X****i
发帖数: 1877 | 1 ‘The Secret Club that Runs the World’, by Kate Kelly
Review by Gregory Meyer
An exposé of commodities markets may credit traders with too much power
The Secret Club that Runs the World: Inside the Fraternity of Commodity
Traders, by Kate Kelly, $29.95, 288 pages
On March 28 2011, Delta Air Lines delivered a plea to Washington. Traders
with no business in the oil market were pushing up the price of the 4bn
gallons of jet fuel Delta burnt each year. The Commodity Futures Trading
Commission needed ... 阅读全帖 |
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c******a
发帖数: 4400 | 2 hehe. British royal family supporting British products
What the heck you do with the I-Pace? Can you charge quickly on the road?
Can you go 300 miles? Does it have AP? Can you summon, check charge remotely
Look like how ordinary people do the review
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0JvKsI3_xA0
Karen Pease
4 months ago (edited)
The short version of the below post: Starting price is 109k EUR, loaded.
That's the only model available for 6-12 months. Even then, lots of things
you'd expect to be stan... 阅读全帖 |
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w****s
发帖数: 122 | 3 【 以下文字转载自 Biology 讨论区 】
发信人: wszcas (roy), 信区: Biology
标 题: 真诚求审稿机会:statistical genetics and genetics epidemiology
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Thu Feb 27 17:01:23 2014, 美东)
PhD in statistical genetics and genetics epidemiology, currently a post-doc
at UCSF.
expertise: genome-wide association studies, disease heritability estimation,
population stratification and candidate-gene based/genome-wide association
analysis, admixture mapping,Meta-analysis of GWAS,confounding and
heterogeneity in GWAS
Thanks!!! |
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M***O
发帖数: 3718 | 4 Everything you know about immigration, particularly unauthorized immigration
, is wrong.
So says Princeton University’s Doug Massey, anyway. Massey is one of the
nation’s preeminent immigration scholars. And he thinks we’ve wasted a
whole lot of money on immigration policy and are about to waste a whole lot
more .
Massey slices the history of Mexico-to-U.S. migration in five periods. Early
in the 20th century, there was the era of “the hook,” when Japan stopped
sending workers to the U.S. and th... 阅读全帖 |
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s**********n
发帖数: 72 | 5
这篇解释的不错，它说，按照现在的政策，只要在交了485后满180天就可以换工作。（
不管绿卡到手没有。即使绿卡到手，也是要从485提交那天开始满180天。）
但是又提到换“工作”和换“职业” 是两回事。
换“职业” 有风险。也就是说创业什么的不行？
http://www.nexusltd.com/changing-jobs-before-and-after-green-ca
The bigger issue that seems to confound both AOS and CP applicants is how
long must they continue to work for their sponsoring employers after they
become lawful permanent residents. Many years ago, the former INS had a rule
that presumed fraud on the part of the employee if he or she changed
employers within... 阅读全帖 |
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s**********n
发帖数: 72 | 6 这篇解释的不错，它说，按照现在的政策，只要在交了485后满180天就可以换工作。（
不管绿卡到手没有。即使绿卡到手，也是要从485提交那天开始满180天。）
但是又提到换“工作”和换“职业” 是两回事。
换“职业” 有风险。也就是说创业什么的不行？
The bigger issue that seems to confound both AOS and CP applicants is how
long must they continue to work for their sponsoring employers after they
become lawful permanent residents. Many years ago, the former INS had a rule
that presumed fraud on the part of the employee if he or she changed
employers within two years of becoming an lawful permanent resident (LPR).
That r... 阅读全帖 |
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s**********n
发帖数: 72 | 7 这篇解释的不错，它说，按照现在的政策，只要在交了485后满180天就可以换工作。（
不管绿卡到手没有。即使绿卡到手，也是要从485提交那天开始满180天。）
但是又提到换“工作”和换“职业” 是两回事。
换“职业” 有风险。也就是说创业什么的不行？
http://www.nexusltd.com/changing-jobs-before-and-after-green-ca
The bigger issue that seems to confound both AOS and CP applicants is how
long must they continue to work for their sponsoring employers after they
become lawful permanent residents. Many years ago, the former INS had a rule
that presumed fraud on the part of the employee if he or she changed
employers within ... 阅读全帖 |
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b****h
发帖数: 2105 | 15 怪不得10月inventory数据离谱，原来早有安排 |
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l****z
发帖数: 29846 | 19 【 以下文字转载自 USANews 讨论区 】
发信人: lczlcz (lcz), 信区: USANews
标 题: 自作自受:加州打死警察的非法移民,曾两次被遣返
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Sun Oct 26 22:14:10 2014, 美东)
The suspect alleged to have shot three northern California sheriff's
deputies Friday, killing two, was deported twice and has a criminal record,
federal officials said late Saturday.
