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全部话题 - 话题: estimators
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c**i
发帖数: 6973
1
It is that time of the year again.
World ranking of
Country Comparison :: GDP - per capita (PPP)*
https://www.cia.gov/library/publications/the-world-factbook
/rankorder/2004rank.html?countryName=Taiwan&country
Code=tw®ionCode=eas&rank=37#tw
* What is listed below are all 2010 estimates, except Macau which is 2009.
5 ....... Singapore .............. $ 62,200
11 ......United States ..........$ 47,400
12 ......Hong Kong ..............$ 45,600
30 ......Ireland ....................$ 37,600
32 ....... 阅读全帖
BR
发帖数: 4151
2
车被人撞了一下,车身、bumper有擦痕,需要修。对方是 usaa 的,USAA 说负责80%,
给我两个选项:1) 去店里做个estimate,2)用他们的 app 拍个照片,上传给他们,
他们有contract appraiser 给estimate,然后可以立即给我钱。第2个选项倒是挺方便
,就是不知道他们的 appraiser 会不会使劲压价,给的estimate 不公道?
有谁有经验?谢谢!
s**********n
发帖数: 868
3
来自主题: Investment版 - Some questions regarding analyst estimates
The so called analysts' average estimate is often not the prevailing belief
of the earning, and therefore not the true earning expectation that the
market is pricing in. This is likely because some estimates are a couple of
weeks out of date, and more probably because the analysts need some concrete
quotes (or evidences) to do their calculation instead of using all the
resources.
For example, todays' GS earning was not a surprise at all although it "beats
" the estimate. I've been hearing news i
l*****i
发帖数: 669
4
30 YEAR FIXED RATE in the amount of $172,397.00, in 360 payments, at the
rate of 3.625000%.
ESTIMATE OF CLOSING COSTS
300.00 Appraisal fee
25.00 Credit report
95.00 *Tax service to Third Party Fee
10.00 *Flood certification to KROLL FACTUAL DATA
175.00 Document Prep Fee
490.00 *Processing Fee
151.82 Owner's title insurance
1,388.18 Lender's title insurance
55.00 Notary Fees
75.00 *Closing Service Letter
50.00 *E-Doc Delivery Fee
200.00 Title Endorsement
15.00 *Wire Fee
2,000.00 City/county tax/s... 阅读全帖
T***s
发帖数: 258
5
一楼ceiling有个大泡,目前还看不到water mark,就是paint鼓起来了。应该是二楼漏
水造成的,但不知道什么地方(表面看不出来)。现在请了plumber来,有几个问题请
教。
1 是像其它维修一样,要找不同的人来estimate吗?一般要diagnosis费用吗?还有我
的理解是要打开dry wall才能检查。我听到的是他们管打开不管安装会去。这样就晾在
那,等其他人再来estimate?
2 在angie's list上找到一个按小时收费的plumber,和estimate的相比,这样好还是
不好呢?
3 如果要换part(例如faucet)自己备好好,还是就用他们的。
非常感谢!
s*******y
发帖数: 181
6
estimate shipping date 是空的
然后那个地方还有个链接解释什么是estimate shipping date,就是不说什么时候是我
的estimate shipping date
囧囧有神啊
q*******g
发帖数: 58
7
来自主题: StartUp版 - 请教quarterly estimated tax
宾州注册的c corp。 州政府给的注册通知里说了本月中旬前要交estimated tax (如
下)。 但我查了1120-w表和Publication 542, 上面都提到如果公司净收入低于500,
可以不要报这个estimated tax。 我的公司还没开始盈利, 是否不用file 这个1120-
w表?还是说必须file, 但数据都是0 ?想跟大家确认一下,多谢!
FISCAL YR END …….12/31
AXES SUBJECT:
Corporate Net Income
Loans
Capital Stock
Pay particular attention to the month your fiscal year ends, identified
above, for the following reasons:
• For capital stock/foreign franchise, corporate net income and mutual
thrift taxes, the first quarterly estimated payments... 阅读全帖
N****g
发帖数: 2829
8
1/31 is the last day if you owe nothing to IRS (i.e. you will get a tax
refund, not mailing IRS a check in your tax return).
http://www.irs.gov/publications/p505/ch02.html
January payment. If you file your 2012 Form 1040 or Form 1040A by January
31, 2013, and pay the rest of the tax you owe, you do not need to make the
payment due on January 15, 2013.
