W***n
发帖数: 11530 | 1 The World's Richest People Got Poorer This Year
Devon Pendleton
DevonPendleton
Jack Witzig
December 28, 2015 — 7:34 PM CST
The richest people on Earth became a bit poorer this year.
The world’s 400 wealthiest individuals shed $19 billion in 2015, according
to the Bloomberg Billionaires Index. Falling commodities prices and signs of
a slower-growing China spooked investors around the world leading to the
first annual decline for the daily wealth index since its 2012 debut.
"After three great year... 阅读全帖 |
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x*******1
发帖数: 28835 | 2 解禁不光是卖油，还可以买进民用生活品，改善民生。 长期总是好事。 oil glut
很快就会过去的。 |
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c********e
发帖数: 4283 | 3 oil glut还在，每天2mil的surplus还在，而且build up已经有一年了。 |
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l*w
发帖数: 567 | 4 这次政治博弈谈不上。
应该是沙特对美加的油砂抢了market share气愤了，增产搞死美加的油砂。
加上碰上了中国经济变缓，全球经济也有变缓迹象，所以油价挨俩重刀。
再加上伊朗开禁，Oil glut 雪上加霜。
不过上次探27的底强烈反弹，似乎底已经露出来了。
你不能简单地认为60能到30，就觉得30能到15吧。 |
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c********e
发帖数: 4283 | 5 春季炼油厂都要停产做维护的，到时候oil glut还要往上面升，而且现在存储的空间越
来越小了。今年美国又是个少有的暖冬。怕是有人要熬不过去了。
沙特的目标就是灭了shale oil, 不达到目的他们是不会停止的。 |
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u********3
发帖数: 3785 | 6 哈哈，果然EIA出来杀熊，MM每次都这么搞，往大家意想不到的地方杀，不过这个回抽
结束了应该还会继续跌吧，毕竟库存还是高，glut还在，等这波疯牛run 完的
31.38， 31.85,32.23 |
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l*w
发帖数: 567 | 8 怎么是媒体说。里面是oil producer们在说。自己看吧。
The world’s most powerful oilman brought a harsh message to Houston for
executives hoping for a rescue from low prices: high-cost producers -- many
of them sitting in the room -- need to either “lower costs, borrow cash or
liquidate."
For the thousands of executives attending the IHS CERAWeek conference, the
message from Saudi Arabia oil minister Ali al-Naimi means deeper spending
cuts, laying off more roughnecks and idling drilling rigs.
"It sounds harsh, and unf... 阅读全帖 |
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u********3
发帖数: 3785 | 9
countries,
全世界都知道这个动产协议对glut没什么帮助，但是你也看到了，短期的原油交易靠的
是信仰，长期趋势才看基本面。油价就硬是在42这里晃了快一个礼拜了，等消息过后，
下周一很可能跌的狗屎一样，但是这个礼拜你做空就会被常爆菊，把握短期和长期的趋
势才是交易原油的取胜之道。。。
不要和短期的疯狂作对，但也不要因为疯狂丧失了自己的信仰。。。还有一条，当你发
现自己的信仰错了的时候，不要犹豫，赶紧转投敌营，叛变并不羞耻。。。 |
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x*******1
发帖数: 28835 | 10 不会吧，加拿大一下子lose 1/3产能。 整个城市几年几年都无法恢复元气， 沙特马上
就要ipo，这么些牛旗还不算好消息？加拿大这下失血是根本上改变glut的局面
46 |
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u********3
发帖数: 3785 | 11 炼油现在似乎是比较差的选择？炼油没利润，而且据说汽油有glut，马上要爆发，感觉
不是个好选择 |
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u********3
发帖数: 3785 | 12 另外今天我抽空看了一眼TSO和MPC这类的炼油股，光看天线，这些股值得拿长线么？
油价底部的时候炼油股是底部，现在油价涨了快90%了，炼油股涨了10%，而且现在是夏
天，汽油需求最旺盛的时期，结果炼油股在这个半死不活的地方，触了小平台的底反抽
了一下，从去年10月份开始的这种Lower high lower low的趋势根本没有结束的迹象。
我之前没有仔细分析过炼油股，但是多多少少也看到一些分析，全世界炼油的产能是过
剩的，尤其是中国开放tea pot炼油厂之后，油类产品价格走低的压力是相当大的，全
球性的汽油/柴油glut并不是开玩笑的。前几天谁在我的帖子里说，整个2016年第一季
度，某个美国炼油公司的利润在北京买不到一套房。
汽油现在crack低的令人发指，炼油公司的利润怎么会好，股票价格怎么会涨。
总之，做炼油股的波段，高抛低吸，可以做，长期拥有，不推荐。想长线，等今年秋季
或者明年初油价dip的时候入大型整合型油股，仍然是我的首选。我自从在高点抛掉了
BP和Shell后，已经设置了一连串的买单，就等fill了。 |
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W***n
发帖数: 11530 | 13 Natural gas prices have run up phenomenally since the June contract expired
on 26 May at $1.963/mmBtu. The natural gas prices touched an intraday high
of $2.48/mmBtu on 6 June before closing flat for the day.
