i**y
发帖数: 1170 | 1 其实大家说poll偏民主党，做假，其实不完全对. 仔细看realclearpolitics的poll
results，大多数基于RV(Registered Voters)的polls都是H大幅领先，那是因为RV就是
基于voters党派构成poll的，而现在党派构成倾向民主党，自然民主党被poll得多，不
算造假。最近的poll里，有两个是基于LV(Likely Voters)的，去看看结果就行了。So
far，GOP的选民热情度远远高于DEM，这是不争的事实。随着大选临近，更多的poll会
转向LV，结果大家也可以猜猜看 |
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k**k
发帖数: 214 | 2 https://www.yahoo.com/finance/news/donald-trump-small-lead-three-145721448.
html
Donald Trump found himself ahead in three national polls Friday morning.
The Republican presidential nominee held a lead of 1 point in the Investors
Business Daily/TIPP tracking poll over Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton in
a four-way race that included Libertarian nominee Gary Johnson and Green
Party nominee Jill Stein. Trump led Clinton 41% to 40% in the poll.
Trump also held a 2-point lead in the right-leaning ... 阅读全帖 |
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r*****x
发帖数: 6988 | 3 很早就想对这个poll发表自己的观点，我不用统计学的方式来分析，这方面看门狗和舔
婆子已经闹了不少笑话了。我用文科生的观点来分析这个poll。
其实，老头子poll上最大的跌幅不是最近，而是DNC后针对可汗家庭评论之后。在RNC开
完后，老头领先老太婆好像有4-5点，然后DNC后的可汗事件，瞬间被老太婆反超10几个
点。说明，老头在可汗事件上损失接近20个点。这损失20点，除了中间选民，必然包含
着原先的铁杆选民。试问，有几个铁杆选民会因为老头说了几句穆斯林的坏话，而抛弃
老头？所以这个poll显然就是做出来，用来打倒老头的信心。
接下来poll上面，一直是老头苦苦追赶，差不多到差4个点的时候，出现了被舔婆子号
称原子弹的tape事件，也最多从原来差4个点掉到11个点，也就7个点的跌幅。其实这次
掉的点比原先预期的少许多。而且现在看来，老头又开始反弹了。
现在的情形是，主流媒体和老头比心理，老头一旦自己都相信了，放弃rally，说接收
选举结果，那就中了圈套。目前看来，老头完全是反其道而行之。其实，现在媒体也不
敢把poll搞得差太多，怕老妖婆那里的选民没有投票动力。所以我觉得基本上这... 阅读全帖 |
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L*********4
发帖数: 883 | 4 http://cdn.cnn.com/cnn/2018/images/10/09/rel9b.-.2018.midterms.pdf
A total of 1,009 adults were interviewed by telephone nationwide by live
interviewers calling both landline and cell
phones. Interviews were conducted in English and Spanish. Among the entire
sample, 31% described themselves
as Democrats, 25% described themselves as Republicans, and 44% described
themselves as independents or
members of another party.
这个sample偏的没边了。44%的Independents！只有25%的Republicans。。
虽然它得出的结论是Dem 54% 对GOP 41%，但是... 阅读全帖 |
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q********c
发帖数: 1774 | 5 http://www.politico.com/story/2013/06/poll-huge-support-for-imm
Immigration reform continues to attract broad public support as the Gang of
Eight compromise legislation moves through the Senate, according to a huge
raft of polling conducted for three pro-reform groups: the Partnership for a
New American Economy, the Alliance for Citizenship and Republicans for
Immigration Reform.
In a polling memo set for release Thursday– and shared early with POLITICO
– Democratic pollster Tom Jensen and Repub... 阅读全帖 |
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w******g
发帖数: 2047 | 6 【 以下文字转载自 USANews 讨论区 】
发信人: willhung (黄威廉), 信区: USANews
标 题: 4chan and Reddit bombarded debate polls
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Tue Sep 27 17:21:03 2016, 美东)
4chan and Reddit bombarded debate polls to declare Trump the winner
www.dailydot.com/layer8/trump-clinton-debate-online-polls-4chan-the-donald/
There’s an unspoken rule of the internet: Never trust online polls. They’
re too easily corruptible.