Example.
Janet Adams does not pay any estimated tax for 2012. She files her 2012
income tax return and pays the balance due shown on her return ... 阅读全帖
d***y
发帖数: 1850
9
来自主题: TAX版 - 问个estimated tax的问题
我们的情况,我老公的工资federal和state tax都是直接扣掉的,我拿的government
fellowship, federal tax和state tax 都没有withhold,但是我去年拿到了绿卡,所
以不能再用treaty 免税,需要付estimated tax。然后我老公给他爸妈管出租房也有一
些收入需要报estimated tax。我们
年初报税都用married file jointly。我的问题是,这样的情况怎么报estimated tax

有了解的人请指教一下?谢谢谢谢
w******e
发帖数: 310
10
来自主题: Connecticut版 - 关于康州estimated tax疑问,急!
去年搬来康州,但是在纽约州工作,并不知道estimated tax的说法,公司只withhold
了纽约州的税,没有康州的税。直到今年报税,才发现纽约会返税,康州要交税,而且
交的税超过1000刀。去年并没有弄estimated tax,所以会有penalty 和interest 的说
法吧,但我并没有收过任何账单亚。
另外如果file 明年的estimated tax,是不是每个季度都要填一次1040ES?
对于您的热心帮助,我不胜感激。
s******7
发帖数: 158
11
来自主题: SanFrancisco版 - Redfin Estimate有多准?

我bid了一个hot home,estimate 1.26, 我出了1.18 bid,list agent给了single
counter 到1.20,我没接受。过了4天后房子卖给了另外一个人redefine estimate到了
1.35. 过了10天又变成了1.27
我还有很多其它类似数据在手上。如果上述这种情况算是正常的话,好吧,我觉的这种
estimate对我没什么用
s******7
发帖数: 158
12
来自主题: SanFrancisco版 - Redfin Estimate有多准?

我bid了一个hot home,estimate 1.26, 我出了1.18 bid,list agent给了single
counter 到1.20,我没接受。过了4天后房子卖给了另外一个人redefine estimate到了
1.35. 过了10天又变成了1.27
我还有很多其它类似数据在手上。如果上述这种情况算是正常的话,好吧,我觉的这种
estimate对我没什么用
w********1
发帖数: 3492
13
Tue, 12 Jun 2012 07:45:30 PDT
While Apple announced at yesterday's introduction of the MacBook Pro with
Retina display that the new models were shipping immediately, those who
failed to move quickly to place their orders have seen shipping estimates
quickly lengthen. Early estimates came in at 5-7 business days yesterday
before moving to 7-10 business days and finally settling late yesterday at 2
-3 weeks.
The same 2-3 week estimate appears to apply to all configurations and
customizations on t... 阅读全帖
w********1
发帖数: 3492
14
Wed, 13 Jun 2012 06:52:39 PDT
Shipping estimates for the Retina MacBook Pro continue to slip, with new
orders now estimated to ship in 3-4 weeks across Apple's online stores. The
slip to 3-4 weeks comes roughly 24 hours after they slipped to 2-3 weeks.
But while new orders will take some time to arrive, some of those who were
able to order their machines soon after the online store came back up on
Monday are beginning to see their orders ship. One MacRumors reader passed
along his tracking inf... 阅读全帖
j*******a
发帖数: 45
15
【 以下文字转载自 EE 讨论区 】
【 原文由 jinghanna 所发表 】
any good methods for estimating period for a very short time series, say, ar
ound 50 smaples.
It seems that Fourier transform does not give accurate estimation for very s
hort data. I am not sure whether wavelet may be a better way, but don't know
how to use wavelet based method for period estimation.
