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全部话题 - 话题: downturn
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n***i
发帖数: 777
1
来自主题: Stock版 - 汇率影响太大了
顶你,你的帖子我都看的
前两天 股市大跌,没拿住 aapl,300 shares 抛在 97 左右,
正懊悔呢,现在又下来了,估计几天之内这个价位买回没问题
aapl 产品我很喜欢,也喜欢他的理念,但是 实在觉得它这次 对于Q2 iphone sales
和 rev 的预期十分没有信心的样子,隐隐感觉现在是aapl 进入一个downturn的开始
现在的价位不上不下,基于现在对growth的concern,现在价位不算低。如果它到70-
90,那个valuation就非常好了。
你什么意见
z**********3
发帖数: 11979
2
来自主题: Stock版 - 人民日报又日人民
接连n天连续挑动民粹 声称索罗斯做空中国
见闻菌本来想先衷心感谢大家,但新近上任,就收到不少华尔街见闻用户反馈,询问华
尔街见闻是“索罗斯做空人民币”的新闻源吗?本菌一开始也吓到。然而检索之后,华
尔街见闻编辑们并没有写过这个意思呀。
这个疑问出自凯迪社区一条帖子《是谁在编造索罗斯做空中国的谣言》(以下称“《谣
言》”),文章作者“系统论”,曾在凯迪上发过3篇文章,唯一一位粉丝是凯迪认证
的“值班编辑72”……
关于这篇《谣言》,见闻菌讲三段话:
《谣言》:
“近日,关于索罗斯向中国宣战,做空人民币的新闻充斥各大网站,索罗斯向中国宣战
,做空人民币的新闻源自何处,是否属实……网上搜了一下,这则新闻最早
出现在16年1月22日08时07分《华尔街见闻》。”
见闻菌:《谣言》援引的《索罗斯:我做空了美股和亚洲货币 做多美债》一文(查看
全文),确实是近期涉及索罗斯言论较早的中文报道。然而文章多数内容是谈美联储和
美股,本菌和大多数读者应该感受一样,索罗斯是美国金融业历经风霜的老同志,怎么
一下把他调到中国的媒体版面上去了…R... 阅读全帖
s*********4
发帖数: 468
3
Rogers Holdings Chairman Jim Rogers is certain that the U.S. economy will be
in recession in the next 12 months.
During an interview on BloombergTV, the famous investor said that there was
a 100 percent probability that the U.S. economy would be in a downturn
within one year.
"It's been seven years, eight years since we had the last recession in the U
.S. and normally, historically we have them every four to seven years for
whatever reason—at least we always have," he said. "It doesn't have to
h... 阅读全帖
S*******g
发帖数: 843
4
来自主题: Stock版 - 航空股有见底信号了
Relatively low fuel costs, high load factors and tourism tailwinds have
handed Southwest Airlines (LUV) and Delta Air Lines (DAL) some solid gains.
Yet both airlines have seen their shares fall this year. Southwest is down 7
.1% year to date, while Delta has fallen 25%.
This is presenting investors with excellent opportunities to grab shares in
these "battleship" airline stocks at bargain-basement prices.
1. Delta Air Lines
After nearly nine decades, Delta is the oldest airline still operating i... 阅读全帖
e******d
发帖数: 318

发帖数: 1
6
有些可能但我不觉得会像去年一样大降。42-43 左右会有強支撑。


: http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2016-07-21/why-another-oil-price-downturn-distinct-possibility

b******r
发帖数: 16603
7
Won't be that bad I guess.
If so, still can make a killing during the downturn.
s*****a
发帖数: 3387
8
来自主题: Stock版 - 今天又是 V SHAPE ?
Technology stocks looked set for another selloff early Friday, with tech-
focused Nasdaq-100 stock futures trading firmly lower extending a downturn
for the group begun midday Thursday, with Amazon delivering quarterly
earnings that disappointed expectations.