4chan, the notorious message board, has a long history of botting online
competitions. In 2009, users floo... 阅读全帖 |
|
发帖数: 1 | 7 as of 2012/12/10,ET: 1:02pm
共收到4张匿名投票。。。
谢谢大家。。
【 以下文字转载自 Parenting 讨论区 】
发信人: Sp2018 (任盈盈), 信区: Parenting
标 题: 【poll】华裔在美国有受歧视吗？ (转载)
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Mon Dec 10 12:57:21 2018, 美东)
发信人: Sp2018 (任盈盈), 信区: Military
标 题: 【poll】华裔有受歧视吗？
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Wed Aug 29 22:58:14 2018, 美东)
有：1
没有：2
不知道： 3
大家投票吧。。。 我来统计一下。。
我投票：2
**********************************************
发信人: verdelite (石头), 信区: Military
标 题: Re: 【poll】华裔有受歧视吗？
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Sat Sep 1 13:42:38 2018, 美东)
1
根本就不加掩饰了，你们没孩子的不知道而已。除了哈佛... 阅读全帖 |
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g********d
发帖数: 4174 | 8 Posted on Advocate.com September 20, 2010
Poll: 52% of Americans for Marriage Equality
Advocacte.com Editors
Poll x390 (Photos.com) | Advocate.com
A new national poll from the Associated Press found that 52% of Americans
support marriage equality, following a CNN poll last month that showed a
similar finding.
The AP poll asked 1,007 Americans, "Should the Federal Government give legal
recognition to marriages between couples of the same-sex, or not?’ 52% of
those polled responded ‘Yes.’ 46% res |
|
g********d
发帖数: 4174 | 9 Poll Shows Little Support For Repealing Same-Sex Marriage
Voters More Likely To Support Candidate Who Opposes Repeal Of Law
DURHAM, N.H. -- A new poll shows strong support for allowing same-sex
marriage to continue in New Hampshire.
Republicans in the state Legislature are scheduled to take up the issue of
same-sex marriage when they reconvene in January. Same-sex marriage was
passed in 2009, and a poll from the University of New Hampshire Survey
Center shows strong opposition to attempts to rep... 阅读全帖 |
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g********d
发帖数: 4174 | 10 Posted on Advocate.com October 13, 2011 06:26:40 PM ET
Poll Has Bad News for North Carolina, But Not All Bad
By Lucas Grindley
A new poll shows both a setback and an opportunity for opponents of a
marriage ban proposed in North Carolina.
Public Policy Polling found that 61% of North Carolinians now support the
antigay amendment to the state's constitution. The poll contradicted one
from Elon University in late September that showed only 39% support.
The Elon poll had spread optimism among the r... 阅读全帖 |
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m******1
发帖数: 19713 | 11 A majority of Iowans oppose passage of a state constitutional amendment
banning same-sex marriage, a new Des Moines Register Iowa Poll shows.
The poll found that 38 percent favor a legislative initiative to pass a
constitutional amendment, while 56 percent are against. Six percent aren’t
sure.
The findings show little movement on the issue from February 2011, when 40
percent of those surveyed supported passing an amendment, while 54 percent
were opposed.
Complete results and questions here:
http... 阅读全帖 |
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g********d
发帖数: 4174 | 12 President Obama might be changing minds with his support for marriage
equality, at least among African-American voters, a new poll shows.
In a poll conducted in North Carolina ahead of a vote on Amendment One,
Public Policy Polling had found that just 20% of black voters supported same
-sex marriage. That number has now shot up to 27%, its new poll shows,
progressing dramatically during the little time since President Obama came
out for marriage equality on the day after North Carolina voted.
Bl... 阅读全帖 |
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m******8
发帖数: 2153 | 13 Opposition to equal marriage has fallen to a record low, and this change
might be connected to President Obama’s endorsement of the measure, a new
poll by Washington Post and ABC News suggests.
Almost 53 percent of Americans say that marriage should be extended to gay
couples, which is a 17 percent increase from the poll just six years ago.
Just 39 percent, a record low, say that equal marriage should be illegal.