Thanks for your help!
c**********r
发帖数: 109
16
来自主题: Biology版 - PNAS 的length estimate
昨天早上upload的时候,length estimate说长了一点,删了几行后,重新submit,结
果length estimate一直fail,浪费了很多时间,最后还是不行
试了.docx 和97-2003 documents,都不行。不知道怎么回事。格式应该没问题,因为早上第一次很快就生成了6页多的PDF,后来仅仅删了几行
大家有碰到类似情况吗?这个length estimate真的很变态
r******e
发帖数: 40
17
来自主题: Business版 - 请问这个MODEL如何estimate (转载)
【 以下文字转载自 Economics 讨论区 】
发信人: riquelme (gg study dd up), 信区: Economics
标 题: 请问这个MODEL如何estimate
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Mon Oct 6 22:22:23 2008)
y(t)=a+b*X(t)+c*X(t)*y(t-1)+error term
要estimate a, b and c.
太长时间没碰计量了。请问如何estimate? 有没有matlab程序?
多谢!
r******e
发帖数: 40
18
来自主题: Statistics版 - 请问这个MODEL如何estimate (转载)
【 以下文字转载自 Economics 讨论区 】
发信人: riquelme (gg study dd up), 信区: Economics
标 题: 请问这个MODEL如何estimate
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Mon Oct 6 22:22:23 2008)
y(t)=a+b*X(t)+c*X(t)*y(t-1)+error term
要estimate a, b and c.
太长时间没碰计量了。请问如何estimate? 有没有matlab程序?
多谢!
j******1
发帖数: 62
19
PSA is a continuous variable and race has two levels, one is coded 1 and
the other is coded 2.
Question: What are the odds ratio estimates and the 95% CI for a 4 ng/ml
change in PSA within each race?
I tried to write the SAS code as below. But it does not work.
proc logistic data=lib1.pros descending;
model capsule =race psa race*psa/
units psa= 4 ;
contrast 'psa(race=1)' race 1 psa*race ?/estimate=exp;
contrast 'psa(race=2)' race 2 psa*race ?/estimate=exp;
run;
Thank you so much!
f******k
发帖数: 297
20
来自主题: Statistics版 - Question on SAS estimation result
what does it mean when the std of estimated parameter is 0?
i am using QLIM to estimate a censored data. the procedure does converge.
however in the output the std of one estimated parameter is 0. i don't
understand this at all.
thx.
R******o
发帖数: 83
21
Could anyone give me a hint about the following problem?
Fitting Michaelis-Menton equation using n (n>5) data points (x,y):
y=Vmax*x/(km+x),
The two parameters to be estimated are Vmax and Km,
Using catalyst 1, we estimated Vmax=4.2 with Standard Error 0.01 (This is
automatically given by software)
Using catalyst 2, we estimated Vmax=3.6 with Standard Error 0.02
How do we test the hypothesis that Vmax is the same using catalyst 1 and
catalyst 2 ?
q**j
发帖数: 10612
22
the model is for srue temporal. i have aobut 400 time period to estimate a
12 by 12 matrix, and i want the estimate to be smooth. if this is too large,
i can reduce the matrix to 8 by 8. any good suggestions? i am open to any
suggestions, bayesian model or not.

estimation
w*********a
发帖数: 156
23
来自主题: Statistics版 - covarian matrix estimation
Hi, guys, I am considering using Method of Moments(MOM) to estimate a
covariance matrix. However, the estimator of MOM is not always positive
definite due to sampling variances. One remedy is to trim the part
corresponding to the negative eigenvalues off. But my boss does not like
this, because this looks weired to him. Is there any other remedy here that
ensures the estimator to be positive denifite?
Thanks
j******k
发帖数: 91
24
来自主题: Statistics版 - SAS Proc Mixed Estimate for 3 way interaction
Hello各位高手:
想请教版上大人关于estimate的问题
不是很确定estimate要怎么写 看了很多网路上的资料还是很茫然
特别是下面的3 way interaction的部分(Exposure*Group*Time ???????)
