b*****d
发帖数: 61690 | 1 White House: CBO's wage report flawed
By Erik Wasson
The White House on Tuesday pushed back on a new Congressional Budget Office
(CBO) report that found raising the minimum wage to $10.10 would cost 500,
000 jobs by 2016.
Jason Furman, the chairman of the White House's Council of Economic Advisers
, said the CBO's finding is flawed.
“CBO’s estimates of the impact of raising the minimum wage on employment
does not reflect the current consensus view of economists,” he said in a
blog post. “The bul... 阅读全帖 |
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l****z
发帖数: 29846 | 2 By: Daniel Horowitz (Diary) | February 5th, 2013 at 04:24 PM |
We’ve all been waiting to see the updated CBO Budget and Economic Outlook
for 2013 and the next ten years. Most of the news articles are focusing
their headlines on the deficit and debt numbers projected in the CBO report.
But remember that the reason why CBO deficit projections always understate
the reality is because they overstate the amount of revenue they expect to
come into the Treasury.
CBO projects the gross federal d... 阅读全帖 |
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b*****d
发帖数: 61690 | 3 The “border surge” addition to the Senate Gang of Eight immigration bill
would cut the rate of illegal immigration to the United States by as much as
50 percent, according to a congressional analysis released Wednesday.
The original version of the Gang’s bill would reduce illegal immigration by
25 percent compared to what would happen under the status quo. But the “
border surge” amendment, written by Sens. Bob Corker (R-Tenn.) and John
Hoeven (R-N.D.) would lower that anywhere between one-third... 阅读全帖 |
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l****z
发帖数: 29846 | 4 Obamacare's Gross Costs Double to $1.76 Trillion, CBO Projects
Wednesday, March 14, 2012 10:29 AM
By: Richard Wagner and Martin Gould
The gross costs of the national healthcare law rammed through Congress by
President Barack Obama will reach an estimated $1.76 trillion over 10 years
– nearly twice the amount originally projected.
The figure, which the Congressional Budget Office (CBO) revealed on
Wednesday, is bound to cause embarrassment to the administration as it comes
just as debate on “Obam... 阅读全帖 |
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l****z
发帖数: 29846 | 5 CBO: Feds Taxing More, Spending More, Running Bigger Deficit in 2015
April 13, 2015 - 1:21 PM
By Terence P. Jeffrey
(CNSNews.com) - The federal government taxed away more money, spent more
money and ran a bigger deficit in the first half of fiscal 2015 than it did
in the first half of fiscal 2014, according to the Congressional Budget
Office.
“The federal government ran a budget deficit of $430 billion for the first
half of fiscal year 2015, CBO estimates--$17 billion more than the shortfall
rec... 阅读全帖 |
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y****8
发帖数: 702 | 6 CBO Obamacare 就lost credibility, 这次还想来搅，没那么容易了。
白宫已经反击了。
White House Statement on CBO Healthcare Report
The CBO has consistently proven it cannot accurately predict how healthcare
legislation will impact insurance coverage. This history of inaccuracy, as
demonstrated by its flawed report on coverage, premiums, and predicted
deficit arising out of Obamacare, reminds us that its analysis must not be
trusted blindly. In 2013, the CBO estimated that 24 million people would
have coverage under Obama... 阅读全帖 |
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发帖数: 1 | 7 不滿參院版健保法案內容，大批民眾在國會前示威，反對法案過關。 (美聯社) 不滿參
院版健保法案內容，大批民眾在國會前示威，反對法案過關。 (美聯社)
不滿參院版健保法案內容，大批民眾在國會前示威，反對法案過關。 (Getty Images)
不滿參院版健保法案內容，大批民眾在國會前示威，反對法案過關。 (Getty Images)
參院多數黨領袖麥康諾正快馬加鞭的修訂他主持擬定的健保提案，希望最快在30日(周
五)送交國會預算處(CBO)進行評估，以趕在國會8月休會前交付表決。
「華盛頓郵報」報導，這種努力反映麥康諾在7月進行表決的計畫面對緊迫的時間表，
以及修改作業為爭取足夠支持所承受的壓力。
國會本周展開國慶休會，而麥康諾試圖在7月中旬復會前獲得CBO對修訂版的正式評估，
讓參院有大約兩周時間實現8月休會前把健保案交付院會表決的目標。
由於保守派和中間派要求南轅北轍，參院領導人窮於兩面討好，同時還得避免損害CBO
對新提案有關投保人和聯邦開支的影響評估。
麥康諾及其團隊28日忙著與同黨議員閉門開會，這些議員不時表露無奈，雖然他們對健
保案仍可能交付表決表示審慎樂觀。
保守派要求對保... 阅读全帖 |
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m******d
发帖数: 3243 | 8 It's very simple. Forecasts are guesses. When rates change in either
direction, the CBO does linear forecasts on tax revenues, never estimating
the stimulation or retardation of economic activity resulting from the
changes. It is all policy permits them to do. Accordingly, CBO forecasts for
rate changes are always wrong. CBO results, on the other hand, are facts --
the same facts that appear in reports from the OMB and the IRS. Four years
of factual history on the 2003 tax rate reduction on capi... 阅读全帖 |
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l****z
发帖数: 29846 | 9 CBO: Obama’s Policies to Increase National Debt 47 Percent to $21.7
Trillion by 2022
CNS News
February 1, 2012
The Congressional Budget Office projects that the national debt under
President Obama’s policies will rise to $21.665 trillion by 2022, according
to its updated budget outlook.