The most encouraging finding for gay rights activists is that 59% of African
Americ... 阅读全帖 |
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m******1
发帖数: 19713 | 14 Poll: Marriage Equality Is Imminent
Bipartisan support for legal recognition of couples is growing, and 83% say
marriage equality will happen within the next 10 years.
Three-quarters of voters say that the right to marriage is a constitutional
right, and 83% say they believe marriage equality will become legal in the U
.S. within the next decade.
According to a poll of 800 participants by the Anzalone Liszt Grove Research
, the support for marriage equality, or at least relationship recognition,... 阅读全帖 |
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B**W
发帖数: 2273 | 15 Washington (CNN) -- The gridlock and partisanship that threatens to ruin
Christmas in Washington could be an election year gift for President Barack
Obama's campaign.
A growing number of voters , 50% compared to 44% in March, trust Obama to
solve the nation's problems while the percentage of those with faith in
congressional Republicans is slipping, according to a CNN/ORC International
Poll.
CNN Poll: President's approval nearing 50%
For the Obama team, the poll numbers seem to validate the pres... 阅读全帖 |
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w******g
发帖数: 2047 | 16 Poll shows Romney leading in blue Pennsylvania By Susan Ferrechio October 18
, 2012 | 5:38 pm
A new poll shows Republican Mitt Romney leading in Pennsylvania, a state
that Republicans had all but written off just weeks ago but which is now
listed as a toss up by the Real Clear Politics website. Susquehanna Polling
and Research provided The Washington Examiner with a poll it conducted for
state party officials that shows Romney with a 49 percent to 45 percent lead
over President Obama.
It's the f... 阅读全帖 |
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P*O
发帖数: 4324 | 17 http://www.examiner.com/article/poll-of-polls-obama-vs-romney-s
Sahit Muja: With just 16 days left before the presidential election, Mitt
Romney has sustained the momentum he gained from the debate. A series of
polls conducted over two weeks of likely voters showed that Mitt Romney
gained ground on President Obama nationally and in all swing state polls.
The latest Gallup national poll shows Mitt Romney with the largest lead over
President Obama in 2012 election. |
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l****z
发帖数: 29846 | 18 Most Americans don't understand Obamacare, and even people who don't have
insurance believe the law won't do them much good, a new Wall Street Journal
/NBC News poll taken as the law's core provisions are about to roll out
shows.
Overall, 70 percent of respondents said they either don't understand
Obamacare or understand only parts of it, The Wall Street Journal reports.
Of those polled, 44 percent, think the healthcare overhaul is a bad idea,
while 31 percent think the plan is good and 25 perce... 阅读全帖 |
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l****z
发帖数: 29846 | 19 NY Times Poll: 58% Disapprove of Obama’s Horrible Economic Job
Posted by Jammie on Dec 10, 2013 at 9:23 am
Somehow 37% of the public still approves of Obama’s disastrous handling of
the economy. We wonder how bad it really has to get before the Koolaid
drinkers abandon him? Still, the Times tries to sugarcoat it, of course.
Last week’s reports of hopeful economic indicators did nothing to
improve the American public’s negative opinion of President Obama’s
stewardship of the nation’s economy.... 阅读全帖 |
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l****z
发帖数: 29846 | 20 Illegal Alien Invasion Now Obama’s Worst Issue in New Poll
by Jammie via Jammie Wearing Fools
Hard to believe allowing an invasion of our Southern border is polling
badly for the failed president, huh? He’s pretty much polling poorly on
every issue imaginable, which explain his desperation to make pretend
impeachment a talking point for what few supporters he has left.
Immigration has emerged as perhaps President Obama’s worst issue —
definitely for today, and maybe of his entire presidenc... 阅读全帖 |
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l****z
发帖数: 29846 | 21 11:16 PM 01/27/2015
Voters will side with the GOP if they fight President Obama’s effort to
print work permits for millions of migrant workers, according to a new poll.
The large poll shows that 47 percent of the 1,593 respondents approve of
Obama’s overall performance — but also shows lopsided opposition to his
amnesty among the critical independent voters and lower-income voters that
the GOP needs to persuade and turn out in 2016.