A U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement spokeswoman said that the
fingerprints of the suspected shooter match those of a man named Luis
Enrique Monroy-Bracamonte. Monroy-Bracamonte wa... 阅读全帖 |
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t*******m
发帖数: 1893 | 20 https://www.bostonglobe.com/metro/2018/02/06/proposed-bill-categorizing-
asian-americans-stirs-debate/PVBK59Sw9crFFPbkVlwgfO/story.html
A State House effort to categorize Asian-Americans into specific ethnic
groups is clashing with a vocal and well-organized opposition that has
likened the effort to racial profiling.
A bill by state Representative Tackey Chan urges “all state agencies, quasi
-state agencies, entities created by state statute, and sub-divisions of
state agencies” to identify Asia... 阅读全帖 |
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w*****2
发帖数: 1458 | 21 Regarding CF# 07-004281
I know most of you who personally know me are in disbelief to hear from
media reports that I am suspected of committing such horrendous murders and
have taken drastic and shocking actions in the last couple of days. You are
saying to yourself that this is completely out of character of the man you
knew who always wore a smile wherever he was seen. I know I will be vilified
by the LAPD and the media. Unfortunately, this is a necessary evil that I
do not enjoy but must part... 阅读全帖 |
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S*********g
发帖数: 24893 | 22 【 以下文字转载自 Military 讨论区 】
发信人: StephenKing (金博士), 信区: Military
标 题: 真正的美国新闻：让美国蒙羞的新闻
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Thu Feb 7 23:47:31 2013, 美东)
From: Christopher Jordan Dorner /7648
To: America
Subj: Last resort
Regarding CF# 07-004281
I know most of you who personally know me are in disbelief to hear from
media reports that I am suspected of committing such horrendous murders and
have taken drastic and shocking actions in the last couple of days. You are
saying to yourself that this is completely out of cha... 阅读全帖 |
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d******8
发帖数: 3017 | 23 MANIFESTO - scrubbed by mainstream media outlets
From: Christopher Jordan Dorner /7648
To: America
Subj: Last resort
Regarding CF# 07-004281
I know most of you who personally know me are in disbelief to hear from
media reports that I am suspected of committing such horrendous murders and
have taken drastic and shocking actions in the last couple of days. You are
saying to yourself that this is completely out of character of the man you
knew who always wore a smile wherever he was seen. I know I ... 阅读全帖 |
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e*****o
发帖数: 1872 | 24 我讨论的这个朋友的情况最多算是个case study,
您要在这开口闭口什么"好多",“国女”的 ，这么挥着棒子带倒一大片，您做过具体的调查研究吗？如果有，那麻烦给出您的contexts和quantitative stats：
请问您把population定的这么大，那您这么定论的sample是多大？是random的吗？approaching normal distribution？representative？Validity, reliability? Is there any confounding variable?
要是您对自己的argument没把握，最好措辞慎重一些.
