M*****8
发帖数: 17722 | 1 【 以下文字转载自 Stock 讨论区 】
发信人: MB80528 (肥猫(Contrarian)[食MM而肥]), 信区: Stock
标 题: \\***Financial Independence & Some Recent Forecasts You Missed***///
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Thu Aug 18 02:53:22 2011, 美东)
\\***Financial Independence & Some Recent Forecasts You Missed***///
Trading beats 9-5. Get price forecasts with accurate targets so you
don't have to watch tape. http://t.co/rAjYjjh Work 30 min a day.
Forecast for Gold ETF $GLD on Aug.15 ($171.8) showed upside of $4.95
to $6.01. $GLD closed today at $174.42... 阅读全帖 |
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h**G
发帖数: 9825 | 2 all the reviews are damn good
"As a beta tester of this product, I have to give it generally a favorable
review. My local power company is actually sending me checks monthly in such
an amount that it covers my rent. However, the downside is that my cat
really loves to sleep on top of it since it is nice and warm, recently he
has grown an extra tail. I'm not sure if the reactor is the cause or not,
but I'm going to give this a 4.5 out of 5 star review, just to be on the
safe side" |
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P**********9
发帖数: 418 | 3 看看这个免费的. DOWNSIDE: It won't recover your file name. The file name
will be like this "f12321323.jpg, f241343143.docx..."
Had a bit of trouble today: one of Vickie's two-gig thumb drives went
catatonic. All Windows could come up with was the scary message that the
disk in drive E wasn't formatted, and did she want to format it now? (Answer
try it on several machines, sacrifice a chicken--we came to the conclusion
that the thing's file system had broken.
So, armed with foggy memories of how Norton ... 阅读全帖 |
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k****y
发帖数: 4083 | 4 other banks may be doing bad, but for your citigroup, there's only upside no
downside due to government aid. so you got an iron bowl |
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a*****n
发帖数: 230 | 5 Latex is a more elegant way to write papers. The downside: your mind has to
load a lot more information for it to work.
Word is ugly. But you can write in Word with half of the mental capacity.
This is similar to using R versus SAS in statistical analysis. R is more
elegant but more demanding. SAS can be a mess but you can do in half leisure
state. |
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f*******7
发帖数: 1019 | 6 that's the typical NIGMS payline for ESI
The downside is that they'll cut the budget, which is why they have a
generous payline |
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O*********r
发帖数: 1835 | 7 可是 flexibility 大。我暑假三个月和寒假三礼拜都很少出现在学校，skype 开组会
，人云游在外。当然心思是24/7惦记着工作，这是 downside。 |
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s****s
发帖数: 368 | 8 But a sofa is too large in an office. The lift chair (1) occupies a smaller
space like a recliner, (2) is easy to expand to a bed, (3) the price is even
cheaper than a sofa. The only downside is it is for senior people. |
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a*********8
发帖数: 2353 | 9 问，可以先考虑问系主任。我每年都问，没有什么downside。不过我们系头比较随和，
是那种平时也可以随便说话开玩笑那种。 |
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g******h
发帖数: 369 | 10 seems you did not get it.
lz just reports through the system. it is the univ admin who decides
whether to given a sanction.
-if the admin does, all set. nobody in the school or dept will give it a
shit. it is due process and the case is closed.
-if the admin does not, lz's on-file report will protect him against
future complaints by this problem student.
it is not to fail her, but trying to remove her. if you cannot remove
her, do not fail her in the end. that is the point.
the only downside o... 阅读全帖 |
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G**T
发帖数: 2610 | 11 成功是个概率事件。
当你寻找确定性（概率＝1）时，你已经off了。
对你的问题的直接答案是： everyone tries, and nobody knows.
You have only one life to live, and whatever you try, I can tell you this -
you will NOT live in certainty --either on the upside, or on the downside,
but especially on the upside. There is no certain fame, achievement,
satisfaction, fulfillment....everything has a price, and uncertain is always
one part of the price, among many others ...