Exposure coding= 1 or 0
Group coding= 2 5 9
Time=continuous variable
Proc Mixed data=test;
class id group;
model sp_norm = Exposure Group Time
Exposure*time Group*time
Exposure*Group*Time /solution ddfm=kr cl alpha=0.05;
random intercept time/ type=un subject=id;
Estimate "GROUP:9" time 1 group*time 0 0 1 Exposure*Group... 阅读全帖
o******e
发帖数: 1001
25
来自主题: Statistics版 - Kernel Density Estimation
最近工作要用kernel density estimation.查了一下网上,发现好多都是讲如何
estmiate the density for points. 但是我目前的问题是,我在一个平面上有好多直
线,需要estimate这些线的density,网上好像有一个说法叫Kernel Density
Estimation for linear feature, 但是很难发现它的一些理论推导,有谁对这个有印
象吗?谢谢!
h*****8
发帖数: 4754
26
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-04-29/caterpillar-boosts-201
Caterpillar Inc. (CAT), the world’s largest maker of construction equipment
, posted first-quarter profit that topped analysts’ estimates and raised
its full-year earnings forecast as sales surged in developing countries.
Net income rose more than fivefold to $1.23 billion, or $1.84 a share, from
$233 million, or 36 cents, a year earlier, the Peoria, Illinois-based
company said in a statement today. The average estimate of 21 analys... 阅读全帖
l****z
发帖数: 29846
27
By Alan Zibel and Jeff Bater
U.S. home sales from 2007 through 2010 were about 14% lower than first
reported, a real estate trade group said Wednesday, a sharp revision showing
the housing bust was far worse than initially thought.
The National Association of Realtors revised downward its sales figures
since 2007, using annual Census survey data to recalculate how many homes
were sold.
Sales for all of 2011 are on track to hit around 4.25 million, up slightly
from last year’s level of 4.19 milli... 阅读全帖
l****z
发帖数: 29846
28
Estimates of the Unauthorized Immigrant Population Residing in the United
States: January 2011
This report presents estimates of the unauthorized immigrant population
residing in the United States on January 1, 2011 by period of entry, region
and country of origin, state of residence, age, and sex..
To access the report, please follow the link below:
http://www.dhs.gov/xlibrary/assets/statistics/publications/ois_
f***8
发帖数: 641
29
来自主题: Automobile版 - 保险公司叫我做estimate
车被撞,对方全责,于是对方保险公司叫我找个修车铺做estimate,再告诉他们。
什么事estimate啊????我都不知道电话里说的是不是这个词。。。
h*****s
发帖数: 404
30
来自主题: Automobile版 - 去body shop做estimate是免费的吗?
被别人撞了,要去body shop做estimate。
去body shop做estimate是免费的吗?
多谢!
h******n
发帖数: 3989
31
Why the fedex charge is so much different from that estimated by ebizship?
I shipped one brother MFC 7340 with with estimated price of $17.75 (ground)
+ $2.5 residential surcharge for shipping weight of 30LB. Fedex charged me
for $26.65 with shipping weight of 44LB.
I also shipped several hard disk drives with the same weight. But there are
3 LB difference in weight for different labels.
I argued with Fedex and they said they won't investigate until I give the
account #, company name, address fo... 阅读全帖
w********5
发帖数: 104
32
帮家里的保姆咨询一下:老阿姨六十多了,她说年底就可以领social society
benefits了。她一直和老公jointly报税,她老公是w2,据她讲收入挺低,大概4 万多一
点,但是已经够了40个points, 而她本人多年一直拿cash, 从未缴过SS(大概也未报过
收入). 她们计划明年她先领SS, 然后她老公过几年再retire. 问题是她们昨天在网上
查询了俩人的SSA帐户(据说由于预算削减不再邮寄SS的信息了,只能网上查),发现只
有她老公名下有estimated benefit, 而她名下什么都没有。l俩老人这岁数还干活是为
了国内的孩子,我挺同情可也无能为力。刚才search了一下, 觉得阿姨是应该能拿她
老公benefit的50% (so the family can get total 150%), 但是阿姨的社安帐户中为
什么没有显示任何预估福利呢? housewife们,你们的SSA帐户中,有任何estimated
benefit amount 吗?
K****D
发帖数: 30533
33
来自主题: Investment版 - Some questions regarding analyst estimates
Then if it doesn't, what will happen after the ER?
i.e.: XYZ is still $50 after the estimate modification (due to
inefficiency). An example of inefficiency is: say most people
don't know where to check up-to-date analyst estimate changes,
what they see is still from 1 months ago. And this stock is
owned by 散户 mostly.