Since October 2015, prices have not been able to cross the strong resistance
area of $2.5/mmBtu, as seen in the chart below. Do the fundamentals support
a breakout and higher prices in the coming weeks, or will we see a move
back into the range?
We have to consider supply and demand, along ... 阅读全帖 |
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s****a
发帖数: 2918 | 14 News Headlines
Back to Headlines
OIL FALLS AMID WARNINGS OF RETREAT TO $40 ON ROCKY REBALANCE
By Heesu Lee and Stephen Stapczynski - Fri, 15 Jul 2016 01:58:53 GMT
(Bloomberg) -- Oil fell amid forecasts prices may slide toward $40 a barrel
as consumption falters and halted supplies return.
Futures fell as much as 1.4 percent, paring a 2.1 percent gain Thursday.
Analysts from BNP Paribas SA to JBC Energy GmbH warned prices may sink
towards $40 a barrel amid a global glut of supply and weakening de... 阅读全帖 |
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c*********p
发帖数: 3217 | 16 Oil always goes up in March and always goes down in September," ---------
"What happens after Labor Day, worldwide demand will drop off and the glut
will be out of control," the chairman of Navellier & Associates told CNBC's
"Squawk Box." |
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c*********p
发帖数: 3217 | 17 1.Oil always goes up in March and always goes down in September," ---------
"What happens after Labor Day, worldwide demand will drop off and the glut
will be out of control," the chairman of Navellier & Associates told CNBC's
"Squawk Box."
2.Christmas rally
3.sell in may and walk away |
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a*****1
发帖数: 3134 | 18 You are partially right. A large part of crude is coming from the ocean. The
long term all-in cost for deep ocean actually is cheaper due to low decay.
However, the initial investment is high the cycle usually takes 5-7 years.
It will take WTI at $60 before people make investment.
With dramatic reduction in Capex, literally all the deep ocean project was
canceled in the past two years. The investment before 2014 was still coming
online and that is why we still see the glut as of today. But in 2... 阅读全帖 |
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a*****1
发帖数: 3134 | 19 You are partially right. A large part of crude is coming from the ocean. The
long term all-in cost for deep ocean actually is cheaper due to low decay.
However, the initial investment is high the cycle usually takes 5-7 years.
It will take WTI at $60 before people make investment.
With dramatic reduction in Capex, literally all the deep ocean project was
canceled in the past two years. The investment before 2014 was still coming
online and that is why we still see the glut as of today. But in 2... 阅读全帖 |
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x******h
发帖数: 13678 | 21
现在也没走出downtrend，能回49就谢天谢地了，不过压力也很大啊
supply glut也就这两周的report好像还可以，这次要不是gasoline的big draw估计又
没戏了 |
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a*****i
发帖数: 4391 | 22 【 以下文字转载自 JobHunting 讨论区 】
【 原文由 WKF 所发表 】
最近看到The Wall Street Journal上的一篇文章
Behind the Fiber Glut讲的是telecom泡沫是如何形成的.