发帖数: 1
9
来自主题: Stock版 - MU WDC 不要捞
差不多就是这样,价格高的时候大家拼命扩容增产,到了downturn卖不出大家又傻眼了
,争相降价造成价格暴跌。很难知道什么时候到拐点,所以不要太重仓。


: http://investorplace.com/2017/07/barrons-has-an-opinion-on-micron-technology-inc-mu-stock-ignore-it/#.WXt-_YTyuUk

: 原因就这么简单呗,哪怕现在还没跌。内存价格跌25%,MU就没利润,别看现在
一季度1

: .6B的cash,快赶上amzn。跌25%挺容易的。


发帖数: 1
10
来自主题: Stock版 - JUNO & RDFN
I will weather the storm and hold my RDFN shares into ER on Sept. 7. Its
price at 22.xx looks close to the bottom of recent downturn from technical
point of view.
The bullish reasons for the upcoming ER:
Storng RE season in Summer.
Strong housing market recently reported.
The monetization of app by bringing ad model.
Redfin revenues for the three months ended March 2017 grew 44% to $59.9
million and they has managed to deliver robust growth in the past as well.
There is no reason they will miss ... 阅读全帖
W***n
发帖数: 11530
11
These Will Be the World's Top Economies in 2020 By Julia Hawley | Updated
June 27, 2016 — 11:07 AM EDT
By the year 2020, a great shift will have occurred in the worldwide balance
of economic power. Analysts predict emerging market economies will become
some of the most important economic forces, and China will take the top spot
in the list of the world’s largest economies by gross domestic product (
GDP), both outright and measured in terms of purchasing power parity.
The Current Top Economies o... 阅读全帖
W***n
发帖数: 11530
12
NVIDIA Corp. (NASDAQ:NVDA): Could Become Bigger Than Intel
InvestorPlace Dana Blankenhorn,InvestorPlace 7 hours ago
Reactions Sign in to like Reblog on Tumblr Email
There is no stopping the stock of NVIDIA Corp. (NASDAQ:NVDA), the graphics
chip designer that dominates gaming and, increasingly, Artificial
Intelligence (AI).
nvidia stock
The shares are up 76% in 2017, with analysts pounding the table for it and
one even nick-naming a dog for it. The latest price target of $250 per share
woul... 阅读全帖
w****o
发帖数: 2260
13
来自主题: Stock版 - 回顾历史啦,以史为鉴
是的,当时的人看不清楚。JDSU是光通讯的老大。太疯狂啦。员工人人都是百万,千万
,亿万富翁。
看看wikipedia上的介绍:
股票每三个月就拆股2:1一次,这样弄了三次,就是这样拆股后股价还有$153.
可惜,衰败后员工人数从3万变成了5000。
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/JDSU
During the 1990s, JDS Uniphase stock was a high-flyer tech stock investor
favorite. Its stock price doubled three times and three stock splits of 2:1
occurred roughly every 90 days during the last half of 1999 through early
2000, making millionaires of many employees who were stock option holders,
and further enabling JDS Uniphase to go ... 阅读全帖
T**y
发帖数: 1024
14
就讲一条,
DRAM摩尔定律到头了,产量满足不了需求, DRAM产业在可预见的未来不会再有任何
downturn。
信不信由你。
T**y
发帖数: 1024
15
就讲一条,
DRAM摩尔定律到头了,产量满足不了需求, DRAM产业在可预见的未来不会再有任何
downturn。
信不信由你。
T**y
发帖数: 1024
16
nice :)
还是这句话,存储器的周期已经被打断了,没有downturn,只能上涨,micron一年要赚
100亿美元纯利润。
99%的人看不到。
Q********g
发帖数: 2465
17
来自主题: Stock版 - 感谢衰哥感谢党

我啥时候骂过你
就是在downturn时候抱怨几句而已
我一直说我买的是垃圾靠赔光了也没几个子儿,再次感谢土狗!


