l********7 发帖数: 2974 | 1 这里有人自己建模分析预测今年大选结果么?不讲政治,但是客观数据告诉我Trump会
以压倒性的优势,胜过Clinton,出任下一届美国总统。
下面是我做的一个定量模型预测的得票数结果。
------------------------
2016 美国总统选举得票数(Electoral Votes)预测:
------------------------
总票数(Total Electoral Votes):538
可能的得票数范围:
Clinton:117 - 184 (21% - 35%)
Trump:354 - 421 (65% - 79%)
最可能或者平均期望得票数范围:
Clinton:149 - 156 (27% - 29%)
Trump:382 - 389 (71% - 73%)
顺便提一下对Clinton最有利、对Trump最不利的两个州:
首先,Mississippi,Clinton最有可能取胜,Trump最有可能失利。
其次,Iowa,Clinton也有较大胜算,Trump的胜算较低。
(注意:模型给出的这两个州的结果,没有基于任何政治方面的因素和信息)
立帖为... 阅读全帖 |
|
l********7 发帖数: 2974 | 2 这里有人自己建模分析预测今年大选结果么?不讲政治,但是客观数据告诉我Trump会
以压倒性的优势,胜过Clinton,出任下一届美国总统。
下面是我做的一个定量模型预测的得票数结果。
------------------------
2016 美国总统选举得票数(Electoral Votes)预测:
------------------------
总票数(Total Electoral Votes):538
可能的得票数范围:
Clinton:117 - 184 (21% - 35%)
Trump:354 - 421 (65% - 79%)
最可能或者平均期望得票数范围:
Clinton:149 - 156 (27% - 29%)
Trump:382 - 389 (71% - 73%)
顺便提一下对Clinton最有利、对Trump最不利的两个州:
首先,Mississippi,Clinton最有可能取胜,Trump最有可能失利。
其次,Iowa,Clinton也有较大胜算,Trump的胜算较低。
(注意:模型给出的这两个州的结果,没有基于任何政治方面的因素和信息)
立帖为... 阅读全帖 |
|
w*********e 发帖数: 5286 | 3 我看你才是不学无术的混混,美国人本来就是选奥巴马还是麦凯恩
各州的electoral只是在联邦国家里面一种以州为单位体现选民意志
的方式。 |
|
p**********n 发帖数: 459 | 4 美国在200多年前(没有300年)刚成立的时候,只有富有的白人男人有投票权。女性到
20世纪初才有选举权。黑人,亚裔什么的就更不用说了。况且直道今天还有electoral
college这么一回事,掌着美国选总统的实权,其原因就是政府担心国民素质不够高,
乱选。 |
|
x******g 发帖数: 33885 | 5 非也。
美国总统是被叫什么“Electoral College”的人选出来的。这帮人基本上代表了大资
产阶级的利益。
美国人民就是这样每四年被骗一场,还以为自己是什么葱了,就是为他人作嫁衣裳而已。 |
|
H****g 发帖数: 14447 | 6 【 以下文字转载自 Military 讨论区 】
发信人: Herzog (singularity), 信区: Military
标 题: 指责陈光诚拿NED的钱真是个笑话
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Sat May 5 14:29:35 2012, 美东)
中国政府从1994年起,就开始变相申请NED基金,邀请IRI参与乡村选举。
Sources:
1. IRI和中国民政部。
建于1984年的美国共和研究所(IRI)是第一家介入中国村民选举的外国NGO,与中国政
府有着密切关系。1994年,IRI与中国民政部协商IRI如何帮助中国的村民选举工作,并
在其中扮演适当角色。
http://www.sociology.cass.net.cn/shxw/xcyj/P0200511303117300060
2. 维基对IRI的介绍。
IRI was involved in Haiti prior to the 2004 Haitian coup d'état,[4] in
Honduras following the 2009 Honduran constitutional crisi... 阅读全帖 |
|
b*********2 发帖数: 126 | 7 可可露可到美国, 美国群众真他妈觉悟低啊, 所有评论原封不动照录如下:
http://news.yahoo.com/chen-guangcheng-chinese-dissident-leaves-
314 comments
Popular Now
Newest
Oldest
Most Replied
jeffrey • Roanoke, Virginia • 25 mins ago
After experiencing Newark he'll probably go home!