The updated outlook, released Tuesday, found that current Obama
administration policies will result in a 50 percent increase in debt held by
the public and a 40 percent increase in intra-governmental debt held in... 阅读全帖 |
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发帖数: 1 | 10 國會預算處(CBO)25日表示，參院共和黨版本的健保法案一旦通過實施後，將把自付額
推向新高，半數美國人每年至少要付1000元，如果是個人在健保市場買保險，2026年看
醫生和拿藥的自付額，可能超過1萬3000元。
CBO表示，如果繼續執行歐記健保，到2026年個人買保險的自付額將是5000元出頭，比
參院共和黨法案的自付額少2.6倍。
「企業觀察」雜誌指出，共和黨的健保計畫將把自付額推向新的高度，超過最貧窮階層
的收入水平。
CBO預計，共和黨的健保法案將使許多中產階級和勞工階層放棄買保險，因為他們感到
無力承受。例如年收入占到聯邦貧困線175%的2萬6500元，或是年收入占聯邦貧困線375
%的5萬6800元，自付額將分別占收入水平的一半和四分之一。
CBO估計，每月的保險再加上一年1萬3000元的自付額，中產階級家庭將很難支付。統計
顯示，2016年，美國69%的人只有不到1000元的儲蓄，35%成年人僅有數百元儲蓄。
Fidelity公司的研究表明，美國多數家庭只有很少甚至沒有退休儲蓄。
專家指出，其他發達國家的自付額要比美國低很多，如在保險體制各不相同的德國、加
拿大和英國。... 阅读全帖 |
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l****z
发帖数: 29846 | 11 By James Pethokoukis
January 31, 2012, 11:27 am
The Congressional Budget Office has released its updated 10-year budget and
economic forecast. Actually, the CBO offers two forecasts. It has a baseline
forecast, which assumes current law stays in place. It also has an “
alternative” forecast which assumes current tax and spending policy stays
in place as is—even if the law says it must change in coming years. That
scenario incorporates the following assumptions:
– Expiring tax provisions (oth... 阅读全帖 |
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l****z
发帖数: 29846 | 12 CBO Director Douglas Elmendorf testified before the House Budget
Committee Tuesday and may have burst the Presidential bravado about the
economy exhibited during last week's State of The Union Address. Rather than
speaking glowingly about the recovery, Elmendorf said, "this recovery is
certainly much weaker than the average of the past half-dozen or so
recoveries."
During his State of the Union President Obama bragged:
The shadow of crisis has passed, and the State of the Union is str... 阅读全帖 |
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T**********e
发帖数: 29576 | 13 搞了半天CBO还是obamacare认定最好。
CBO: Senate Health Care Bill Would Leave 22 Million More Uninsured
WASHINGTON — The Senate health care bill would insure 22 million fewer
people after a decade than current law, according to an analysis Monday by
the non-partisan Congressional Budget Office.