90年代.com的兴起使得人们越来越相信Internet traffic会成倍增长.
98年美国商业部在报告中预计Internet traffic doubles every 100days.
于是大家纷纷贷款铺光缆,各研究结构频出研究成果,
现在的结果是: Demand只占Supply的3%左右.
LA到NYC之间传输150Mbps的费用从2000一季度的$1.8降到了2002一季度的$0.2
OK,大家看到了,telecom的泡沫有多严重,即便是现在还远不到尽头.
所以现在工作难找,不能怪大家都学CS,不能怪那些早几年转CS的F1,F2门.
前几年大家都这么看好telecom的时候,不是你学不学CS的问题,那个时候,
就象有人说的,能说出个JAVA,UNIX就会有人要你,是市场决定的.
但是是不是IT就真的走到尽头了呢?IT真的就是夕阳产业拉?
也不 |
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c**i
发帖数: 6973 | 24 Andrew Batson, Stimulus Dilemma for China; Spending on Public Works Risks
Making Production Glut Worse. Wall Street Journal, Mar. 21, 2009.
http://online.wsj.com/article/SB123759537916001075.html
("According to China's industry ministry, as of this month about 30% of the
nation's aluminum production capacity is idle, as is 20% of cement and plate
-glass capacity and 70% of semiconductor production.")
My comment:
(a) About the report itself:
(i) A terrific report, which confirms again the Princip |
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t*m
发帖数: 4414 | 25 目前法律不允许天然气出口，所以美国的气价是国际气价的 1/3 ~ 1/2. 目前世界上
液化天然气出口大国是澳大利亚，阿尔及利亚等。
如果米国允许天然气出口了，对中美都是大好事。中国对米国顺差也可以减少一截子。
With the glut of natural gas and low gas prices in the United States, energy
producers are seeking to liquefy and ship domestic natural gas to foreign
markets. Exporting natural gas would provide a huge boon to the U.S. economy
since it would expand market opportunities for American companies, and the
higher prices would act as incentives for more exploration and production
domestically. Un... 阅读全帖 |
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g******4
发帖数: 6339 | 26 WASHINGTON (Reuters) - The Obama administration is looking for new ideas to
shrink a glut of foreclosed properties held by mortgage finance giants
Fannie Mae (OTC BB:FNMA.OB - News) and Freddie Mac (OTC BB:FMCC.OB - News)
that are weighing down the housing market and hurting home prices
...
The government is open to comments through September 15.
Obama administration officials said they were looking for private partners
to remove as much as $30 billion in single-family real estate owned
properti... 阅读全帖 |
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n*********e
发帖数: 25274 | 27 看来下周$4是非过不可了...
Gas in Northeast to rise 15 to 25 cents a gallon in coming weeks: analyst
March 30, 2012, 12:22 PM.
Gasoline prices continued their relentless upward move Friday, with the
average retail price up about a penny in the last day to $3.93 a gallon,
according to the AAA Daily Fuel Gauge Report. A month ago, gasoline cost $3
.73, and a year ago in the good old days, it cost $3.61 a gallon.
The rise continues even though oil supplies in the U.S. remain plentiful.
When asked about risin... 阅读全帖 |
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s*******e
发帖数: 3042 | 28 Might as well post the whole story:
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2012-04-26/pending-sales-of-u-s-e
+++++++
At the same time, the industry remains the economy’s weakest link,
depressed by the threat of more foreclosures, stricter lending standards,
and lower property values.
Even so, the glut of new foreclosures is likely to start pushing prices down
in the second half of this year, she said.
+++++++
Two of four regions saw an increase in pending home sales from the prior
month, led by an 8.7 pe... 阅读全帖 |
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d**n
发帖数: 3172 | 29 Silicon Valley Hiring Perks: Meals, iPads and a Cubicle for Spot
By CLAIRE CAIN MILLER and JENNA WORTHAM
Published: March 25, 2011
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SAN FRANCISCO — Eric Firestone began a new job at a Web start-up here three
weeks ago, and he’s already thinking about what he might do next. But that
’s
just fine with his new employer.
