wave-sweden-lockdown-herd-
immunity-covid-19-1500046
上面这段新闻里对瑞典的形势有更详细预测。注意,这是官方预测。摘录几段“精彩”
得。
这是对首都现有现实形势的估计
Tegnell also claimed up to 20 percent of residents in Stockholm, the capital
of Sweden, have been infected with the virus, noting "We believe that we
have an immunity level, if I remember rightly, somewhere between 15-20
percent of the population in Stockholm.
"This is not complete herd immunity but it will definitely affect the
reproduction rate and slow down the spread (of a second wave)," he added.
Stockholm has reported nearly 15,300 confirmed cases of COVID-19, with at
least 1,765 deaths, including among very elderly residents of nursing homes,
according to the agency.
下面是说高峰已经过去(高峰是4月15日)
The agency's study suggested the rate of new infections in Stockholm peaked
on April 15, while a decline was not yet evident from the data. The study
also estimated that for each confirmed case, there were around 999 milder
cases not recorded because people did not seek medical help.
这个是对5月1日前的首都形势的预测。
According to the study based on data from random testing and cases reported
to hospitals, around one third of Stockholm's population of nearly a million
will be infected by May 1.
做个减法(1/3 - 1/5),这是说至少有13%以上的人会在月底被感染。换句话说,瑞典
的public health agency 一方面声称感染高峰已经过去(好消息),另一方面又间接
预测更高的感染高峰会在月底前出现(他们居然也觉得这是好消息)。这是押宝压两头
啊。5月1日到来的时候,总有一个押对得。
weeks.
【在 f**********n 的大作中提到】 : Anders Tegnell predicted herd immunity, when about 60% of a population is : immune, will be reached in the capital, Stockholm, within two to three weeks. : http://www.wnd.com/2020/04/sweden-says-no-lockdown-coronavirus-reponse-working/
| I****s 发帖数: 1167 | 5 这不这两天的新增都是record high,被打脸了。slow down my ass。 | h**0 发帖数: 374 | 6 再挺两星期,天热后自然会慢下来,到年底瑞典真可能实现全民免疫
capital
【在 h****g 的大作中提到】 : https://www.newsweek.com/coronavirus-second-wave-sweden-lockdown-herd- : immunity-covid-19-1500046 : 上面这段新闻里对瑞典的形势有更详细预测。注意,这是官方预测。摘录几段“精彩” : 得。 : 这是对首都现有现实形势的估计 : Tegnell also claimed up to 20 percent of residents in Stockholm, the capital : of Sweden, have been infected with the virus, noting "We believe that we : have an immunity level, if I remember rightly, somewhere between 15-20 : percent of the population in Stockholm. : "This is not complete herd immunity but it will definitely affect the
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