Reply .
7Please sign in to rate!Please sign in to rate!0
Monica • 18 mins ago
He will be shock to realize that America is not what he thought it would be!
Americans work hard to make ends meet and our govt. has it's own problems..
. We d... 阅读全帖 |
|
M*V 发帖数: 3205 | 8 发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Sat Oct 27 10:00:17 2012, 美东)
Joke: Presidential Debate 2012, Act III
10/22/2012
By Limin Wang
In the evening of October 16, 2012, at the Smack Complex of Hofstra
University on Long Island, New York, President Obama and former governor
Romney had the second finger-to-finger presidential debate. Candy Growly
tried her hardest to moderate them.
Outside the debate building, large swarms of people had decided on their own
to join the show. Some said that they wanted to bring their ow... 阅读全帖 |
|
r*****n 发帖数: 1285 | 9 这能有用,那就别选举了。
况且,稀癞痢已经输了both popular votes and the electoral college votes after
all states were counted. |
|
|
c**i 发帖数: 6973 | 11 (2) Paul sonne, Last in the Line of Succession, Ms. Vogel Is Glad She Isn't
Queen; Descendant of Sophia of Hanover, She Would Rule Britain if 4,972 Die.
Wall Street Journal, Apr 27, 2011.
http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424
052748704889404576276502793788310.html
Quote:
"The U.K. succession rules date back to the 1701 Act of Settlement. Princess
Anne, a Protestant, was destined to die with no heir, and the English
Parliament wanted to prevent a Catholic from seizing the throne upon her
death... 阅读全帖 |
|
f**********4 发帖数: 2617 | 12 2.勃兰登堡-普鲁士vs秦
大家知道,这两位就是最后完成了德意志和中华这两个伟大国家统一大业的强者。而他
们之间的相似之处远不止此。
为后世所知的普鲁士王国在一开始有两个主要组成部分:勃兰登堡边区和普鲁士公国。
作为核心部分的勃兰登堡边区早年间为自东方而来的斯拉夫移民所占据。在神马帝国的
正式开创者奥托大帝的鼓励和支持下下,10世纪时萨克森贵族格罗(Gero)开始向东开