我觉得您也不象是某些追不到女朋友，成天心理不平衡，只好吃不着葡萄说葡萄酸，败坏中国女生名声的人，对吧？
我从来不赞成您说的脚踩几条船的行为，但您要这种口气说，那我也只好从另外一种角度解说一下了：看着别人有几条船侯着，就酸溜溜的挖苦讽刺的话，那某人就要分析一下自己咋没有了。总是有原因的吧？ |
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p**********u
发帖数: 15479 | 25 【 以下文字转载自 Military 讨论区 】
发信人: Tashkent (SiempreAqui), 信区: Military
标 题: LA屁地估计是要当场击毙这个前警察
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Thu Feb 7 21:48:39 2013, 美东)
此人在FB上揭了警察局这些乱七八糟的黑幕，又是个黑人。留他活口肯定是重要不安定
因素。此人被和谐几率超高。
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2013/02/07/christopher-dorner-wri
他说的也还挺实在的：拉丁警察对拉丁移民也粗暴。亚裔警察就在旁边看着，这群废物
果然不出所料。
From: Christopher Jordan Dorner /7648
To: America
Subj: Last resort
Regarding CF# 07-004281
I know most of you who personally know me are in disbelief to hear from
media reports that I am suspected ... 阅读全帖 |
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r*******t
发帖数: 8550 | 26 【 以下文字转载自 WaterWorld 讨论区 】
发信人: docluver (docluver), 信区: WaterWorld
标 题: UCLA开放课程：中国的兴与衰 Fall and Rise of China
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Wed Jan 5 11:02:10 2011, 美东)
UCLA开放课程：中国的兴与衰 Fall and Rise of China
中国的兴与衰
（这是网上找到的最全的集合，欲下从速，删除后不再重新上传）
更多纪录片、教学视频请访问：http://www.docwiki.org
Course No. 8370 (48 lectures, 30 minutes/lecture)
Taught by Richard Baum
University of California, Los Angeles
Ph.D., University of California, Berkeley
下载链接：
http://www.fileserve.com/file/yYZSm8c/01- The Splendor That Was China... 阅读全帖 |
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d******r
发帖数: 4 | 27 【 以下文字转载自 ChinaNews 讨论区 】
发信人: docluver (docluver), 信区: ChinaNews
标 题: UCLA开放课程：中国的兴与衰 Fall and Rise of China (转载)
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Wed Jan 5 11:04:35 2011, 美东)
发信人: docluver (docluver), 信区: Military
标 题: UCLA开放课程：中国的兴与衰 Fall and Rise of China
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Wed Jan 5 11:02:40 2011, 美东)
发信人: docluver (docluver), 信区: WaterWorld
标 题: UCLA开放课程：中国的兴与衰 Fall and Rise of China
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Wed Jan 5 11:02:10 2011, 美东)
UCLA开放课程：中国的兴与衰 Fall and Rise of China
中国的兴与衰
（这是网上找到的最全的集合，欲下从速，删除后不再重新上传）
... 阅读全帖 |
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t**********g
发帖数: 3388 | 28 【 以下文字转载自 Military 讨论区 】
发信人: Tashkent (SiempreAqui), 信区: Military
标 题: LA屁地估计是要当场击毙这个前警察
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Thu Feb 7 21:48:39 2013, 美东)
此人在FB上揭了警察局这些乱七八糟的黑幕，又是个黑人。留他活口肯定是重要不安定
因素。此人被和谐几率超高。
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2013/02/07/christopher-dorner-wri
他说的也还挺实在的：拉丁警察对拉丁移民也粗暴。亚裔警察就在旁边看着，这群废物
果然不出所料。
From: Christopher Jordan Dorner /7648
To: America
Subj: Last resort
Regarding CF# 07-004281
I know most of you who personally know me are in disbelief to hear from
media reports that I am suspected ... 阅读全帖 |
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s******g
发帖数: 755 | 29 【 以下文字转载自 Movie 讨论区 】
发信人: yituan (bob+dylan), 信区: Movie
标 题: Source Code的口碑越来越牛x了
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Wed Mar 30 16:17:25 2011, 美东)
91% fresh at rt
复杂的剧情似乎是影评人一致赞同的优点
"intriguing","confounding","challenging"
"it'll make your brain hurt(in a good way)"
"interesting philosophical ideas about the elasticity of time"
不管是自己创作的Moon,还是别人编剧的Source Code,看来Duncan Jones都在科幻电影中
注入近几年少见的思索成分
头两部科幻电影都能如此受到追捧，非常为Jones高兴 |
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M********d
发帖数: 49 | 30 A research firm says sales of personal computers in the U.S. didn't get any
boost from the launch of Windows 8, confounding the hopes of Microsoft and
PC makers.
NPD Group, which tracks U.S. retail sales, says that in the month since
Windows 8 launched on Oct. 26, sales of Windows PCs and tablets fell 21
percent compared with a year earlier.
NPD says there's no sign that Windows 8 made things worse for PC makers.
Rather, the weak sales are a continuation of a trend seen throughout this
year, as ... 阅读全帖 |
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i*****s
发帖数: 15215 | 31 Another foot found in Canadian waters
September 01, 2011|By the CNN Wire Staff
Authorities have found what appears to be a severed human foot this week,
the 11th found in waterways in British Columbia in the past four years.
The discovery of another foot, this one still stuck in a running shoe, adds
to the mystery that has confounded Canadians for years.