Just 19 percent of 691 people who earn less than $50,000 a year... 阅读全帖 |
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b**********s
发帖数: 9531 | 22 Push Polling就是假装打电话作民调，一旦发现目标，就拿些不是问题，其实是黑对手
的材料给选民。
Cruz Campaign Push Polling In South Carolina…
A reader in South Carolina was the recipient of a telephone poll today.
Knowing the machinations of politics she identified the push polling method
used.
After hanging up, she did some research and identified the Ted Cruz campaign
.
“I live in SC, and I received a call from TPC Polling today– a push poll
against Trump. I looked up TPC, and it’s owned by Kellyanne Conway, who
works for Cruz”.
The ... 阅读全帖 |
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m********g
发帖数: 10469 | 23 Exit polls: Wisconsin GOP voters want nominee with most delegates, not
majority
By Nick Gass
04/05/16 05:46 PM EDT
WARNING: Early exit polls are incomplete, and they should be interpreted
with caution. They only include interviews with voters who cast ballots
earlier in the day, which could underrepresent certain groups. And the
networks don’t release full results before polls have closed statewide;
they only tease out certain numbers, some of which will shift significantly
in the final survey.
... 阅读全帖 |
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t*b
发帖数: 850 | 24 1) Real Clear Politics and averaged major polls show Hilary leads about 5%.
2) All polls in average polled about 8% more Dem than GOP (8% is 8% of total
polled).
3)There are about 1/3 Independents, 2/3 are DEM + GOP. Trump has about 10%
leads in Independents over Hilary. 10% * 1/3 = about 3% lead.
4) Basically these data say: Trump's lead in Independent just about offsets
the higher DEM polled.
4) Turnouts: GOP primary has about 5.6% more than DEM.
Pew: Combined Republican turnout has been 17.3%... 阅读全帖 |
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a****n
发帖数: 1528 | 25 【 以下文字转载自 USelection 俱乐部 】
发信人: CalCat (北加猫), 信区: USelection
标 题: Clinton leads Trump by 6 points: Reuters poll
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Sun Jul 31 12:33:15 2016, 美东)
Clinton leads Trump by 6 points after Democratic confab: Reuters/Ipsos poll
NEW YORK | BY GRANT SMITH
Democratic presidential candidate Hillary Clinton held a 6- percentage-point
lead over Republican rival Donald Trump, according to a Reuters/Ipsos poll
with new wording that was released on Friday, the day after she formally
accepted her p... 阅读全帖 |
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T*******e
发帖数: 4110 | 26 Shared from another person who did this poll....add it to your page PG
Farnsworth We have just completed our own poll since we cannot get factual
information from the mainstream media!! We called 1000 homes in each of the
50 states and asked basic questions on the economy, terrorism, immigration
and presidential pick.
Economy was the number one factor that Americans are concerned about and
terrorism was number two.
Presidential pic was Trump by a large percentage
Trump 33478 votes 67%
Clinton 97... 阅读全帖 |
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w********2
发帖数: 16371 | 27 希老太团队六个月花了4百万在polls 上，创普没花钱，也就是说这些poll 几乎全靠老
太一个人撑着，不容易呀。
如果poll 做出来的数字希老太不高兴， 那polls 的公司不少了不少油水？ 再加上如
果一些耸人听闻的传言可靠，是否polls 数字太不好看还有掉脑袋的危险？
等trump 也要投钱的时候，估计bias 会少点，现在理解做polls的公司吧，没有选择，
就一个财源。 |
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i**y
发帖数: 1170 | 28 举个例子吧
信用分数重不重要？很重要吧。我看money版一堆人每天琢磨怎么提高信用分数，什么
维持低utilization啦，少开卡啦，还传授各种tip保持高分。可实际情况呢？如果你这
个月不apply credit，你这个月的信用分means NOTHING. 下个月一到，新分数一出，
who cares你这个月信用分多少。
现在同理，polls重不重要？很重要吧。我看各大媒体天天抱着polls琢磨预测谁能赢，
什么应该多说选民爱听的policy啦，少说脏话啦，还传授各种tip维持高poll。可实际
情况呢？如果你这个月不大选，这个月的poll means NOTHING. 下个月一到，新poll一
出，who cares你这个月poll有多高。 |
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g********2
发帖数: 6571 | 29 Oof: New Poll Has McMullin Below Harambe The Gorilla
Christine Rousselle
The full data hasn't been released yet, but PPP's new poll of Texas can't be
encouraging for independent conservative candidate Evan McMullin. According
to PPP's official Twitter account, he's polling lower than actual
candidates Gary Johnson and Jill Stein, and also lower than fake candidates
Deez Nuts and Harambe. Only three people said they would vote for McMullin,
which rounded down to zero.