On ER, XYZ claims to earn $0.55 per share. What happens next?
K****D
发帖数: 30533
34
来自主题: Investment版 - Where to see up-to-date analyst estimates?
When it's near the ER, I noticed that finance.yahoo.com's analyst
estimate page tends to change frequently:
say the avg. earning estimate was 0.5 yesterday, it will become
0.4 this morning, and then 0.6 this afternoon.
At the same time, reuters.com's numbers don't agree with yahoo,
although the difference is not much.
So the questions are:
1) who has the most up-to-date numbers?
2) Which number does the news report after the ER use? The ones listed
here?
http://biz.yahoo.com/research/earncal/200
d********9
发帖数: 7
35
来自主题: Living版 - boa (ca) fee estimate, reasonable?
Selected Loan Product
Interest Rate Points % Lender Fees APR Loan Amount
5-Year ARM 3.875 0.875 $1,075.00 3.684% $211,000.00
Estimated Closing Cost
Lender Fees 5-Year ARM
Points(0.875 * 211000.0) $1,846.25
Lender Fee $1,075.00
Total Estimated Lender Fees $2,921.25
Payment Details
Principal & Interest (monthly) $992.2
Est. Homeowner's Insurance (monthly) $87.917
Est. Mortgage Insurance (if applicable) $0
Est. Taxes (monthl
N****E
发帖数: 1474
36
来自主题: Living版 - about good faith estimate
when you compare GFE, compare the bank charges or the bank orgination charge
. Bank may give estimate on other settlement costs, e.g., title insurance,
you don't have to compare among banks because they are estimates, not
charged by the bank.
h*****s
发帖数: 821
37
【 以下文字转载自 SanFrancisco 讨论区 】
发信人: htabbas (LOL), 信区: SanFrancisco
标 题: 关于 remodeling: 老美contractor给的Estimated Time怎么比老
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Sun May 22 02:46:55 2011, 美东)
正准备remodel整个厨房,面试了一堆contractor,发现老美给的estimated time都是1
-4个月完成。老中都是7-15天。
为什么会这么样呢?那些老美可都是信誓旦旦的说这已经是最快了的,而且有个还叮嘱我说要提防那些给我估<1month的contractor。他们做工肯定很糟糕,或者最后还是拖到超过一个月。
板上做过厨房的大哥大姐们你们都是花多长时间做的?
l******0
发帖数: 313
38
来自主题: Living版 - 关于Zillow estimate的价格
最近看房。看到一个小区(3层condo类型)就一个房子在卖。小区其它所有房子的
zillow estimate价格在12年中有一个很大的提高,唯有这个在卖的房子estimate的价
格一直在降,请问这种情况一般是什么原因? 去小区看过,房子基本都一样的。另外
这个房子在市场上400多天了。
还有就是去这个condo里看过,地板有几处地方被铺了地毯。在这几个地方用力踩一踩
,有挺大的声响,感觉整个房子都在震。。。(房子是木质结构)。请问这样的房子是
不是不能要?
谢谢
w********5
发帖数: 104
39
帮家里的保姆咨询一下:老阿姨六十多了,她说年底就可以领social society
benefits了。她一直和老公jointly报税,她老公是w2,据她讲收入挺低,大概4 万多一
点,但是已经够了40个points, 而她本人多年一直拿cash, 从未缴过SS(大概也未报过
收入). 她们计划明年她先领SS, 然后她老公过几年再retire. 问题是她们昨天在网上
查询了俩人的SSA帐户(据说由于预算削减不再邮寄SS的信息了,只能网上查),发现只
有她老公名下有estimated benefit, 而她名下什么都没有。l俩老人这岁数还干活是为
了国内的孩子,我挺同情可也无能为力。刚才search了一下, 觉得阿姨是应该能拿她
老公benefit的50% (so the family can get total 150%), 但是阿姨的社安帐户中为
什么没有显示任何预估福利呢? housewife们,你们的SSA帐户中,有任何estimated
benefit amount 吗?
b******e
发帖数: 545
40
请教zillow和trulia上的estimated tax 和 property tax history为什么差的这么大
?估算monthly payment时应该看property tax history得数除以12,不是看这个
estimated tax, 对吧?