拓“日耳曼人的生存空间”,逐步建立了一系列“边区”(德:Mark,英:March)。
后来发展成了以柏林为中心的一个大诸侯国。边区的君主(Markgraf)后来成为了拥有
神马皇帝选举权的七选侯(德:Kurfürst,英:Electors)之一。而普鲁士地区位于波
罗的海的东南沿岸,早先和神马帝国则是完全不搭界。13世纪初,在北方十字军东征的
过程中,这个地区的原著民,属于波罗的族的古普鲁士人(Old Prussians)被赫赫有
名的条顿骑士团征服。随之而来的大批德意志移民随即鸠占鹊巢,日耳曼化了当地土著
,形成了新普鲁士人。16世纪中叶,条顿骑士团大统领,勃兰登堡选侯的弟弟阿尔伯特
将普鲁士世俗化为公国,其后与勃兰... 阅读全帖 |
|
f**********4 发帖数: 2617 | 13 2.勃兰登堡-普鲁士vs秦
大家知道,这两位就是最后完成了德意志和中华这两个伟大国家统一大业的强者。而他
们之间的相似之处远不止此。
为后世所知的普鲁士王国在一开始有两个主要组成部分:勃兰登堡边区和普鲁士公国。
作为核心部分的勃兰登堡边区早年间为自东方而来的斯拉夫移民所占据。在神马帝国的
正式开创者奥托大帝的鼓励和支持下下,10世纪时萨克森贵族格罗(Gero)开始向东开
拓“日耳曼人的生存空间”,逐步建立了一系列“边区”(德:Mark,英:March)。
后来发展成了以柏林为中心的一个大诸侯国。边区的君主(Markgraf)后来成为了拥有
神马皇帝选举权的七选侯(德:Kurfürst,英:Electors)之一。而普鲁士地区位于波
罗的海的东南沿岸,早先和神马帝国则是完全不搭界。13世纪初,在北方十字军东征的
过程中,这个地区的原著民,属于波罗的族的古普鲁士人(Old Prussians)被赫赫有
名的条顿骑士团征服。随之而来的大批德意志移民随即鸠占鹊巢,日耳曼化了当地土著
,形成了新普鲁士人。16世纪中叶,条顿骑士团大统领,勃兰登堡选侯的弟弟阿尔伯特
将普鲁士世俗化为公国,其后与勃兰... 阅读全帖 |
|
f**********4 发帖数: 2617 | 14 4. 萨克森 vs 晋/魏
“萨克森”(英:Saxony,德:Sachsen),对于欧洲和欧洲史有所了解的同学来说,是一个四处出现的字眼。我们知道大阴帝国的主体民族盎格鲁•撒克逊人来源于大陆的萨克森。当今德国也有数个以萨克森命名的联邦州。追本溯源,最初的萨克森人是居住在易北河下游一带的一个日耳曼人部落联盟。从公元6世纪开始,因为种种地缘利益的冲突,特别是因为萨克森人拒不接受基督教信仰,他们和西南方的邻居法兰克人开始频繁的冲突。772年,当时的法兰克国王,后来神马帝国的开创者查理曼大帝开始了长达30年之久的血腥的“萨克森战争”,最终将萨克森人和萨克森地区划入了帝国的统治范围。
尽管加入帝国的过程十分痛苦,但是萨克森的适应过程却相当顺利。在强势的查理曼大帝死后,加洛林王朝的统治者迅速开始内斗,帝国三分。在长达一百年的混乱过程中,地处帝国北疆的萨克森默默的完成了基督化的过程,成为了东法兰克王国(德意志)的“枝干公国”(Stem Duchies/Stammesherzogtum,指早期组成法兰克/德意志/神马的最重要的部落或公爵领)之一。公元919年,萨克森公爵“捕鸟者”海因里希(... 阅读全帖 |
|
R*****d 发帖数: 1148 | 15 ☆─────────────────────────────────────☆
fingerling54 (黑暗虎鲸) 于 (Thu Jun 9 19:08:59 2011, 美东) 提到:
虽然说像笔者这样的历史票友平常总是标榜推崇真实,准确,有出处,有逻辑,见到别
人关公战秦琼式的“比较历史学”大作(比如“大汉vs罗马”神马的),总是会人贱手
痒的跳出来指手画脚,说三道四,占领“逻辑制高点”,但是轮到自己的时候,又总会
忍不住炮制出相同的文章。毕竟,yy和八卦才是非专业历史爱好者的主要兴趣来源(当
然还有就是要占领制高点,be smart)。所以,yy无罪,八卦有理,关公可以战秦琼,
历史比较无责任!