Enlarge This Image
Jim Wilson/The New York Times
Keith Rabois, third from right, Eric Firestone, fourth from right, with
engi... 阅读全帖 |
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d**n
发帖数: 3172 | 30 上级指示在这里：
Nationwide unemployment among computer scientists and programmers is higher
than in other white-collar professions — around 5 percent — in part
because many jobs have vanished overseas. But even with a glut of engineers
on the job market, few have the skills that tech companies look for, said
Cadir Lee, chief technology officer at Zynga.
Colleges rarely teach the newer programming languages like PHP, Ruby and
Python, which have become more popular at young Web companies than older
ones ... 阅读全帖 |
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J****h
发帖数: 623 | 32 My biggest concern is when the baby boomer retired and move to nurcing homes
, there will be glut of old house rush to the market. They were born during
1946 to 1960s. So the old one is 71 and younger one is 57. Let's say avg
life expectancy is 80. So 9 -> 23 years there would be a buyer's market,
uncless birth rate is up or open door immigration. |
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s*******d
发帖数: 3991 | 33 【 以下文字转载自 Military 讨论区 】
发信人: timcook (gayceo), 信区: Military
标 题: oil直奔$40去了
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Sun Nov 30 20:01:58 2014, 美东)
Oil at $40 Possible as Market Transforms Caracas to Iran
Bloomberg By Gregory Viscusi, Tara Patel and Simon Kennedy
2 hours ago
Oil's decline is proving to be the worst since the collapse of the financial
system in 2008 and threatening to have the same global impact of falling
prices three decades ago that led to the Mexican debt crisis and the end of
the Soviet Union.
Russ... 阅读全帖 |
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x******0
发帖数: 1058 | 34 FYI. LNG industry is on down side.
Engie executive: ‘Nobody’ is making money off US LNG exports
By DAN MURTAUGH
Bloomberg
Just as gas export-terminals are preparing to start up along America’s Gulf
Coast, the oil-price crash has made it unprofitable to send the US fuel
abroad, according to the North America head of power and natural gas
supplier Engie.
It costs about $2 to liquefy gas and another $3 to take it from the US to
Asia, said Zin Smati, president and CEO of Engie’s GDF Suez Energy Nor... 阅读全帖 |
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i*****s
发帖数: 15215 | 35 Mysterious feet may be linked to single accident: B.C. forensic expert
Last Updated: Tuesday, June 17, 2008 | 7:59 PM PT
CBC News
A forensic expert at Simon Fraser University said it's unlikely that five
feet, which have washed up on B.C.'s south coast in the past year, belonged
to people who each died in separate incidents.
"It's strange that we had a glut of a whole bunch at once," said Gail
Anderson, who studies the decomposition of human bodies.
"Maybe if a boat or a plane has gone down, som... 阅读全帖 |
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i*****s
发帖数: 15215 | 36 Canada PM vows to ensure key oil pipeline is built
GUANGZHOU, China (Reuters) - Canada's prime minister on Friday made his
strongest comments yet in support of a proposed pipeline from oil-rich
Alberta to the Pacific coast, saying his government was committed to
ensuring the controversial project went ahead.
Enbridge Inc's Northern Gateway pipeline, which is strongly opposed by green
groups and some aboriginal bands, would allow Canada to send tankers of
crude to China and reduce reliance on the... 阅读全帖 |
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A*****a
发帖数: 52743 | 37 Hornets coach Clifford plans to play Kemba Walker, Jeremy Lin together.