Harambe, a gorilla, was kill... 阅读全帖 |
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a*****6
发帖数: 1800 | 30 数学 证明 cnn 这么大的 variance 就是假 POLL
发信人: lengxi1981 (test), 信区: USANews
标 题: Re: Florida Poll，希拉里领先5 point
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Tue Sep 20 22:22:43 2016, 美东)
poll是抽样统计，本身就有variance，你没学过数学？
【 在 addadd6 (haha) 的大作中提到: 】
: 标 题: Re: Florida Poll，希拉里领先5 point
: 发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Tue Sep 20 22:19:39 2016, 美东)
: 上周CNN的poll说Trump领先 3 points 呢。
: state, including a CNN/ORC survey released last week that found Trump up
by
: 3, within the poll's 3.5 percentage point margin of error. |
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l****e
发帖数: 609 | 31 http://www.businessinsider.com/fox-news-online-debate-polls-trump-drudge-2016-9
A Fox News executive sent a memo Tuesday afternoon reminding television
producers and the politics team that unscientific online polls "do not meet
our editorial standards."
Dana Blanton, the vice president of public-opinion research at Fox News,
explained in the memo obtained by Business Insider that "online 'polls' like
the one on Drudge, Time, etc. where people can opt-in or self-select … are
really just for fun."... 阅读全帖 |
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G**Y
发帖数: 33224 | 32 不要说online poll不可靠。就是专业打电话的poll也不可靠。
但是这些poll会影响士气。
538可能偏激。还是讲了几个挑战的。专业poll找选民的时候往往按历史选民分布选。
今年选民投票率跟往年可能不一样。这一点就可能会造成很多偏差。
今年这状态，专业poll错几个州一点不稀奇。而且专业poll现在在Battle ground
states基本都是平手了。现在红的很能蓝过来，现在蓝的可能红过来。
所以地面部队至关重要。谁家选民投票率高，谁就赢了。Hillary毕竟老手了，钱又多
。这方面Trump团队，志愿者不能调以倾心，必须全力以赴。 |
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q*z
发帖数: 715 | 33 In New Hampshire, a MassINC Polling Group poll (live caller) had Clinton up
by 7 points.
In Michigan, a Glengariff Group poll (live caller) had Clinton up by 7
points.
In Florida, a Mason-Dixon poll (live caller) had Clinton up by 4 points.
Also in Florida, an Opinion Savvy poll (conducted by automated telephone and
online) had the race essentially tied (Clinton up by 0.3 points).