It would save $321 billion in the same period overall by spending $1
trillion less on health care and using the savings to repeal the Affordable
Care Act’s taxes, which primarily benefit wealthy individuals and medica... 阅读全帖 |
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T**********e
发帖数: 29576 | 14 早知道CBO会出来搅屎，要改obamacare省钱肯定一大堆人号称失保。像当年CBO给
Obamacare评估既省钱又加保起到临门一脚作用，这次CBO很可能把参议院医保案搞死。 |
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m***x
发帖数: 404 | 15 CBO 出来搅屎是一定的，你说得好像新医保法案是什么见不得人的东西，CBO一出来就
要完蛋，不明白你是何居心。
另外你的“CBO很可能把参议院医保案搞死”又是塞的私货。你是深知韦小宝的九句真
话加一句假话的诀窍的，从反川黑川，传播猪党和左派那一套杀人不见血的东西上，你
这种假装“中立”“理性”的手法，比本版其它很多ID有效多了，佩服!
我可以把话说在这里，你就别幻想了，新医保必过! |
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T**********e
发帖数: 29576 | 16
剧本是CBO估算一出，MSM就开始聒噪然后跟踪民意调查，电话里问那个CBO算定失保22m
的医改法案你支不支持，结果只有20%支持度，大标题报道，GOP参议员瞎尿了纷纷撤退。
第一次众议院法案就是这么失败的，第二次白宫和党秘密搞了草案突然放出来投票，
CBO还没来得及估算就通过了。 |
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l****z
发帖数: 29846 | 17 by Rick aka Mr. Brutally Honest
Ok... the first quote is accurate, the second is my taking artistic license
with what the CBO actually said... sue me:
President Barack Obama said on Thursday that “we got back every dime we
used to rescue the financial system."
According to the Congressional Budget Office, however, the government
will lose about $24 billion on the bailout.
“We got back every dime we used to rescue the financial system, but we
also passed a historic law to end taxpayer... 阅读全帖 |
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l****z
发帖数: 29846 | 18 CBO: 7 million to lose employer-based insurance when ACA rules take effect
February 7, 2013 by Michael Laprarie
But don’t worry – your family will be able to buy health insurance through
a government exchange for a mere $20,000 a year!
As much as I would like to call this fiction, it isn’t. The Affordable
Care Act health insurance mandate and penalty regulations are confusing and
ridiculous.
An employer must offer each employee “affordable” coverage (meaning the
employee’s premium contributio... 阅读全帖 |
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s********t
发帖数: 4150 | 19 The Congressional Budget Office warned policy makers on Tuesday not to
become too comfortable with shrinking budget deficits.
The aging U.S. population, federal health-care costs, and expanded subsidies
for health care will push government spending to a much larger level as a
share of the economy than any period since World War II.
CBO, which provides budget estimates for Congress, said deficit is expected
to continue shrinking over the next few years but will eventually climb
again, “mainly bec... 阅读全帖 |
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s******8
发帖数: 4192 | 20 你才要好读读报告。真是无语啊。叫别人读报告，自己不先读。英语不好你就说。我帮
你读。
报告里面写了，第20页。
In 2018, by CBO and JCT’s estimates, about 14 million more people would be
uninsured,relative to the number under current law. That increase would
consist of about 6 million fewer people with coverage obtained in the
nongroup market, roughly 5 million fewer people with coverage under Medicaid
, and about 2 million fewer people with employment-based coverage. In 2019,
the number of uninsured would grow to 16 million
people because of further... 阅读全帖 |
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T**********e
发帖数: 29576 | 21 CBO一出舆论压力更大，这样要能过就是赵老公太厉害了。
: 22m
: 退。
: 那就等着看结果吧。估计也要不了几天了。
: 要是MSM，CBO创造出来的“民意”有用，现在就是Madame President在白宫里了
。第一
: 个医保法案是因为free caucus觉得还不够保守，换句话说，是因为觉得失保的
人还不
: 够多坚决不支持，哪里是什么狗屁“民意”？
: GOP参议员都吓尿了？在你梦里吧？
: 回归现实，stop wishful thinking! 当然如果这是你的工作，请继续。
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T**********e
发帖数: 29576 | 22
healthcare
没啥用，CBO打着非党派的标记，是现在唯一为医改估算的机构，除非白宫自己搞一个
估算，不然各界都拿CBO说事。 |
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m******d
发帖数: 3243 | 23 看看老Bill的tax reform
For anyone willing to read it, the January 2007 Congressional Budget Office
annual report settles any debate. Citing the original CBO forecasts of
capital gains tax revenue of $42 billion in 2003, $46 billion in 2004, $52
billion in 2005, and $57 billion in 2006, Democrats who opposed the rate
reduction in 2003 claimed that the capital gains tax cut would "cost" the
federal treasury $5.4 billion in fiscal years 2003-2006.
