K****D
发帖数: 30533 | 1 I just don't see how Murray would lose, except for his own nerves.
2 months ago, Murray beat Ferrer in the WTF 2010 6-2, 6-2, while
not in a great mode, making a lot of UEs. Murray has the
2nd best return of service and Ferrer has one of the worst serves.
It's very common for Murray to see a lot of break points during
Ferrer's service games.
Ferrer's only hope might be his return of service. He is also a
good returner. If Murray is too nervous and couldn't make 1st
serves in, he may still have a chance.
Most likely Murray wins in 3, with 2 close sets and 1 not so close. |
r*********x
发帖数: 3016 | 2 He has 80% chance to beast Ferrer. Ferrer in final would be the worst GS
final for years.
The dangerous thing is that if Muarry lost this semi, he may go down hill
for couple of years.
【在 K****D 的大作中提到】
: I just don't see how Murray would lose, except for his own nerves.
: 2 months ago, Murray beat Ferrer in the WTF 2010 6-2, 6-2, while
: not in a great mode, making a lot of UEs. Murray has the
: 2nd best return of service and Ferrer has one of the worst serves.
: It's very common for Murray to see a lot of break points during
: Ferrer's service games.
: Ferrer's only hope might be his return of service. He is also a
: good returner. If Murray is too nervous and couldn't make 1st
: serves in, he may still have a chance.
: Most likely Murray wins in 3, with 2 close sets and 1 not so close.
|
S***e
发帖数: 4426 | 3 you said that's two month ago.
if ferrer could play like he did two days ago, he'd definitely have chances.
【在 K****D 的大作中提到】
: I just don't see how Murray would lose, except for his own nerves.
: 2 months ago, Murray beat Ferrer in the WTF 2010 6-2, 6-2, while
: not in a great mode, making a lot of UEs. Murray has the
: 2nd best return of service and Ferrer has one of the worst serves.
: It's very common for Murray to see a lot of break points during
: Ferrer's service games.
: Ferrer's only hope might be his return of service. He is also a
: good returner. If Murray is too nervous and couldn't make 1st
: serves in, he may still have a chance.
: Most likely Murray wins in 3, with 2 close sets and 1 not so close.
|
d*g
发帖数: 16592 | 4 看Ferrer拼纳豆的精神，还是有机会的。
要穆雷别自己软了先。
期待好看的比赛。 |
K****D
发帖数: 30533 | 5 I made my prediction based on Ferrer's performance in this tournament.
If 2 months ago, the score won't even be close. Ferrer played the
most number of matches in 2010, and he was obviously exhausted.
chances.
【在 S***e 的大作中提到】
: you said that's two month ago.
: if ferrer could play like he did two days ago, he'd definitely have chances.
|
S***e
发帖数: 4426 | 6 why? ferrer played superb against nadal.
didn't watch much of that match, but for the part that i watch, ferrer's a
beast.
【在 r*********x 的大作中提到】
: He has 80% chance to beast Ferrer. Ferrer in final would be the worst GS
: final for years.
: The dangerous thing is that if Muarry lost this semi, he may go down hill
: for couple of years.
|
K****D
发帖数: 30533 | 7 He got broken 3 times by a limped Nadal. Imagine how many times
he would be broken by Murray...
【在 S***e 的大作中提到】
: why? ferrer played superb against nadal.
: didn't watch much of that match, but for the part that i watch, ferrer's a
: beast.
|
S***e
发帖数: 4426 | 8 i don't want to imagine anything.
if you think murray will win, fine.
why bother seeking confirmation from others?
i just think ferrer also have chances, and murray still need to play his
best to pass this test.
【在 K****D 的大作中提到】
: He got broken 3 times by a limped Nadal. Imagine how many times
: he would be broken by Murray...
|
K****D
发帖数: 30533 | 9 I completely realize the risk Murray is facing. I am just analyzing
the facts and make my predictions based on the analysis. I watched
enough Murray matches and believe I know a little about his current
strength and weaknesses.
I didn't make predictions to seek confirmation. It's more like a
statement to be evaluated after the match to see how accurate
or inaccurate I am.
The official betting odds for this match are:
Murray: 1/4
Ferrer: 3.5/1
It is quite obvious Ferrer is the underdog by a margin.
【在 S***e 的大作中提到】
: i don't want to imagine anything.
: if you think murray will win, fine.
: why bother seeking confirmation from others?
: i just think ferrer also have chances, and murray still need to play his
: best to pass this test.
|
S***e
发帖数: 4426 | 10 the official betting odds is nothing.
what's the odds for joker/fed last night?
两天前我就说，太小看joker了。
这次joker的比赛我看了不少，murray也看了一些，ferrer只看了对nadal的一些。
我觉得你太把nadal受伤当回事儿了，其实影响真也没那么大。
能把nadal打成234，就算nadal有那么点儿伤，也是不容小觑的。
【在 K****D 的大作中提到】
: I completely realize the risk Murray is facing. I am just analyzing
: the facts and make my predictions based on the analysis. I watched
: enough Murray matches and believe I know a little about his current
: strength and weaknesses.
: I didn't make predictions to seek confirmation. It's more like a
: statement to be evaluated after the match to see how accurate
: or inaccurate I am.
: The official betting odds for this match are:
: Murray: 1/4
: Ferrer: 3.5/1
|
b**k
发帖数: 11850 | 11 我看到有个家伙拿了10块钱赢了178，就是那个odds啦
【在 S***e 的大作中提到】
: the official betting odds is nothing.
: what's the odds for joker/fed last night?
: 两天前我就说，太小看joker了。
: 这次joker的比赛我看了不少，murray也看了一些，ferrer只看了对nadal的一些。
: 我觉得你太把nadal受伤当回事儿了，其实影响真也没那么大。
: 能把nadal打成234，就算nadal有那么点儿伤，也是不容小觑的。
|
K****D
发帖数: 30533 | 12 That's the odds for winning 3-0, hehe.
【在 b**k 的大作中提到】
: 我看到有个家伙拿了10块钱赢了178，就是那个odds啦
|
S***e
发帖数: 4426 | 13 是啊。。。我怀疑很多人这次根本没怎么看joker打球。
我看了几场，非常震撼。
也看了roger几场，所以对他输这场球一点儿都不奇怪。
【在 b**k 的大作中提到】
: 我看到有个家伙拿了10块钱赢了178，就是那个odds啦
|