: 拿着我的pick赚钱还骂着我,不太够意思吧?以后我一个也不发了。 BTW:我昨
天已经

: 清了。

N*****d
发帖数: 9872
a***r
发帖数: 2677
19
这人有不同意见:
The Bank of Montreal has launched a 3x leveraged exchange-traded note with
FAANG plus four other successful stocks and also Twitter.
This is ridiculously volatile: Would suffer a 40%+ downturn in 85% of years.
Past results are amazing, but only due to selection/hindsight bias.
I own several leveraged funds long term, but would be very reluctant to add
this to my portfolio.
https://seekingalpha.com/article/4139752-dangerous-faang
大牛们怎么看?
L****n
发帖数: 12932
20
我觉得市场是活的,跟人一样,有hyper, 有depression. 有的时候是maniac, or
Desperation. 要感受市场的状态,你站在边上看图是看不出来的。要有钱在里面。我
在Robinhood留了一个小账户,中长期的操作,不到时间就不动。有的时候看着它跌,
能够更好地感觉到市场的波动。5/4那个信号就抓到了。 现在看看下个downturn能不能
逮住。
a*******m
发帖数: 14194
21
来自主题: Stock版 - 我的天然气的分析
Trump真是够二的,晃点完中国,晃点沙特。
前面大张旗鼓要制裁伊朗,又声称要维持油价不能暴涨,
让沙特带领OPEC增产,以填补空间;
结果,沙特答应帮忙了,Trump有waive 伊朗的制裁,
油价直接跌了20刀。
这也太坑爹了,把沙特当傻逼了。
这回OPEC要减产了,油价要反弹了。
'Duped,' 'tricked' and 'snookered': Oil analysts say Trump fooled Saudis
into tanking crude prices
https://www.cnbc.com/2018/11/15/trump-duped-saudis-into-tanking-oil-prices-
analysts-say.html?__source=yahoo%7Cfinance%7Cheadline%7Cstory%7C&par=yahoo&
yptr=yahoo
Oil markets analysts say it appears that the Trump administration tricked
Saudi Arabia and oth... 阅读全帖

发帖数: 1
22
https://www.barrons.com/articles/yield-curve-inversion-51553272263
The Yield Curve Just Inverted. What Does That Mean?
All three major U.S. stock market indexes took a downturn on Friday, as
investors responded to one of the key recession indicators: the so-called
inversion of the yield curve between the 10-year and three-month Treasuries
d********f
发帖数: 43471
23
原油价格比你想得复杂的多了,70%的原油是通过长约卖掉的,你在期货市场上交易的
原油不到10%。这次主要的担心还是bond,经过2014年downturn,油气公司负债率高的吓
人,14年以前都是银行求着借钱给油气公司
t*m
发帖数: 208
24
来自主题: Working版 - Re: how much to expect?