Those forecasts were embarrassingly wrong. The 2007 CBO... 阅读全帖 |
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t**********r
发帖数: 882 | 24 应该来个eo解散cbo，然后全都lock up
：麻痹
：床大可以用EO解散CBO么？ |
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l****z
发帖数: 29846 | 27 WASHINGTON – New congressional projections show Social Security running
permanent annual deficits unless lawmakers act to shore up the massive
retirement and disability program.
The Congressional Budget Office said Wednesday that Social Security will pay
out $45 billion more in benefits this year than it will collect in payroll
taxes, further straining the nation's finances. The deficits will continue
until the Social Security trust funds are eventually drained, in about 2037.
Previously, CBO sa... 阅读全帖 |
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a****3
发帖数: 11741 | 28 www.foxnews.com/politics/2017/03/12/white-house-vows-plan-will-offer-
insurance-to-every-american-downplays-upcoming-cbo-report.amp.html |
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h*******n
发帖数: 8906 | 29 当年巴马care CBO算出来那么快就破产了么？记的貌似多少年还省多少钱呢 |
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T**********e
发帖数: 29576 | 30 虽然CBO当年为obamacare 保驾护航估算能降低美国医疗成本，但这机构打着超党派的
牌子，拿这数字说话共和党也别假装医改了，直接repeal obamacare最干脆。 |
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f********8
发帖数: 5601 | 31 看看heritage foundation的预测更靠谱。CBO根本不独立 |
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s****d
发帖数: 1830 | 32 右派选民又不和你这猪头一样蠢
是MSM和CBO叫嚣的24M没保险保费要涨 没法实施的 |
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I****s
发帖数: 1167 | 33 脑残川粉都是这样的。自己智硬，却认为别人都是傻逼。不过一般最后都是自己被打脸
。哈哈
: 你才要好读读报告。真是无语啊。叫别人读报告，自己不先读。英语不好你就说
。我帮
: 你读。
: 报告里面写了，第20页。
: In 2018, by CBO and JCT’s estimates, about 14 million more people
would be
: uninsured,relative to the number under current law. That increase
would
: consist of about 6 million fewer people with coverage obtained in the
: nongroup market, roughly 5 million fewer people with coverage under
Medicaid
: , and about 2 million fewer people with employment-based ... 阅读全帖 |
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g***c
发帖数: 11523 | 34 你和CBO一个鸡巴样，就知道撒谎。
2020年Medicaid 才会动，明年怎么会损失5M
去听听今天的白宫发言人新闻发布会，跟我分析的一样。
左逼真是一群傻逼，吃屎的货。
be
Medicaid
,
Most |
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i**********k
发帖数: 5274 | 35 CBO当年说奥黑健保是好健保。华盛顿那些职业官僚真他妈垃圾！ |
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T**********e
发帖数: 29576 | 36
我还记得当年听车里收音机CBO公布obamacare既降低premium又扩保多少千万，就想尼
玛不改革医疗成本哪有这么好的事，纯属睁眼说瞎话扯淡，结果被巴马拿来猛宣传硬把
法案通过了。 |
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m***x
发帖数: 404 | 37
22m
退。
那就等着看结果吧。估计也要不了几天了。
要是MSM，CBO创造出来的“民意”有用，现在就是Madame President在白宫里了。第一
个医保法案是因为free caucus觉得还不够保守，换句话说，是因为觉得失保的人还不
够多坚决不支持，哪里是什么狗屁“民意”？
GOP参议员都吓尿了？在你梦里吧？
回归现实，stop wishful thinking! 当然如果这是你的工作，请继续。 |
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T**********e
发帖数: 29576 | 38 现在拖到独立日后表决足够让主流用 CBO 二千万失保估算做几次 poll 了，结果支持
率估计像上次众院草案一样15%，和党议员就尿了。 |
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A**d
发帖数: 13310 | 39 那就等着等到CBO这些垃圾都换人，底下大量地区出现一个保险公司也没有的情况再彻
底废掉 |
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T**********e
发帖数: 29576 | 40 本来就该先废再立，就没有用obamacare当标准算失保多少的游戏了。但现在政治气氛
repeal更难
: 那就等着等到CBO这些垃圾都换人，底下大量地区出现一个保险公司也没有的情
况再彻
: 底废掉
|
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T**********e
发帖数: 29576 | 41 The CBO score of the revised Senate tax bill just landed. It raises 10-year
deficits by $1.474 trillion. |
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k*********v
发帖数: 923 | 43 sb楼主又被打脸了 爽！
重新计票-选举人叛变-弹劾-口米-马纳福-flynn-税改，接着...