另外,对于不太熟悉中、近世德意志历史的同学,从国史出发开始了解,也比较容易上
手,这也是笔者炮制此娱乐文背后的深沉思考,嗯。OK,下面进入正题。
☆─────────────────────────────────────☆
fingerling54 (黑暗虎鲸) 于 (Thu Jun 9 19:09:20 2011, 美东) 提到:
1.神马帝国vs周朝
“... 阅读全帖 |
|
f**********4 发帖数: 2617 | 16 您老不能总是这样简单的把普鲁士王国的传承归于占据普鲁士地区的条顿骑士团。要知
道普鲁士王国的核心是勃兰登堡选侯国。勃兰登堡选侯霍亨佐伦家族只是碰巧又担任了
条顿骑士团的大统领才导致两个地区合流在一起,但普鲁士王国的核心统治区域毫无疑
问的是以柏林为中心的勃兰登堡。更何况普鲁士王国的军事传统历史不长,发端于the
Great Elector, Frederick Willian (1640-1688),真正形成是在腓特烈大帝的老爸
Frederick William I (1713-1740)时代。在此之前,三十年战争(1618-1648)中
的勃兰登堡选侯国甚至连常备军都没有,只能被大瑞典推来推去。而条顿骑士团治下的
普鲁士在1525年就世俗化了。因此条顿骑士团对普鲁士军事传统的影响只具有符号意义。 |
|
h**********r 发帖数: 2284 | 17 "全美国只有538个人参加最后的选举"
看得出来 你其实对 electoral college 的理解有误。整篇写得似是而非。再学学吧。 |
|
f**********4 发帖数: 2617 | 18 瑞典崛起失败的另一个重要因素是勃兰登堡-普鲁士。三十年战争时古斯塔夫像欺负小
孩一样的玩弄勃兰登堡选侯,根本没有把这个当时和其它德意志诸侯一样不成器的小玩
闹当回事。结果没想到下一代勃兰登堡选侯the Great Elector腓特列.威廉卧薪尝胆,
凭借各种外交和军事手段,逐步把瑞典在德意志的势力清除出去。古斯塔夫算是白死了
。 |
|
|
m***n 发帖数: 12188 | 20 都只是部分原因。
其实第一个原因还更主导一些。
另外,有众多类似对手互相拉练的拉锯战争也是科技的催化剂。所以春秋战国是中华文
明的轴心时代。多少科学家是法国炮兵学校训练出来的。
毕升之后,中国的文人统治阶层(江南人)完全不适应战争。所以胜利者总是胜利地太
快太轻易。全是没死几个人,就胜利了。好比满清征服全中国,没死几个人。死的还都
是在和蒙古的战争中(雍正说的)。
因此,催化剂没法发挥作用。甚至战争之后,科技大退步(比如清朝代替明朝,又以骑
射为本),胜利者觉得失败者的科技完全无用。其实不是科技无用,而是掌握科技的人
太没用。
看欧洲人打成什么样,经历了三百年和平的大清,在鸦片战争不败才没有天理。大清的
军队是酒囊饭袋,英军是身经百战。
1700: the great Northern war:
After Charles XII inherited the Swedish throne (1697), Denmark, Saxony,
Russian attacked Sweden (1700). Charles defeated the Danes, then destroy... 阅读全帖 |
|
d*****g 发帖数: 1616 | 21 http://blogs.wsj.com/source/2010/09/03/german-politics-hit-by-blowback-over-sarrazin/
German Politics Hit by Blowback Over Sarrazin
By Terence Roth
The German government’s effort to oust a senior Bundesbank official for
publishing controversial racial theories isn’t going at all well.
A day after the German central bank asked President Christian Wulff to
dismiss the official for racially charged remarks, it was becoming evident
that a sizable slice of the electorate share Sarrazin’s concerns ove |
|
Y***u 发帖数: 412 | 22 About the Grants Program
Each year NED makes direct grants to hundreds of nongovernmental groups
abroad working to ensure human rights, an independent media, the rule of law
and to advance other democratic goals.
We encourage applications for financial support from activist organizations
in diverse situations, such as transitional countries where the goal is
democratic consolidation, authoritarian countries where the goals are
liberalization, and the protection of human rights.
Application Proce... 阅读全帖 |
|
S*********g 发帖数: 24893 | 23 http://www.ned.org/grantseekers
NED Core Institutes
NED also makes grants to four American partners, commonly known as the “
Core Institutes,” for work abroad to foster the growth of political parties
, electoral processes and institutions, free trade unions, and free markets
and business organizations.