It seems to me that boss is not good on the other side. If that
dept is shut down, who can get a new offer? One of my colleague
who is very smart and hardworking got a new offer after 3 rounds
interview with lots of tough questions, and I donot think
boasting will work in this downturn.
a*****i
发帖数: 4391
25
来自主题: Working版 - [转载] 老板不希望我回国
【 以下文字转载自 JobHunting 讨论区 】
【 原文由 con 所发表 】
给我看了水星报上的文章。说我有可能回不来。
工作签证。
U.S. workers taking H-1B issues to court
By Jennifer Bjorhus
Mercury News
For years U.S. engineers have grumbled that foreign engineers on work visas
were getting their jobs. Now, for the first time, U.S. workers are filing
formal complaints with the government and in court, charging that foreign
guest workers are replacing them during the downturn.
The complaints contend that citizens were either laid off or not hired in
fav
g*****g
发帖数: 34805
26
来自主题: Working版 - 这两份工作该怎么取舍?
Take 1. Don't even think 2, not something you can handle.
I work in small company, it's not just pressure, small
company has high turn over rate, they expect you to be
ready and know everything by yourself. In an economic downturn,
better take a stable job like 1.
M*********y
发帖数: 300
27
公司有钱.DRAM and Flash以前很bloody,不过现在看前景也还不错.如果是唯一offer,
当然应该去,至少混过经济downturn再说. 另外,滑雪很方便. 至于找bf,当然不如大城
市啦.
q**x
发帖数: 1636
28
来自主题: Working版 - 老板经常让帮别人怎么办
just say No. and learn the correct way to review other indian's work. Review
does not mean you need to write NEW code or correct any thing. Review means
you provide some opinion and learn to drag along. If you boss said you need
to write to make the code working. Then you should ask your manager to add
you to the author of the code and that you present the work to users.
You do not have the obligation to wipe ass for others. Learn to fight for
your own right and credit. Credit and Respect are ea... 阅读全帖
r*********a
发帖数: 148
29
Do you think they will take it off the letter if you ask? Then ask them. But
if they don't, it is okay.
Permanent is just an employment term, meaning it is not a temporary position
which has a specific term no matter what the funding sources are. Vast
majority of permanent positions can be eliminated due to economy downturn,
revenue drop or funding availability. So 这个职位是dependent on funding
availability和permanent不矛盾.
t******w
发帖数: 2
30
来自主题: Immigration版 - 大家的律师具体负责哪些工作?
In addition to collect money, they may offer your some sample letters.
Just wonder why, in this downturn economy,immigration_attorney firms still
have business and no any bankruptcy report.
g******e
发帖数: 760
31
bullshit. If you were at that time, everything was fair. You cannot blame
Eb3 porting since everybody wants to move up (better job, better life). In
fact it didn't change any 游戏规则. It's even more bullshit that you think
people who got laid off during economic downturn should leave U.S.. Because
you were not able to join at that time, you have sour grape feeling now.