Good luck。 |
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c***x
发帖数: 1826 | 12
Good points
纸质书和电子书的关系，与传统教育和在线教育有很好的类比。没有查过数据，现在纸
质书和电子书的市场份额，经过这些年已经趋于稳定了吗？
我的直观感受是，过去十年很多的小书店都关门或者合并了，剩下的书店要么是有特色
的从而有specialization带来的value-added，要么是业界的巨无霸从而有规模经济带
来的成本优势。
由此类推，以后的传统教育和在线教育也会形成各自的市场份额？可以想象的是，由于
在线教育具有低成本的绝对优势，比较低端的学校会破产或者被兼并，剩下的传统教育
必须能够提供足够的premium才有存在的意义，这当然也就意味着不菲的学费。
所以，on the downside，确实可能产生两级分化。看来agglomeration不仅会出现在经
济领域，城市地理，还会出现在教育领域。
On the upside，在线教育让那些原本读不起书或者错过读书年龄的人，一直可以有
access to certified education。
由此看来，这两个市场，会慢慢的细分而清晰。 |
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c***x
发帖数: 1826 | 13
赞认真诚恳发帖，彬彬有礼回帖。路人甲经过，说几句一家之言。
我自己没有在瑞典学习工作生活的经历，但是身边亲近的好几个人都有过。
第一个是我的小导师。他和太太都是瑞典人，在瑞典拿的学位，然后在国外生活工作大
概十年。他觉得瑞典什么都好，但是税太高，他太太是律师，像他们这样的家庭，一年
有半年以上为社会在工作。但是最后他还是选择回到了瑞典，因为瑞典的学术界也看重
在英美的经历，所以回去没有几年就晋升到正教授，现在担任系主任。
第二个是合作者。他读博士的研究方向最强的导师就在瑞典。毕业后因为家庭原因直接
就回了国。在国内一直保持和导师的联系，做出了非常有影响力的工作，几年后去了美
国名校做了faculty。于他这种每天要在办公室工作十五个小时的人而言，瑞典是一个
很适合安心研究的地方。
第三个是本科同学。也是因为研究方向的原因放弃了美国在读的学位，转学到瑞典。可
是在瑞典读完学位后，她说无论如何要离开这个地方，不管去哪里，不管做什么工作。
因为继续呆在那样一个无人深入交流，无法真切生活的地方，她就要抑郁了。后来她在
香港找到了教职，现在研究和生活都很愉快。
第四个是研究生室友。本来在北京有... 阅读全帖 |
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g******t
发帖数: 11249 | 14 https://www.insidehighered.com/blogs/college-ready-writing/teaching-track-
really
各个学校的处理都能看到，比如
Tenure Track Teacher from Sask ? 5 years ago
My University's faculty agreement formalized a teaching-track (or Academic
Programming as it is called) last year and it is a good model for how things
should be done. I am a tenure-track assistant professor, I primarily teach
(with a teaching load ~5x heavier than standard faculty) but I also serve on
college committees and my pay scale is the same as any... 阅读全帖 |
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r***x
发帖数: 155 | 15 recommend Microsoft money sunset version.
http://www.microsoft.com/money/sunset.mspx
It is free and very powerful.
The downsides are that there is no automatic online update and there is no software support or upgrade |
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j**f
发帖数: 7403 | 16 i think the american way is to call 911 when she freaks out.
then, she'll be out of the picture forever
the downside is, the wife might be mad as well...
I'm just telling lz to deal with it in the American way. |
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C********h
发帖数: 18 | 17 我觉得男朋友心中住了一个小公主，而且是特别作的那种，我们两个人的性格说起来真
的是我比较偏向男性化，而老公呢就是那种比较细心的人，日常中也很照顾我，平常对
我很是贴心，但是downside就是他发起脾气来像个小公主一样，而且最近有愈演愈烈的
趋势。
一件事是他朋友在感恩节的时候，问我们要不要一起出去滑雪，我们两个本来是都比较
喜欢滑雪的，但是他偏偏和我说要我决定去不去，我想着每年都去，那天不如我们也浪
漫一次，我们一起吃个烛光晚餐什么的，我就说要不今年不去了，以往每年都去，而且
我还再三征求他的意见，他都说听我的，我就说不去了，结果到了那天就因为这个事和
我吵了一架，说我你就是不愿意去滑雪，就是不愿意让我和朋友来往，我简直就是日了
狗，我之前可是一直询问他的，然后最近还有一件事，就是老公的上班的地方离我们住
的地方开车要半个小时的样子，因为最近他都是下午的shift所以晚上十一点才下班，
以往都是晚上我去接他，回来的时候换他开车，但是我早上要早早的去上班啊，所以我
们就商量能不能他坐地铁回来，结果坐地铁比我们想的还要花时间，用了近两个小时才
到家，回到家他就开始发脾气，说你对我那么好，... 阅读全帖 |
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P********y
发帖数: 4195 | 18 日你妈，机器人发帖死全家
[在 Coquettish (妖艳) 的大作中提到：]
：我觉得男朋友心中住了一个小公主，而且是特别作的那种，我们两个人的性格说起来
真的是我比较偏向男性化，而老公呢就是那种比较细心的人，日常中也很照顾我，平常
对我很是贴心，但是downside就是他发起脾气来像个小公主一样，而且最近有愈演愈烈
的趋势。
：
：........... |
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k******a
发帖数: 2436 | 19 Liver or chicken stomach is good food. The only downside is cholesterol
intake. Liver is also where 重金属 accumulates and may have 瘦肉精 residue. |
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k*****n
发帖数: 9823 | 20 ☆─────────────────────────────────────☆
hifiman (hardcorehifi) 于 (Tue Mar 3 13:48:39 2009) 提到:
My Adcom 500 GTP phonejack has bad connection, and the left channel is cut
off. I am think about hooking up my headphone directly to its amp out.