Despite having a glut of wings at his disposal, Clifford is fascinated by
the idea of running a two-point guard backcourt featuring Kemba Walker and
the newly signed Jeremy Lin. |
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m*******r
发帖数: 13263 | 38 恭喜。。。see, there are many ways to exercise your glut... |
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f*******n
发帖数: 5241 | 39 昨天做了下CLX的Push Circuit 2，练shoulders, gluts and hamstring。就30多分钟
，但是她的慢起慢落，然后加上super set，还是挺累的。如果重量够challenge的话，
DOMS的反应可能比P90X还大。其实CLX强度还不错，就是时间短，习惯了P90X就会觉得
没有练够似的。可是这也正是它的优点啊。如果只是想练引体，可以一周一次加几组就
可以了。
练Insanity身体素质肯定会有很大提高，就是膝盖不能有问题。我这段时间膝盖不好，
练TurboFire里的HIIT都不行。唉，好在这几天大有好转，过一阵就又可以活蹦乱跳了
。呵呵。 |
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J***n
发帖数: 210 | 40 谢谢你清楚明了的解释！
可不可以再解释下weight training后有时候为什么会有的那种pumped的感觉。不是酸
痛，是发胀。这种感觉有时候有，有时候没有，而且似乎小点的肌群明显。比如glut从
来就没感到过。
要原因。 因为肌纤维在酸性环境下，收缩能力变低。但乳酸在八小时内就会被机体清
除，所以事后酸痛并不是乳酸堆积引起。
golgi |
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l******l
发帖数: 2679 | 41 【 以下文字转载自 loseweight 讨论区 】
发信人: loopkill (loop), 信区: loseweight
标 题: 如何拥有一个傲人的美臀？
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Wed Jul 25 07:44:56 2012, 美东)
拥有一个浑圆饱满，后翘挺拔的屁股是大多数女生梦寐以求的目标。屁股对人体体型的
影响不亚于胸部。
当一个男生脱离青涩男孩期演变为一个成熟男人时，他的性心理和对女性美的关注点也往
往会从脸部，胸部逐渐转移到臀部和大腿，最后停留在衡量女生曲线度最重要的腰臀比
上。
一个后翘饱满的屁股会提升女生的重心，这一点对亚裔女生尤其重要，因为亚裔一般腿
长对身高的比例相对不大。
重心提高就是从后面和侧面看让腿显得更长些。腿一长，人就显得轻盈。
臃肿的肚腹只会让身体重心降低。
屁股的大小有脂肪和肌肉决定。这两者很大程度上都受基因决定。通过锻炼来影响屁股
的大小和形状主要是指影响屁股肌肉（gluts）的发展。
臀肌和任何肌肉一样，由红肌和白肌组成。而白肌占其中体积的大头。要增加屁股肌肉
的多少，显然练白肌是重点。而白肌主要是无氧运动，需要用大重量。用小重... 阅读全帖 |
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d******o
发帖数: 2489 | 42 怎么练出来的？印象里这么低的体脂，glut & thigh 的线条早就出来了吧？ |
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w*******1
发帖数: 1789 | 43 没到位，我基本每次骑完腿就已经开始发慌打颤了，需要很长时间的拉伸。。。
慢慢来啊，你把阻力加到你能承受的范围就好了，就是你能够感觉的是你的整个腿，以
及core，以及gluts在运动，而不是上半身，也不是重力在运动。。。
骑的时候脚一定始终保持和地面平行，pp也是水平摆动，不是上下摆动。。。
如果你觉得你骑的时候在座位上bouncing，那就是阻力不够。。。
爬坡的时候，pp在座位上方，你人的中心在整个腿的上方，这样可以发力去踩。。
完了，说的我现在就想冲到gym去spin了，我有好多我上课时候的playlist，我经常自
己骑。。。 |
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l******l
发帖数: 2679 | 44 拥有一个浑圆饱满，后翘挺拔的屁股是大多数女生梦寐以求的目标。屁股对人体体型的
影响不亚于胸部。
当一个男生脱离青涩男孩期演变为一个成熟男人时，他的性心理和对女性美的关注点也往
往会从脸部，胸部逐渐转移到臀部和大腿，最后停留在衡量女生曲线度最重要的腰臀比
上。
一个后翘饱满的屁股会提升女生的重心，这一点对亚裔女生尤其重要，因为亚裔一般腿
长对身高的比例相对不大。
重心提高就是从后面和侧面看让腿显得更长些。腿一长，人就显得轻盈。
臃肿的肚腹只会让身体重心降低。