份,
N*******r
发帖数: 1098
32
来自主题: EB23版 - 新年到, 理智分析。
Copied from Trackitt;
Here is an interesting data published by December 29, 2011 by DHS. It was
basically released by USCIS Ombudsman's Office and talks about improving
quality in Extraordinary Ability and other Employment Based Petition
Adjudications.
However, the most interesting part is on Page 6 of the PDF document. Look at
the first graph where number of I-140 receipts filed at both TSC and NSC in
EB2 category have significantly gone down in 2008 and especially in 2009.
Number of EB2 I-140 ... 阅读全帖
p*****a
发帖数: 3634
33
Here is an interesting data published by December 29, 2011 by DHS. It was
basically released by USCIS Ombudsman's Office and talks about improving
quality in Extraordinary Ability and other Employment Based Petition
Adjudications.
However, the most interesting part is on Page 6 of the PDF document. Look at
the first graph where number of I-140 receipts filed at both TSC and NSC in
EB2 category have significantly gone down in 2008 and especially in 2009.
Number of EB2 I-140 receipts do pick up in... 阅读全帖
H******i
发帖数: 4704
34
此信出于NIU理事,法学院高材生Daphne亲笔,我只修改了一句,稍微动了一下顺序。她
在龙年除夕辛苦找材料,设身处地地从各种角度思考如何能够最有效地传达我们的声音
。我们应该谢谢她而且祝她新年快乐!
给Chuck Grassley的请愿信如下。从他此前的LEADING EFFORTS来看,他关心的是美国
市场、美国出口利益和美国人的工作机会,他并不CARE且反对 IMMIGRANTS MINORITY
的利益。所以这封信是从美国选民的角度写的。
http://www.grassley.senate.gov/contact.cfm
--------------------------------------------------------
Dear Senator Grassley,
Senator Grassley, during your over-half-century diligent service to this
country and the State of Iowa, you've earned your name as the American
Worker ... 阅读全帖
r********n
发帖数: 1162
35
来自主题: EB23版 - From Q's blog
From Q's blog:
http://www.qesehmk.org/forums/showthread.php?148-EB2-Prediction
Employment-based priority dates will advance again with the March Visa
Bulletin, likely by at least a few months. An advance of six months is
possible, although an advance of one year is not likely. He will know as
this month moves on. With normal USCIS adjustment of status processing times
of four-to-six months, March is the last time for Mr. Oppenheim to get the
AOS cases filed and possibly approved in FY2012. He wi... 阅读全帖
p*****a
发帖数: 3634
36
来自主题: EB23版 - ZZ from Trackitt
Visa Office Update on Priority Dates and Demand
Cite as "AILA InfoNet Doc. No. 12012349 (posted Jan. 23, 2012)"
On Thursday, January 19, 2012, Business committee chair Mike Nowlan and
Students & Scholars committee member, Roberta Freedman, discussed the Visa
Bulletin, visa demand in the employment preference categories, and
predictions for FY2012 with Charlie Oppenheim of the Visa Office. Notes from
that discussion are:
EB green card usage has been very slow in FY2012, so DOS is advancing the
da... 阅读全帖
H******i
发帖数: 4704
37
来自主题: EB23版 - 给老头的三封信
此信出于NIU理事,法学院高材生Daphne亲笔,我只修改了一句,稍微动了一下顺序。她
在龙年除夕辛苦找材料,设身处地地从各种角度思考如何能够最有效地传达我们的声音
。我们应该谢谢她而且祝她新年快乐!
给Chuck Grassley的请愿信如下。从他此前的LEADING EFFORTS来看,他关心的是美国
市场、美国出口利益和美国人的工作机会,他并不CARE且反对 IMMIGRANTS MINORITY
的利益。所以这封信是从美国选民的角度写的。
http://www.grassley.senate.gov/contact.cfm
--------------------------------------------------------
Dear Senator Grassley,
Senator Grassley, during your over-half-century diligent service to this
country and the State of Iowa, you've earned your name as the American
Worker ... 阅读全帖
b*******3
发帖数: 196
38
I guess there are still a lot of EB2C waiting for Visa Numbers.
Don't forget NIWs are also EB2C. There could be quite a number of them in
the queue.
Another possibility is that due to the rapid advance of EB2C cutoff date in
2012, USCIS has taken a huge number of 485 EB2C demand, since these people
have been waiting for Visa Numbers for 3 years, they absolutely deserve one;
however, there could be another surge of 485 EB2C demand coming in recently
for those people who have been laid off, lost j... 阅读全帖
e**a
发帖数: 321
39
来自主题: EB23版 - 13年11月的PD无力吐槽
13年6月的 行业downturn。。就怕被雷阿。。。
l*****u
发帖数: 1788
40
这形势下你真的认为能冲到自己?
建议赶紧走,抓紧时间办PERM。明年大选年前经济都会还不错的除了个别行业downturn
。等大选以后你再想跳,这PERM真未必搞得定。
m*****1
发帖数: 45
41
来自主题: EB23版 - 失业保险能不能领?
Unemployment Insurance可以领的。你有工资时候每个月的paycheck会扣一些钱交这个
保险,跟政府的救济不一样。所以只要你有在美国的合法身份就可以申请。
不确定的话给Unemployment Insurance的部门打个电话就好了,我LD失业的时候打过,
被人家教育了一顿说好多人分不清这个insurance和政府救济,都不来领钱。
http://www.bellareyes.com/the-effects-of-the-economic-downturn-