Have any of you tried this before? My Senn 600 is 600 ohm impedance and I
need to check the Adcom's output impedance to see if them are close. I
think the only downside is degraded sound quality because of the mismatch of
impedance, but generally sp |
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w**t
发帖数: 1037 | 21 not necessarily.
if your bluray player supports 3d and has two hdmi outputs,like oppo players,
then one hdmi sends audio to receiver and the other hdmi sends video to
projector or tv.
in the case,receiver doesnt need to be 3d compatible.
downside is you cant use receiver to switch to different video input sources.
so it is good only if you just have one video source like bluray player. |
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t*******y
发帖数: 10477 | 22 这里也提到了你说的Ｈｕｍ：
Another downside I have with them is that they tend to be microphonic. I
find that if they are on for a while, they start to hum, and the humming
transmits through lower ohm headphones at high gain
http://www.head-fi.org/products/schiit-lyr-2 |
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h*9
发帖数: 38 | 23 First, let us put bear's arguments forward for a moment:
1) Further downgrade of structured financial products by rating agency will
create another wave of selling of bank stocks (due to another round of write
-off, liquidity problems etc.)
2) Bankruptcy of any monoline bond insurer will put the firms that insured/
hedged CDOs on grave danger.
3) China is in a liquidity tightening cycle to fight off inflation caused
mainly by high oil and food import price. Its slowdown will remove another engin |
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a*********4
发帖数: 174 | 24 do your own math，每个人公司给的plan不一样
high deductible和PPO比较：每月premium低(+)，公司一般会给cash incentive（+）
，每年的contribution是tax free的，而且portfolio的所有capital gain都是不收税
的（+），相对downside是deductible高（-)，但是一般都有out of pocket maximum
把这些因素都算进去以后比较两个plan，可以假设当年完全不生病和生大病两种情况，
反正我算下来都是high deductible+HSA划算，而且如果当年几乎没用到保险的情况下
high deductible的节约大大超过PPO |
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a*********4
发帖数: 174 | 25 do your own math，每个人公司给的plan不一样
high deductible和PPO比较：每月premium低(+)，公司一般会给cash incentive（+）
，每年的contribution是tax free的，而且portfolio的所有capital gain都是不收税
的（+），相对downside是deductible高（-)，但是一般都有out of pocket maximum
把这些因素都算进去以后比较两个plan，可以假设当年完全不生病和生大病两种情况，
反正我算下来都是high deductible+HSA划算，而且如果当年几乎没用到保险的情况下
high deductible的节约大大超过PPO |
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o*****c
发帖数: 241 | 26 要hedge还是short的抓紧了。FYI
heihei |
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S******n
发帖数: 617 | 28 I love this pump, hahaha |
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o*****c
发帖数: 241 | 30 even for long-term investor, you need to hedge your risk. hehe |
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o*****c
发帖数: 241 | 31 when maket is on dope, you have to control your risk.
but it is always exciting to counter the market. :D
I would like to bet 3% for next several days. |
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a******g
发帖数: 1538 | 32 俺认为现在short-squeeze的还不够，要一直到triple witching day为止，但是还是希
望你是对的 |
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c****o
发帖数: 32446 | 33 老大不是汗牛了吗（虽然他放我们鸽子，现在都没写点啥来解释为啥牛了），所以俺们
还是先hold再说 |
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s********n
发帖数: 1962 | 34 Look, guys, right now any dip is a good chance to buy.
And DON'T even think about shorting finance.
Don't ask me how long it will last though -- could be two weeks, could be
two months, could be six months. God knows. |
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s********n
发帖数: 1962 | 36 This is a big one.
http://biz.yahoo.com/ap/090312/meltdown_accounting_rule.html
But it's not even the only one. Other reasons need more word to explain.
It's more about bonds ratings.
Overall, the market is in an extreme depress-release mood.
To be sure, yes, we are still in a long-term bear market. But don't
be too smart. |
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a**n
发帖数: 2431 | 38 Could you say say bond rating...
Not quite get this point |
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b****e
发帖数: 460 | 39 So, if I have something worth $0.01, and I have 1 thousand pieces of it. And
someone trade one of it for $1000 per piece. I can book my asset from $10
to $1,000,000 forever? |
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d******e
发帖数: 143 | 41 any recommend for hedge? buy sp500 put?
how about those 2x 3x ETF's option? |
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i******l
发帖数: 828 | 42 赞赌技高超
（我老对原作者观点持谨慎支持态度。） |
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S******n
发帖数: 617 | 43 Bears are waiting for them to revoke the mark-to-market.
The market could shoot the moon! |
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o*****c
发帖数: 241 | 45 ES stop is at 773.75. wish it can hold below it today, but the trade looks
like a loser. |
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g*****g
发帖数: 34805 | 46 Strong resistance around 780-800. And I think we'll see a downleg late
in the week not just a pullback. We may revisit low in 2 weeks.
SPX |
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K****D
发帖数: 30533 | 47 hehe, days like this can be real tests for one's belief on the
"stop" strategy.
Because I don't like the feeling of losing small amount for many times,
I never liked stops. |
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o*****c
发帖数: 241 | 48 WTF, stopped out almost exactly at the high tick.
you may don't care 5%,10% or even bigger loss in your own account, but I
have to care my rice bowl even though i got f*cked up this time. |
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o*****c
发帖数: 241 | 49 i hoped it pulled back a lot too, but sh*t happens...
SPX |
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K****D
发帖数: 30533 | 50 Seems the stop still worked, hehe. |
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