•Solidarity Center :: VISIT
•Center for International Private Enterprise (CIPE) :: VISIT
•International Republican Institute (IRI) :: VISIT
•National Democratic Institute ... 阅读全帖 |
|
g****a 发帖数: 1959 | 24 这个类比不对
米国也是选民选elector college
然后才是他们投票选总统 |
|
d********y 发帖数: 6566 | 25 时代不同了。13年前,江总访美的时候,小克也像今天小奥这样热情接待过老江,可那
时候,美国人是居高临下,把中国当小学生看待,时不时会指点指点、训导训导。而眼
下胡总访美,却让很多美国人心里酸酸的,也说不出是高兴还是难受,反正不太自在吧
。按理说,胡总来一趟,就签了四五百亿的商业合同,美国人应当高兴才对。可当他们
把美国和中国的现况一比,比出差距了,比得不那么自信了,甚至不只是不自信,而是
有点不知所措,有些失落感了。这不,我下面要向大家介绍的这篇文章,作者干脆认输
了。连搞资本主义也干不过中国,那美国人还有什么值得骄傲的呢?
(声明,为了方便,这里采用意译加趣译)
Why China Does Capitalism Better than the U.S.
By Tony Karon
始于2008年的全球经济衰退,让我们看到一个最据伟大讽刺意义的事实,即共产党统治
的中国,竟然比我们美国的民选政府,更会应负和处理资本主义的危机。中国的经济刺
激方案,开支比俺们的还要大,对抗经济衰退的效果也好得多啊。他们的钱大多用在建
设基础设施,从而进一步奠定了将来经济发展的基础。你看看他们建了多少楼... 阅读全帖 |
|
t*******h 发帖数: 2882 | 26 http://the-diplomat.com/indian-decade/2011/02/07/bangladesh-bor
Bangladesh Border Worries
By Sumit Ganguly
February 7, 2011
On January 7, India’s Border Security Force (BSF) shot and killed a hapless
Bangladeshi illegal immigrant teenager who was trying to slip across the
porous border into Bangladesh. Her killing has caused understandable outrage
in Bangladesh and threatens to cast a pall over Prime Minister Manmohan
Singh’s upcoming visit to Bangladesh.
There’s little question that the BSF’s a... 阅读全帖 |
|
c**i 发帖数: 6973 | 27 VOA Chinese, Feb 8, 2011.
http://www.voanews.com/chinese/news
/20110207-US-TAIWAN-POLICY-115514579.html
My comment:
(a) Often I wonder whether American scholars know what administration is
thinking. How come sometimes they talk as if they are cocksure. I started
wonder when former president Chen Shui-bian was in the receiving end of
displeasure. Were they speaking for themselves? Were they part of a trial
baloon?
(b) Shelley Rigger is currently Brown Professor of Political Science,
Davidson C... 阅读全帖 |
|
w***u 发帖数: 17713 | 28 是原来中国农村户口只有城市户口选举权1/4的反面,难怪日本能做到拼死不进口美国
米中国米,被迫进口了也放成陈米做饲料。
The apportionment of electoral districts still reflects the distribution of
the population in the years following World War II, when only one-third of
the people lived in urban areas and twothirds lived in rural areas. In the
next forty-five years, the population became more than three-quarters urban,
as people deserted rural communities to seek economic opportunities in
Tokyo and other large cities. The lack of reapportionment led to a... 阅读全帖 |
|
x******g 发帖数: 33885 | 29 美国的白男就不同,他们开始认识到他们被骗了。就像没文化的G.W.Bush说的,“Fool
me once shame on...[pause, pause]... shame on you... eh.. um... Fool me [
twice] ...[pause] ...you can't get fooled again.