K*******y
发帖数: 77
41
上周末和我的agent看了一个SFH,1884sqft,3bed2bath,single story, 2002的房子,
就一任房主。我看后觉得还行,就问问我的agent如果简单装修下多少钱。下面是他发
给我的cost estimates,大家看看这估计合不合理,谢谢!
Remodel cost estimates:
Flooring:
(1) Carpet: 1,200 sf @ $2.50/sf = $3,000.
(2) Tile: 688 sf @ 8.00/sf = $5,504.
Painting:
(1) Interior: 1,888 sf @ $2.25/sf = $4,248
(2) Exterior: 1,888 sf @ $1.10/sf = $2,077
Partial Kitchen Remodel:
Granite counters, refinish cabinets, new appliances, plumbing fixtures:
$20,000.
f*****e
发帖数: 5177
42
No. If you didn't pay estimated tax, you need to pay more than 100% or 110%
(150k or more) of your 2011 tax due. If you did pay estimated tax, the
calculation is tricky.
t*******y
发帖数: 21396
43
前几天买的<500的Refurbish T410, 本来说Estimate Ship Date是3月29日,今天去看
,这日子不见了,Estimate Ship Date留空,状态是In Process,是不是要给Cancel
Order了?
s*******a
发帖数: 13
44
My husband has a S-Corporation in Colorado. Now he needs to file estimated
tax fro the 1st quarter 2008 and some questions:
1. What forms should he use for the Federal? 1120W, 1040-ES, or both?
2. Does he need a W-4 form to pay himself?
3. The firm is in Colorado, and he works in Minnesota, and another firm in
Texas pays his work. Which state does he need to file estimated tax?
Thank you very much for your help.
a********b
发帖数: 1357
45
谢谢链接. 但是我们llc 现在属于赔钱阶段, 天天搭钱进去, 最好的估计是年底能收回
成本, 这我该怎么pay estimated tax? 我们现在根本没有钱付estimated tax 阿
f**********r
发帖数: 61
46
来自主题: Stock版 - 关于estimated tax补充两句
很多F1炒股的金额比较小,所以很多人可以不在1月15号pay estimated tax。
必须pay estimated tax的两个条件是:
1. 你如果在扣除withholding and credits后还需要补交$1000以上的tax。
2. a. withholding and credits少于2009需交税的90%;
b. 或者 withholding and credits 少于前一年(2008)的已交税。
只要以上任何条件不被满足,就可以不必单独填写1040-ES。
如果不放心,大家可以详细阅读pub 505的19-25页,估算一下自己的税。然后减去在工
资单里自动扣除的税和credits(你如果有的话),如果还要补交$1000左右,那基本上
就需要填写1040-ES,并且在1月15号前付清。
我是青蛙。前几天看到有大虾说有个deadline,很紧张。赶紧研究了一下,在这里分享
。要说明的是,任何说法以pub为准,我只是翻译了一下,出了问题不要找我。
f*******5
发帖数: 10321
47
estimated 35M yesterday.

estimate
b****o
发帖数: 59
48
来自主题: Stock版 - 问个estimated tax 的问题
如果有了一定的capital gain ( >10k),需要提前交所谓的estimated tax吗? 如果我年
底时多从pay check上扣一些是不是就可以了?
我的理解是如果能保证明年报税时总体没有欠税,那不管今年有多少captial gain也不
会有利息charge了。是吗?
另外向州提前交estimated tax吗?
大牛请指点!
t*****9
发帖数: 10416
49
Q2 revenues $9.27B vs. $9.20B estimate, Q2 earnings $0.69 vs. $0.67 estimate
盘后为嘛跌了呢?
H*****D
发帖数: 4462
50
rev estimates:
Q2 sales:
11k Model S
11k Model X
18k Model 3
total Q2 rev: ~4.1b vs. estimate ~3.96b
Q3 sales forecast:
11k Model S
11K Model X
50k Model 3 (15k/month delivery in July, ramping up slightly in Aug and Sep)
total Q3 rev: ~6.1 , cash flow positive in Q3
大家看看怎么样??
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