[在 TravisBickle (Travis) 的大作中提到：]
:The CBO score of the revised Senate tax bill just landed. It raises 10-year
deficits by $1.474 trillion. |
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m*******l
发帖数: 12782 | 45 ☆─────────────────────────────────────☆
fakaoti08 (fakati08) 于 (Fri Nov 18 23:57:56 2011, 美东) 提到:
http://cbo.gov/ftpdocs/125xx/doc12561/hr3012.pdf
估计下面距离实际的Report应该不远了。
☆─────────────────────────────────────☆
mobydick (白鲸) 于 (Sat Nov 19 00:18:57 2011, 美东) 提到:
This estimate of "no significant budgetary impact" is good for 3012 to pass.
But check this out, the Senate form of 3012:
QUICK TAKE: Coons, Rubio Hope AGREE Act Will Gain Support
By Sara Sorcher
Updated: November 16, 2011 | 9:50 ... 阅读全帖 |
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D****9
发帖数: 10889 | 46 CBO Releases Reports of Impact of CIR 2013 - Reduces $197 Billion Deficits
and Increases $175 Billion Savings During Next 10 Years!! Mama Mia!!! |
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l******l
发帖数: 2651 | 47 Did you check CBO forecast for Bush's budget to support the Iraq war back
in 2003? |
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v**********m
发帖数: 5516 | 48 CBO Chief Says U.S. Debt Default Could Cost Taxpayers Billions
By Brian Faler - Jun 14, 2011 1:03 PM ET
A U.S. government default on its debts would be a “dangerous gamble” that
could easily cost taxpayers billions of dollars, the head of the
Congressional Budget Office said today.
Doug Elmendorf told reporters that if the investors who buy federal debt
begin demanding even modestly higher interest rates, to compensate for
additional risk, it could quickly add more than $100 billion to the inter... 阅读全帖 |
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l****z
发帖数: 29846 | 49 How did the U.S. reach a 'fiscal cliff' and what does it mean? Here are the
facts.
Posted on November 30, 2012
Summary
The U.S. faces the possibility of another recession — the third in 11 years
— if President Obama and Congress cannot find a way to avoid the so-called
fiscal cliff. The one-two combination of massive tax increases and spending
cuts scheduled to take effect, beginning Jan. 1, would push the
unemployment rate back above 9 percent, according to the Congressional
Budget Office.
Ther... 阅读全帖 |
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发帖数: 1 | 50 赶上希腊了 美报告预测30年后美国债务占GDP比重翻番
美国公共债务目前占GDP的78%，处于二战后不久以来的最高水平。CBO预计，若现行法
律基本保持不变，到了2028年，公共债务与GDP之比将达到100%；这一比例还将在2048
年达到152%，创下历史新高。
华尔街见闻 2018/06/27 15:04 浏览 21.6W 字体：宋
图片来源：视觉中国
作者：曾心怡
两个月前，国际基金货币组织（IMF）曾给出短期预计称，到2023年，美国的债务与GDP
比例将达到116.9%，超过意大利。此前几日，美国国会预算办公室（CBO）则预测称，
到2028年，国家债务将占国内生产总值的96%。
6月26日周二，CBO公布最新的长期预算展望报告指出，美国公共债务目前占GDP的78%，
处于二战后不久以来的最高水平。
CBO预计，若现行法律基本保持不变，不断增长的预算赤字将在今后30年间推动美国债
务飙升。到了2028年，公共债务与GDP之比将达到100%；这一比例还将在2048年达到152
%，创下历史新高。
但与此同时，CBO也承认，如果用以测算债务与GDP之比的四个关键因素... 阅读全帖 |
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