Obama's best group in the white electorate remains well-educated women, who
tend toward more liberal positions on social issues as well as greater
receptivity to government activism. In the new poll, 56 percent of college-
educated white women said they approved of Obama's performance. That's a
slight improvement from the 52 perce... 阅读全帖 |
|
B*V 发帖数: 3365 | 30 【 以下文字转载自 WorldNews 讨论区 】
发信人: vuse (vuse), 信区: WorldNews
标 题: 美国国家民主基金会资助中国『颜色革命』、资助藏独、资助疆独的清单
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Wed Jan 27 11:21:58 2010, 美东)
美国国家民主基金会资助中国『颜色革命』、资助藏独、资助疆独的清单
来源: 一心锄禾 于 10-01-26 20:15:12
http://www.ned.org/grants/08programs/grants-asia08.html#China
China
Rule of Law and Public Participation
$180,913
To strengthen the rule of law, enhance citizens’ awareness of their legal
rights, enhance norms of access to information and the free flow of
information, and broaden parti... 阅读全帖 |
|
s*********8 发帖数: 901 | 31 Police broke up a mass fast against graft led by India's most famous yoga
guru Sunday, risking more political headaches for the scandal-tainted
government.
A senior ruling party figure said the saffron-robed swami Ramdev had used
the anti-corruption event to incite people.
Police detained the guru and flew him to the northern Indian center of his $
40 million-a-year global yoga and health empire.
The campaign by Ramdev, who plans to launch a political party ahead of the
2014 general election, fo... 阅读全帖 |
|
x*****u 发帖数: 6559 | 32
for 2008
O M
Popular vote 69,456,897[1] 59,934,814[1]
Percentage 52.9%[1] 45.7%[1]
Electoral vote 365 173 |
|
c***l 发帖数: 2395 | 33 有意思
“They have more discipline,” he said. “Here in our country, people don’t
look for the long term. Instead, they look for short term, both the
management and labor. We have to change our work culture.”
Mr. Jagtap’s statement reflects a widely held view among Indians that China
has outperformed their country in large part because the Chinese one-party
system is more “disciplined” than India’s vibrant, but messy, democracy.
Meanwhile, Chinese liberals argue that democracy makes India more stable... 阅读全帖 |
|
c**i 发帖数: 6973 | 34 VOA Chinese, Oct 15, 2011.
http://www.voanews.com/chinese/news
/20111015-Making-of-nation-131917023.html
, which is translated from
American History: As War in Europe Expands, US Continues Policy of
Neutrality. VOA, May 11, 2011.
http://www.voanews.com/learningenglish/home/us-history
/War-in-Europe-Expands-US-121661844.html
Note:
(a) The speech given by FDR: 罗斯福总统:“美国绝大多数人寻求和平,寻求国内
和平,也寻求别国和平,从而不会使美国国内和平受到威胁。The overwhelming
masses of our people seek peace. Peace at home, and the kind of peace i... 阅读全帖 |
|
w*********g 发帖数: 30882 | 35 《纽约时报》:揭开西方精英对中国的五大误解
字号:小 大 2011-10-19 18:10 作者:李世默 来源: 四月网 我要评论(1) 分享到
作为世界上最大国家的执政者,中国共产党持续执政已达62年之久。那么迄今为止,中
共的执政业绩到底如何呢?