A boy found the foot and leg bone Tuesday near a marina in an inlet called
False Creek, Vancouver Police said.
Foul play is not suspected, auth... 阅读全帖 |
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J*V
发帖数: 3150 | 32 从流体力学来说
并不是体能越大，游得越快
因为体能大，体型也大，阻力也大
——阻力和面积的平方成正比——
所以不一定最有利速度
而且女人的身体滑、圆
男人的身体凹凸很多
这些都是不定的confounding因素 |
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l*****9
发帖数: 9501 | 33 Lin, Knicks getting everyone's best Share This Story
Bill Reiter
Updated Mar 6, 2012 1:22 PM ET
On Jeremy Lin this much is certain: The consequence of his stunning rise
will include facing the absolute best from almost every team the New York
Knicks play.
I believe Lin is, if not an elite player, at least a sure NBA starter and
sometimes star. I believe he is more than a flash in the pan. He has shown
his worth and his promise since bursting onto the scene last month, and to
think he will ... 阅读全帖 |
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f********3
发帖数: 519 | 34 纯跳投队肯定不行，勇士防守也是联盟前几名吧。一般跳投队防守都不行, 所以其实有
confounding。 |
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w********o
发帖数: 1621 | 35 德安东尼和波波的体系的缺点就是会把球星融入变成路人。虽然德安东尼体系里后卫的
数据会爆炸，但光看数据的话威少的数据比他还牛。看高阶数据分析，德安东尼的体系
就成了confounder了，把他的作用抵消掉了。 |
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R*****s
发帖数: 41236 | 36 今儿又调了调，发现cross chain的时候好像总是会擦到，
看了下PB上的这篇文章，说实际上shimano STI levers
有3个position, 如果在cross chain(大大，小小）的时候，
要把前变往回拨一点就好了：
http://learn.performancebike.com/bikes/advice/how-to-guides/bik
SHIMANO: Shimano 9- and 10-speed STI levers have three click positions. If
you find the chain to be rubbing, try depressing the downshift lever once.
This should 搕rimthe front derailleur, by moving it into a position midway
between the big and little rings, giving the chain more clearance.
SRAM的更惨，说cross chain的时候的r... 阅读全帖 |
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c******t
发帖数: 1733 | 37 The first time I looked into an open chest cavity at a heart muscle working
to pump blood through the body, I was brought up short by the tragic
graffiti of atherosclerotic plaque. This waxy goo, often found in overweight
people, builds up in the vessels surrounding the organ in which,
philosophers tell us, the soul lives. But I quickly pushed any such
distracting thoughts from my mind. I was learning to operate and was frankly
thrilled at the prospect of harvesting a leg vein to bypass the bloc... 阅读全帖 |
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j****y
发帖数: 1714 | 38 对长寿可能不利。
长肌肉要不少蛋白质，一般担心是吃多了蛋白质可能增加癌症概率。
但是最新研究似乎没有发现low carb, high protein diet 和癌症的关联。
http://www.nutritionj.com/content/12/1/58
Low-carbohydrate, high-protein diet score and risk of incident cancer; a
prospective cohort study, 2013
Abstract
Background
Although carbohydrate reduction of varying degrees is a popular and
controversial dietary trend, potential long-term effects for health, and
cancer in specific, are largely unknown.
Methods
We studied a previously established low-carbohydrate, hi... 阅读全帖 |
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G*****s
发帖数: 403 | 39 Cannot beleive Broncos ranks at #7. with Briese at QB, I
would rather have them lose.
1. St. Louis Rams (13-3) No Super Bowl champion in history
was ignored in the offseason as much as the Rams, but that's
a good thing. They have plenty of motivation to prove that
last season wasn't a fluke. If midnight finally strikes on
Kurt Warner, Mike Martz still has Trent Green to execute the
NFL's most confounding offense.
