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Exclusive: China's Hu seeks clean power handover with ally's promotion -
sources
By Benjamin Kang Lim | Reuters – 6 hrs ago
China's President Hu Jintao smiles during a meeting with German
Chancellor Angela Merkel (not pictured) at the Great Hall of the People in
Beijing August 30, 2012. REUTERS/Diego Azubel/PoolEnlarge Photo
China's President Hu Jintao smiles …
BEIJING (Reuters) - China's outgoing President Hu Jintao is angling to
promote one of his closest allies to the military's decision-making body,
sources said, in a move that would allow him to maintain an influence over
Beijing's most potent instrument of power.
Three sources with ties to the top leadership said Hu hopes to cut all of
his direct links to the top echelons of power by early 2013, on the
understanding that his protégé, Vice Premier Li Keqiang, is made a vice
chairman of the military commission at the party's five-yearly congress
later this year.
Hu wants a clean handover of the party leadership, the presidency and the
top military post to his anointed successor, Xi Jinping, over the next seven
months, to avoid a repeat of the past internal rancor when a transition of
power took place, sources say.
They point to the example of his predecessor, Jiang Zemin, who clung onto
the top job at the Communist Party's Central Military Commission for two
years after stepping down as party chief and president, a move seen as
unpopular with party cadres and the public.
Hu, as president, is the current military commission chairman and, like
Jiang, could choose to stay on as its chief for another couple of years
beyond his handover of the presidency to Xi in March 2013.
In what is seen as the ultimate bulwark of power, the commission oversees
the 2.3-million strong People's Liberation Army (PLA) as well as the People'
s Armed Police which enforces domestic security.
Hu has not made public his plans for retirement but, unlike in the West
where former presidents and prime ministers tend to fade from the public eye
, Chinese leaders seek to maintain influence to avoid possible adverse
political repercussions down the road.
The government generally does not comment on elite politics and personnel
changes before the official announcement.
As a senior member of the commission, Li, who is also set to be named as the
next premier in March 2013, would be expected to help protect Hu's legacy
in the area of military affairs, which has included a more moderate approach
towards Taiwan and to territorial disputes in the South China Sea and East
China Sea.
"Hu hopes to go down in history as the first leader (since 1949) to step
down when his term ends instead of being reluctant to go," a businessman
with leadership ties said.
As well as helping to preserve Hu's legacy, analysts say Li's promotion will
ensure there is no political retribution against Hu or his family by rivals
who remain in power once he is gone.
But bargaining over the next leadership line-up is not over, and there is
still room for change and surprises.
"CHECK AND BALANCE"
Some political analysts interpreted Hu's plan to promote Li as a move to
bolster civilian oversight over the PLA - the world's biggest armed force.
But other analysts saw it as an attempt to dent Xi's political influence.
"It'll be a check and balance on Xi," a Chinese analyst said of the push to
install Li, asking not to be identified due to the sensitivity of the issue.
Xi, 59, has been vice chairman of the military commission for two years and
has military experience under his belt when he worked for then defense
minister Geng Biao from 1979 to 1982.
Xi, like Hu, is a pragmatist seen as being keen to seize on opportunities
from crises to perpetuate Communist rule and strengthen his own position,
analysts say.
Though Xi is acceptable to both the Hu camp and the rival Shanghai Gang
faction, the incoming premier, Li, is much closer politically to the
outgoing president and belongs to Hu's own faction of the party, the
Communist Youth League.
As vice chairman of the military commission, Li would oversee the 660,000-
strong paramilitary People's Armed Police which acts against unrest, guards
government compounds and foreign embassies and mobilizes during natural
disasters.
The People's Armed Police is under the direct jurisdiction of the military
commission and the State Council, or cabinet.
If Li held the positions of both premier and commission vice chairman, he
would be in a stronger position to react to domestic emergencies than
outgoing Premier Wen Jiabao.
Without a seat on the commission, and no say in military affairs, Wen had
difficulty mobilizing the People's Armed Police to help with rescue work
after the 2008 earthquake in Sichuan province which killed about 87,600
people.
"This will change if Li Keqiang becomes vice chairman of the military
commission," a third source with leadership ties said.
Two People's Liberation Army generals are expected to also be named vice
chairman of the commission, the sources added.
(Editing by Mark Bendeich and Jeremy Laurence) | l*****s 发帖数: 2109 | 2 文官只有一正,副的是准备接班的,难道李接习的班?
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