It is important to understand that unemployment benefits are not public
charges per se because first, they are from insurance programs paid for by
the employers; second, there is no government fee for this service; and
third, there is no requirement for the ... 阅读全帖
e**a
发帖数: 321
42
不要轻信we can file EB3 later。风险是公司的policy随时可能会变,行业downturn
,被merge被收购都不是你能够控制的。有些公司换税号后就不给降级了,因为之前
perm是老的税号。早一点排两条队,早一天安心.
t*********8
发帖数: 134
43
来自主题: Australia版 - 澳元汇率只有 91 美分了
这个预测说到明年年底要到80 美分,不知靠谱不
Slump Strips Aussie Dollar of 'Poster Child' Status
The Australian dollar was served a double blow on Thursday, falling to its
lowest level against the U.S. dollar since 2010, on concerns around the U.S.
Federal Reserve scaling back the pace of stimulus and a downturn in key
trading partner China's manufacturing sector.
And strategists expect the commodity currency, which is the second worst-
performing this year after the Japanese yen, to head further south in the
months... 阅读全帖
c**i
发帖数: 6973
44
来自主题: Taiwan版 - 一点小困惑 (z)
Bruce Einhorn, Good Time for Cheap Cell Phones; China's ZTE. the world's No.
6 jandset maker, using lower pricing to gain on rivals stung by the
downturn. BusinessWweek, Apr. 30, 2009 (title in the print).
http://www.businessweek.com/magazine/content/09_19/b4130028108034.htm
c**i
发帖数: 6973
45
来自主题: Taiwan版 - Macao Quiet
Justine Lau, Macao casinos fall quiet. Financial Times, Oct. 16, 2008
http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/e34e4540-9b96-11dd-ae76-000077b07658.html?nclick_check=1
("Of all the victims of a downturn in Chinese tourism, Macao stands to lose
the most")
c**i
发帖数: 6973
46
来自主题: Taiwan版 - Taiwan Tech Sector in Peril
Jonathan Adams, Global downturn has Taiwan high-tech companies reeling.
International Herald Tribune, Nov. 21, 2008.
http://www.iht.com/articles/2008/11/20/technology/tech21.php
Note: IHT is a Paris-based subsidiary of New York Times Company.
c**i
发帖数: 6973
47
That is the title of a report today by PC World.
http://tech.yahoo.com/news/pcworld/20081210/tc_pcworld/downturnhitstaiwansfoundrychipmakers_1
("November consolidated sales at the world's largest contract chip maker
fell to NT$20.6 billion (US$615.2 million), down 34 percent compared to the
same month last year")
Compare with
Taiwan Semiconductor sales down nearly 40 per cent. DPA. Dec. 10, 2008.
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. (TSMC) on Dec. 10 announces the
November sale figures in its
c**i
发帖数: 6973
48
来自主题: Taiwan版 - Ideology
Whether the notion of small government is better than the tax-and-spend
approach--that is the label Republicans in US pins on Democrats--remains to
be seen.
It is reported that Beijing is moving toward government-is-the-solution.
(1)
(a) First not all economic news coming out of China is bleak. See
Patti Waldmeir, Beijing Measures Help Chinese Shoppers Keep on Spending in
Spite of Global Downturn. Financial Times, Dec. 31, 2008.
http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/aa25ea88-d69d-11dd-9bf7-000077b07658.html
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发帖数: 6973
49
来自主题: Taiwan版 - SG and TW Worst Asian Economies in 2009
John Burton (in Singapore), Singapore fears 2% negative growth in 2009.
Financial Times, Jan. 5, 2009, at 3.
http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/1ec03b12-d939-11dd-ab5f-000077b07658.html?nclick_check=1
The summary in front page, written by the newspaper:
"Singapore blues Singapore forecasted its economy could contract by as much
as 2 per cent this year, threatening the city-state with its worst downturn
in nearly 50 years to draw near the bottom of Asian economic performance in
2009. Its economy depends
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发帖数: 6973
50
来自主题: Taiwan版 - Technology Advances
Moon Ihlwan, Samsung, LG Expand Their Lead in LCDs; Strong ties with TV
vendors and a weak currency likely give Korea's makers of LCD panels the
advantage over Taiwan's during the downturn/ BusinessWeek, Jan. 9, 2009.
http://www.businessweek.com/globalbiz/content/jan2009/gb2009017_354374.htm?chan=top+news_top+news+index+-+temp_global+business
Quote:
"AU Optronics (AUO), the leader in Taiwan and the global No. 3, saw its
market share for panels bigger than 10 inches plunge to 11% in November,
fro
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