众所周知,在1949年中共建政以前,由于战火肆虐,外敌横行,中国的国土四分五裂,
满目疮痍;人民普遍食不果腹,人均寿命仅为41岁。但在今天,中国已跻身世界第二大
经济体,成为在全球有重要影响的大国;人民生活迅速改善,人均寿命已达74岁。
但问题还不至于此,对于中共的执政地位,西方的政治和知识精英即使不是直接否定,
也难掩其不快之意。这自然有其原因,在在西方媒体对中国的叙述中,有五大误解流传
甚广,甚嚣一时。以真相揭穿这些误解,已是刻不容缓。
误解一:由于没有选举,中共的执政地位没有得到其治下人民的认可。根据皮尤研究中
心的报告,中国政府享有高度支持,支持率在世界各国中十分靠前;2010年间,中国民
众对国家未来方向的满意度高达87%,这一数字近年来一直保持在80%以上;有66%的民
众相信,未来五年生活会继续改善;有 74%,也... 阅读全帖 |
|
l**k 发帖数: 45267 | 36 what do you mean here? who critized electorate for not knowing candidate? is
it you? |
|
x******g 发帖数: 33885 | 37 Many Russians dismayed with ruling party
KALININGRAD, Russia (AP) -- In the glitzy central square of what once was
regarded as one of Europe's ugliest cities, Marina Timofeyeva was
underwhelmed by the changes brought by a decade under Vladimir Putin. "It's
all nice if you have money to buy something, but what if you don't?," asked
the 29-year-old manager of a boutique.
She hadn't decided who to vote for in Sunday's national elections - except
that it won't be for Putin's United Russia party.
Wid... 阅读全帖 |
|
c*******2 发帖数: 617 | 38 Egypt Raids Offices of Nonprofits, 3 Backed by U.S.
穆巴拉克不敢做的
CAIRO — Security forces shut down three American-financed democracy-
building groups and as many as six other nonprofit organizations on Thursday
, in a crackdown that signaled a new low in relations between Washington and
Egypt’s military rulers.
The National Democratic Institute receives United States government
financing, promotes democracy abroad and says it is loosely affiliated with
the Democratic Party. The International Republi... 阅读全帖 |
|
g*****1 发帖数: 666 | 39 常家蹲还是重复他的念咒一般的老生常谈,根本不值一提。
可读是读者的评论。
http://www.foreignpolicy.com/articles/2011/12/29/the_coming_col
MESS_MEDIA
9:18 PM ET
December 29, 2011
Yeah, I was wrong when I
Yeah, I was wrong when I predicted that the world would end on May 21, 2011.
It should end on October 21.
-Harold Camping
REPLY
JOESMITHII
2:44 AM ET
December 30, 2011
I guess, sooner or later,
I guess, sooner or later, Gordon will get used to admitting wrong
predictions. Fortunately, 2012 is around the corner, we don't need to wa... 阅读全帖 |
|
M*****8 发帖数: 17722 | 40 http://www.atimes.com/atimes/Global_Economy/NA06Dj02.html
Ron Paul vote raises alarm
By Jim Lobe
WASHINGTON - Texas Representative Ron Paul, who 24 years ago performed
dismally as the standard-bearer of the Libertarian Party, has begun making
waves in the 2012 presidential campaign, to the extreme discomfort of neo-
conservatives and aggressive nationalists who dominate the foreign policy
rosters of most of his Republican rivals.
While his third-place finish in Tuesday's Iowa caucuses disappoint... 阅读全帖 |
|
M*****8 发帖数: 17722 | 41 US military forces around Iran portend imminent attack
A former US official says Washington is deploying military forces around
Iran and calling off its wars in Iraq and Afghanistan to prepare for a
strike on Iran.
“Washington has made tremendous preparations for a military assault on Iran
,” Paul Craig Roberts, Assistant Secretary of the Treasury during Ronald
Reagan's presidency, wrote in an article titled “Will Iran Be Attacked? 44
US military bases surrounding Iran...” published on the Globa... 阅读全帖 |
|
w********l 发帖数: 11447 | 42 http://www.nytimes.com/2012/02/16/opinion/why-chinas-political-
THIS week the Obama administration is playing host to Xi Jinping, China’s
vice president and heir apparent. The world’s most powerful electoral
democracy and its largest one-party state are meeting at a time of political
transition for both.
¶ Many have characterized the competition between these two giants as a
clash between democracy and authoritarianism. But this is false. America
and China view their political systems in fu... 阅读全帖 |
|
s*********8 发帖数: 901 | 43 A gunman shot dead three children and a rabbi at a Jewish school in Toulouse
on Monday, days after killing three soldiers nearby, prompting French
President Nicolas Sarkozy to put the region on its highest terrorism alert.