And finally, in Nevada, a Suffolk University poll (live caller) had Clinton
ahead by 6 points. |
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r*s
发帖数: 2555 | 34 One of the most famous failures of political polling occurred in the 1948
presidential election between Harry Truman (the democratic incumbent) and
Thomas Dewey (the republican challenger). There were also a couple of third
party candidates. The Gallup, Roper, and Crossley polls all predicted that
Dewey would defeat Truman by a significant margin, but in fact, just the
opposite happened. The results of the polls and the actual election results
(in percentages) are given in the following table:
1... 阅读全帖 |
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|
发帖数: 1 | 36 现在有结论和精确数据了吗
老bitch在用了吗
poll高了支持者认为没必要投票
poll低了支持者没细心出来投票
那poll到底处于什么范围才能让支持者出来投票呢
我感觉老bitch很为难呢
如果把poll调整很好彻底压倒Trump 向大家展示 看看这个垃圾根本没人支持 是个笑话
这样会导致支持者不出来投票
如果把poll调低了，比Trump低，又感觉丢人，似乎让别人觉得，wow！连这个垃圾都不
如啊，希拉里到底多烂
反正从老bitch的poll里面感觉他们团队左右为难 精神很分裂的 面对Trump这样一个不
寻常对手 有点不知道怎么下爪 |
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t*c
发帖数: 6929 | 37 不是，几大新闻网的poll机构都是为他们服务的contractor，并不在乎准确性，要不然
这些poll早关门了。或者准确的poll他们不一定会报。
: 很多POLL是商业公司，靠这个挣钱生存的。
: 民主党共和党人都可以办POLL公司。
: 没有人会因为政治，和钱过不去。
: 即使POLL搞错了，也不是政治原因，他们的统计模型搞错了。
|
|
t*c
发帖数: 6929 | 38 不是，poll公司会按概率提供不同的样本poll，也会提供总的概率样本poll，如果倾向
性不严重，媒体一般会采用总的poll，像这次选举，就不一定，editor 有绝对取舍权
，poll公司只是contractor。
: 公司一旦定下统计模型，不会随时调整的。
: 只能选举过后，总结经验，重新设计。
: 而且年轻人投票热情高，显然是OUTLIER。
: 其他州年轻人没有MI年轻人那么热情，POLL预测结果就没有问题了。
|
|
t*c
发帖数: 6929 | 39 是的，雇主当然要准确性，但发布哪个样本结果和poll公司准确性没有关系，也从来没
有媒体解释poll不准的原因，英国脱欧为何poll差了10%，是因为几乎所有媒体采用的
poll样本都把英国东部投票比例设定在50%,而把伦敦定为75%,
所以poll公司没用，他们没有发布选择权。
: 雇主就是看他们以前预测的准确性。
: 新闻机构也不希望自己选举过后，到处解释为什么自己的POLL出问题啊。
: 而且他们也可以做谁执政的准备。
|
|
t*c
发帖数: 6929 | 40 文学城的poll也不科学，真正的poll是要分析样本比例的，
这个只是草根poll。
: 你自己也可以搞poll，文学城还搞poll呢，川普秒杀希拉里，但是msm会报导吗
？他们
: 自己搞的poll才会上头条。
: 就跟英国佬大学排名夹带私货一样。
|
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t*c
发帖数: 6929 | 41 你不明白，poll公司只是提供选择，哪个poll发表是媒体的事，媒体不会自己做poll，
只会雇人。
比如，媒体会受到：
sample1 53：37, 10%, sample probability
sample2 49：40, 20% sample probability
......
Most likely sample: 48:47 75% sample probability
Sanders 阵营愤怒的就是这个，
不知道你懂不懂。
: 没有那么麻烦了。
: 这么多POLL的结果，新闻机构如果喜欢POLL结果，
: 总可以拿那个出来说。
: 没有必要自己花钱去做POLL。
: 但最
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m****g
发帖数: 2215 | 42 http://www.abc.net.au/news/2016-11-09/tc-online-how-did-the-polls-get-it-so-wrong/8011092
Well, folks, this should be the end of industrial political polling as we
know it.
Republican presidential nominee, Donald Trump began his tilt at the
presidency as an outlier, and even as recently as voting day was
characterised by many pollsters as the likely loser.
Now he is the US president elect, an outcome that most mainstream observers
regard as an astonishing upset. Comparisons with the Brexit surpr... 阅读全帖 |
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l****z
发帖数: 29846 | 43 No Impact: Trump Jr. Nonsense “Scandal” Has No Impact On Polls
By Dick Morris on July 12, 2017
The latest no substance scandal to preoccupy Washington — the emails of
Donald Trump Jr. — is having no impact on his father’s job approval in any
of the recent polls.