2. Redskins (10-6) Norv Turner had better brush up on his
chemistry because it's co |
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G***a
发帖数: 27294 | 40 there is a confounding factor---I may be wrong, but I feel that low GI will
elongate oral processing time, which in turn will slow the speed of blood
sugar spike and affect fat storage |
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G***a
发帖数: 27294 | 41 有很大的ｃｏｎｆｏｕｎｄ啊！！
37岁超重的白人（２４．５－－２９），很有可能年轻时候ＢＭＩ正常。
那么假设其中有两拨人，一拨人是Ａ，一拨人是Ｂ。假设各有２０个人。
他们年轻时候，都正常ＢＭＩ，假如都活着，中年以后都超重。
假定Ａ组本身就有很大早死的ｒｉｓｋ，比如遗传病，或者爱冒险，吸毒啥的
假定Ｂ组人，早死ｒｉｓｋ低，没遗传病，生活老实健康。这种情况下，
按他们方法，从２５岁ｆｏｌｌｏｗ１２年，Ｂ组人全活下来了。Ａ组死了假设５个人
那么Ｂ组的人的平均体重按这２０个人，３７岁时候体重算
Ａ组呢？15个人按37岁算，剩下的人的体重，肯定算20多岁/30出头死的时候得体重吧
？
那可不就得出来，超重的人活得长嘛！～ （白人２５岁到３７岁，体重增长很快的）
简单的总结，体重和年龄大大correlate, 年龄又和生死大大correlate
如果一个variable，和independent variable和dependent variable都correlate
就是confound ！！！！ ----Statistic 101 ！！！
ages
mass |
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G***a
发帖数: 27294 | 42 那游牧民族咋办？蒙古人也得来月经吧？？／
当然，肯定某些人会说，＂跟咱们不是一个人种＂
你就可以说＂根据人类学基本知识，咱就是蒙古人，蒙古人exactly跟咱们就是一个人
种＂
然后再看看她们怎么说～～～ 应该很有意思。
西红柿黄瓜那种，明明是热量不足导致月经不来的。。。confounds也太大了。。。 |
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G***a
发帖数: 27294 | 43 这不说了嘛？"observational study" .....
就是，没法有conclusive的说法, 没法分离其他的confounds，特别是基因的 |
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b*********s
发帖数: 5382 | 44 对，长期的survey，太多confounding factors，究竟是什么原因很难说，可是没有长
期的survey，就无从说起了。 |
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v*******n
发帖数: 8995 | 45 【 以下文字转载自 Automobile 讨论区 】
发信人: vandieman (颗粒腐烂三分王科沃尔), 信区: Automobile
标 题: 给左逼们科普一下大众的菜油车的作弊
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Tue Jan 10 15:33:19 2017, 美东)
首先排放超标的，
也就是电脑作弊的是Nox，这个东西号称link to lung cancer
但所谓的研究就是看看住在路边的人得lung cancer的比列是不是更高，样本量一版
10000左右，
这不废话么。
马路上的废气剁了去了，烟大灰大，还吵，你能赖光赖NoX
最近的一个比较负责的研究，统计乐大约30万人得出的结论是
With full adjustment for all measured confounders, the pooled results from
the cohorts showed that each increase in concentration of PM10 (each 10
micrometers/m3 increase) led to a corresponding ... 阅读全帖 |
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z*******n
发帖数: 15481 | 46 都知道outlier 怎么不知道还需要考虑confounder呢 |
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B******e
发帖数: 16928 | 47 euclid2003的那个study貌似control for many confounding factors,不过you can
always argue that the control is not complete. |
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t*******s
发帖数: 492 | 48 This is a false conclusion because they didn't control other confounding
variable. A better sampling is African countries, and the conclusion is the
better economy, the better national soccer or sports in general.
All the examples you listed can all be explained by other factors, such as
top talent in US all go to football and basketball.
There was a detailed study by economist magazine a few years ago about this.
去。 |
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L********9
发帖数: 85 | 49 The higher the friction of the surface of the court, the more the spin is
increased when it impacts with the court, and the increase in angular
momentum comes at the expense of linear momentum so the ball bounces at a
more vertical angle than it would on a court with less friction.
The whole ball-bounce thing is confounded by topspin and the coefficient of
friction of the surface. With heavy topspin on high-friction surfaces, the
horizontal velocity of the ball is attenuated greatly after the ba... 阅读全帖 |
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j**n
发帖数: 13789 | 50 善人得不到善终是人间最无奈的事情之一。 那么最后就只剩下pray了。
God be with you till we meet again;
By His counsels guide, uphold you,
With His sheep securely fold you;
God be with you till we meet again.
Refrain
Till we meet, till we meet,
Till we meet at Jesus’ feet;
Till we meet, till we meet,
God be with you till we meet again.
God be with you till we meet again;
Neath His wings protecting hide you;
Daily manna still provide you;
God be with you till we meet again.
Refrain
God be with you till we meet again;
With the oi... 阅读全帖 |
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