屁股的大小有脂肪和肌肉决定。这两者很大程度上都受基因决定。通过锻炼来影响屁股
的大小和形状主要是指影响屁股肌肉（gluts）的发展。
臀肌和任何肌肉一样，由红肌和白肌组成。而白肌占其中体积的大头。要增加屁股肌肉
的多少，显然练白肌是重点。而白肌主要是无氧运动，需要用大重量。用小重量多次数
来练，类似于有氧运动，作用到的是红肌。对尺寸有改善，但不明显。
所以，小重量练习，或者静力练习对改善屁股形状或许有些帮助，但要增加屁股尺寸，
还得上大重量。
大部分亚裔女生的屁股尺寸都有提高的空间，尤其是厚度。
大而扁的屁股也不好看。好在大重量臀部... 阅读全帖 |
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d******0
发帖数: 22800 | 45 ☆─────────────────────────────────────☆
loopkill (loop) 于 (Wed Jul 25 07:44:56 2012, 美东) 提到:
拥有一个浑圆饱满，后翘挺拔的屁股是大多数女生梦寐以求的目标。屁股对人体体型的
影响不亚于胸部。
当一个男生脱离青涩男孩期演变为一个成熟男人时，他的性心理和对女性美的关注点也往
往会从脸部，胸部逐渐转移到臀部和大腿，最后停留在衡量女生曲线度最重要的腰臀比
上。
一个后翘饱满的屁股会提升女生的重心，这一点对亚裔女生尤其重要，因为亚裔一般腿
长对身高的比例相对不大。
重心提高就是从后面和侧面看让腿显得更长些。腿一长，人就显得轻盈。
臃肿的肚腹只会让身体重心降低。
屁股的大小有脂肪和肌肉决定。这两者很大程度上都受基因决定。通过锻炼来影响屁股
的大小和形状主要是指影响屁股肌肉（gluts）的发展。
臀肌和任何肌肉一样，由红肌和白肌组成。而白肌占其中体积的大头。要增加屁股肌肉
的多少，显然练白肌是重点。而白肌主要是无氧运动，需要用大重量。用小重量多次数
来练，类似于有氧运动，作用到的是红肌。对尺寸有改善，... 阅读全帖 |
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b****i
发帖数: 11322 | 46 hahaha, the biggest muscle of a human body: quads, hamstrings and gluts.
lets SQUAT!!! |
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z******o
发帖数: 3285 | 47 我也晕了 肌肉的size不能变？如果能变为啥形状不变？那啥是形状？
跑步对quats有很好的的刺激 短跑更是了，对gluts，小腿肌肉也有刺激，不能说一定
是纯粹”流失肌肉“ 我不明白为什么跑步就和增肌反着了。你能用到的肌肉，就有刺
激。我跑步快3个月，大腿tone了不少，quats看起来更明显了。 |
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a**********0
发帖数: 87 | 48 Started HIIT. 3 hr/ week. plus my regular yoga and zumba. 1400cal diet. Been
a month. Numbers are not moving on the scale. Feels belly and glut are
getting tighter. Used to wear 10/12 for lulu lemon. Today bought two pairs
if size 6.
Still working on the same goal. A bit frustrated with the plateau. Any good
advice? |
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a**********0
发帖数: 87 | 49 Started HIIT. 3 hr/ week. plus my regular yoga and zumba. 1400cal diet. Been
a month. Numbers are not moving on the scale. Feels belly and glut are
getting tighter. Used to wear 10/12 for lulu lemon. Today bought two pairs
if size 6.
Still working on the same goal. A bit frustrated with the plateau. Any good
advice? |
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a**********0
发帖数: 87 | 50 先贊一个。
My personal trainer told me to keep glut between shoulder and knee for dead
lift. But I use kettle bell. Maybe ur butt was a tinsy too high? |
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