Rasmussen Reports, the only poll to survey likely voters, has Trump’s job
approval at 45% (July 9-11), exactly the same as it has been for the past
two months. In fact, Rasmussen’s average rating for Trump job approval has
been averaging... 阅读全帖 |
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n****g
发帖数: 14743 | 44 【 以下文字转载自 USANews 讨论区 】
发信人: lczlcz (lcz), 信区: USANews
标 题: Poll: Even People in Illinois Say Illinois Worst State to Live In
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Wed Apr 30 17:29:10 2014, 美东)
Poll: Even People in Illinois Say Illinois Worst State to Live In
April 25, 2014
Now, usually when a state is dissed it is dissed by people from outside the
state. With the usual hometown bravado, and all, denizens of a state used to
stick up for their own in the face of criticism. But a new poll finds that
Illinois is so bad... 阅读全帖 |
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o*****D
发帖数: 1563 | 45 Two weeks ago, late night comic Jimmy Kimmel asked a roundtable of 6 and 7-
year-old children what the U.S. should do about $1.3 trillion of debt owed
to China. “Kill everyone in China,” one boy suggested, sparking a candy-
fueled debate among his peers, but the remark drew much fiercer objections
from China’s blogosphere, where tens of thousands of people have voiced
their anger on forums, online polls, and a petition to the White House,
ultimately eliciting a public apology from Kimmel’s paren... 阅读全帖 |
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t*******h
发帖数: 2744 | 46 【 以下文字转载自 USANews 讨论区 】
发信人: thighhigh (Thigh High), 信区: USANews
标 题: poll的结果可能过分偏向Trump了，因为我们30多岁的人基本上不接陌生电话
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Mon Sep 26 10:43:10 2016, 美东)
poll的结果可能过分偏向Trump了，因为我们30多岁的人基本上不接陌生电话
Looking at the individual polls, they seem to not have any results for the
18-34 age bracket, which I recall has happened before in CNN polls that show
the race very tight.
http://imgur.com/a/Q0QgV
Edit: Links to polls themselves
Penn: http://i2.cdn.turner.com/cnn/2016/images/09/26/relpa1.pdf Colo: htt... 阅读全帖 |
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a**t
发帖数: 3833 | 47 【 以下文字转载自 USelection 俱乐部 】
发信人: CalCat (北加猫), 信区: USelection
标 题: Foxnews: Poll shows Hillary 11% up over Trump
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Tue Oct 11 00:41:52 2016, 美东)
Poll shows Clinton up 11 percent over Trump in 4-way race
In the wake of a tape that showed Donald Trump making sexual comments about
women, a new NBC/WSJ poll shows Hillary Clinton now leading the race for the
White House by double digits.
The poll, taken after the release of the tape Friday but before Sunday night
's debate, shows Clinto... 阅读全帖 |
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发帖数: 1 | 48 【 以下文字转载自 Parenting 讨论区 】
发信人: Sp2018 (任盈盈), 信区: Parenting
标 题: 【poll】华裔在美国有受歧视吗？ (转载)
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Mon Dec 10 12:57:21 2018, 美东)
发信人: Sp2018 (任盈盈), 信区: Military
标 题: 【poll】华裔有受歧视吗？
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Wed Aug 29 22:58:14 2018, 美东)
有：1
没有：2
不知道： 3
大家投票吧。。。 我来统计一下。。
我投票：2
**********************************************
发信人: verdelite (石头), 信区: Military
标 题: Re: 【poll】华裔有受歧视吗？
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Sat Sep 1 13:42:38 2018, 美东)
1
根本就不加掩饰了，你们没孩子的不知道而已。除了哈佛等大学的事，我们这中小学的
magnet program也开始歧视亚裔几年了。
********... 阅读全帖 |
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y****t
发帖数: 10233 | 49 因为这些poll往往是跟msm是栓在一块的.essentially they are in the same tank.
ABC News/Washington Post Poll
NBC News/Wall Street Journal Poll
CBS News/New York Times Poll
USA Today/Gallup Poll
hehe.. 大家也都看到了,msm这些职业造谣的恶心手段... |
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a**********s
发帖数: 50 | 50 http://drudgereport.com/flashmm.htm
McCAIN CAMPAIGN MEMO: READING THE EXIT POLLS
BILL McINTURFF, INTERNAL POLLSTER
Mon Nov 03 2008 16:53:14 ET
As we have seen in previous election cycles, the exit poll results do leak
early and that ends up influencing the coverage of the race before even the
first state polls close at 6:00 PM Eastern.
However, we want to remind the campaign that the media’s own post-election
study of the exit polls in 2004 showed that the exit polls overstate the
Democratic can |
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