With the attacker, who escaped on a motorbike, still on the loose, police
stepped up a manhunt in the city of a million people in southwestern France.
Sarkozy said the killings and those of the soldiers, one of Caribbean and
two of Muslim origin, in two attacks last week, appe... 阅读全帖 |
|
H****g 发帖数: 14447 | 44 中国政府从1994年起,就开始变相申请NED基金,邀请IRI参与乡村选举。
Sources:
1. IRI和中国民政部。
建于1984年的美国共和研究所(IRI)是第一家介入中国村民选举的外国NGO,与中国政
府有着密切关系。1994年,IRI与中国民政部协商IRI如何帮助中国的村民选举工作,并
在其中扮演适当角色。
http://www.sociology.cass.net.cn/shxw/xcyj/P0200511303117300060
2. 维基对IRI的介绍。
IRI was involved in Haiti prior to the 2004 Haitian coup d'état,[4] in
Honduras following the 2009 Honduran constitutional crisis,[5] organised
right-wing political parties in Poland,[6] and has been involved in
political activities in Egypt during the Arab Spri... 阅读全帖 |
|
b*****d 发帖数: 61690 | 45 有点不讲政治文明了。
http://abcnews.go.com/blogs/politics/2012/08/joe-biden-to-show-
As Republicans converge on Florida next week to formally nominate Mitt
Romney, Vice President Joe Biden plans to be in town.
Biden will be in Florida Monday and Tuesday, including a visit to the Tampa
area, site of the 2012 Republican National Convention, the Obama campaign
said today.
“Any of you going to be in Florida?” Biden joked to reporters today on a
campaign stop in Minneapolis. “Well, I’m the speaker at the con... 阅读全帖 |
|
T**********e 发帖数: 29576 | 46
来。
Yes, if current US people can't decide for the right future, O8 can
introduce new people such as the illegals into the electoral system to make
it. |
|
s*********8 发帖数: 901 | 47 Russia expels USAID development agency
The United States Agency for International Development (USAID) has announced
it will close its offices in Russia following an order from the authorities
there to cease operations.
The Russian government gave the US until 1 October to close the mission,
accusing it of meddling in politics.
USAID has worked in Russia for two decades, spending nearly $3bn (£1.
8bn) on aid and democratic programmes.
The expulsion follows a government crackdown on pro-demo... 阅读全帖 |
|
R****a 发帖数: 6858 | 48 Romney tells the truth about dependency
"There are 47% of the people who will vote for the president no matter what.
All right, there are 47% who are with him, who are dependent upon
government, who believe that they are victims, who believe the government
has a responsibility to care of them, who believe that they are entitled to
healthcare, to food, to housing, to you name it." Republican presidential
nominee Mitt Romney, from secretly recorded remarks at a fundraiser
Mitt Romney told the trut... 阅读全帖 |
|
k****a 发帖数: 7077 | 49 【 以下文字转载自 USANews 讨论区 】
发信人: kayaka (jimm), 信区: USANews
标 题: 民权是黑人的专利,你们外来者洗洗睡了
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Sun Sep 23 22:43:43 2012, 美东)
看看清楚还是右派实诚说了心里话,你们移民谈什玛权利,你们不配。黑人才是米国的
宝贝。
老子前老板一次也是当面说美国的政治就是黑与白,从此看清丫伪liberal,真racist
的本色。
http://news.yahoo.com/blogs/ticket/c...-election.html
Ann Coulter: ‘Civil rights are for blacks -- what have we done to the
immigrants?'
On ABC's "This Week With George Stephanopoulos" on Sunday, Ann Coulter said
the Democratic party has shifted its strategic campaign focus to th... 阅读全帖 |
|
|