s********n
发帖数: 1540 | 1 I am buying more to build a GOLD position of 0.5Million US Dollars.
Today's price for GOLD is a steal, central banks are so afraid of normal
civilians holding GOLD and have been claimed GOLD are heading downward for
decades.
10years ago, to make a illusion GOLD meaned nothing, Bank of England sold 50
% of its reserve @$290/OUNCE.
Now what?
Precious metal is very volatile, however, who cares? It is not the first day
I purchased. I purchased at the range of $700-1100.
In fact, we have stable incom |
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B*S
发帖数: 1328 | 2 with USD going up, gold will go down more, at least for now... |
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s*********y
发帖数: 125 | 3 I started two weeks before you, that was the very start of the downturn and
I lost 9% in three weeks.
Gained 8% in the rebound thenafter.
见好就收 is not a good practice in my opinion. I will take loss when my
stock is at -2% of my total capital, on the other hand keep it as long as it
has the rising momentum. |
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l*******r
发帖数: 3799 | 4 Materials leads the rally before every major correction/downturn.
Jun-July 08' , Jun-July 09' (~10%), Jan, 10' (~10%)
拭目以待。
But I don't think we will see a major correction this time .. probably only
a small one like what we saw during the second half of 2009. |
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i**y
发帖数: 1170 | 5 I guess a stock is due for a downturn if a lot of people are shooting
unrealistic satellites on this board.
Same thing for the market. |
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c**2
发帖数: 8496 | 6 I agree. ABK/CNLG were notorious, it will be a gamble.
Maybe I will buy MBI, many people bought high in past 2 weeks when it
reached between $5.9 and $6. It shouldn't be too risky to buy at 5.6
Can't buy much now being loaded with several losing stocks, and I don't want
to be high on stock and low on cash,because there is a possibility of
market downturn.
to
sure yet. |
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c**2
发帖数: 8496 | 7 I am placing an order to buy FAZ at a low price today, say 13.45? If it
really gets filled, I believe the market downturn will follow. |
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c**2
发帖数: 8496 | 8 pat pat, big fall. why? why today? after a full week of downturn. |
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c*********8
发帖数: 1681 | 9 don't feel it will fall anytime soon, given the ER is coming out soon and
IPAD is such a hit in the market.
250 can be expected, and we can see some downturn after that. |
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c****x
发帖数: 127 | 10 参赛ID: carrix
Pick#1 (Long/Short,权重比): 50% long DNDN
Pick#2 (Long/Short,权重比): 50% short IWM
Best biotech + prepare for market downturn. |
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t*********7
发帖数: 900 | 11 "Plunge Protection Team" was originally the headline for an article in The
Washington Post on February 23, 1997,[2] and has since become a colloquial
term used by some mainstream publications to refer to the Working Group.[3][
4] Initially, the term was used to express the opinion that the Working
Group was being used to prop up the markets during downturns.[5][6]
Financial writers for British newspapers The Observer and The Daily
Telegraph, along with U.S. Congressman Ron Paul and writers K |
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d****a
发帖数: 2901 | 12 we are at support. NASDAQ will lead the market out of this downturn. |
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b******r
发帖数: 16603 | 13 Wall Street: The First Hindenburg Omen Confirmed
The feared Hindenburg Omen was Thursday confirmed in the US stock market as
the number of new highs was 136, and new lows was at 69, according to The
Wall Street Journal‘s interactive Market Data Center.
“The more confirmations, the scarier it gets from a technical perspective,
not to mention the conversion into a self-fulfilling prophecy.”
The first omen was spotted on August 12th: “The indicator may suggest a
savage equity downturn is imminent,” |
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c***y
发帖数: 286 | 14 What's your indicator to show there should be a downturn in the afternoon? |
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g******n
发帖数: 53185 | 15 后面又加了一句，将来任何downturn都是新的recession。说明没完呢 |
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L****n
发帖数: 12932 | 16 just read this and appears that JP Morgan has the same opinion:
==================================================================
J.P. Morgan does not see this as the bottom for the stock either. The bank
says AMD is in the first stage of a typical three stage semiconductor
inventory correction. The first stage is when a company lowers estimates,
the second stage is when the company acknowledges the downturn and when
earnings drop the most, and the third stage is when the company lowers
estimat |
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w*********s
发帖数: 2136 | 17 【 以下文字转载自 WorldNews 讨论区 】
发信人: whiteclouds (/ 参考消息 /), 信区: WorldNews
标 题: 10 Things About The Latest US Economic Number
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Sat Oct 9 15:51:23 2010, 美东)
On Friday, headlines across the United States declared that "unemployment
remains unchanged at 9.6%". Many analysts rejoiced and heralded this
announcement as a sign that we have hit bottom and that things will be
turning around soon. But is that the truth? A closer look at the
unemployment numbers reveals some disturbing facts.... 阅读全帖 |
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i**y
发帖数: 1170 | 18 Just saw this.
During the last economic growth period (2001-2007), people are having babies
.... 2007 birth rate is a multi-decades high. The first batch of retailers
to benefit from this boom is children's clothes. 2008 rise on GYMB is the
confirmation. Although during the economic downturn, people trade down to
PLCE after we see 2009 earnings.
I never thought GYMB could sell itself at this time....not sure what the
board is thinking.... Maybe it is outplayed by PLCE competition? Anyway, the
ou... 阅读全帖 |
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f**********g
发帖数: 2252 | 19 US Airways Swings To Profit As Key Revenue Metric Recovers
9 minutes ago - Dow Jones News
Related Companies
Symbol Last %Chg
LCC 10.59 4.96%
As of 9:35 AM ET 10/20/10
DOW JONES NEWSWIRES
US Airways Group Inc. (LCC) swung to a third-quarter profit as a key revenue
metric bounced back, lifting the top line.
Shares were up 4.3% at $10.52 in recent premarket trading as earnings beat
analysts' estimates. The stock has more than doubled this year.
The airline, which operates a mostly domestic network,... 阅读全帖 |
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o*******n
发帖数: 2035 | 20 AMR Corporation Reports Third Quarter Profit of $143 Million
Substantial Improvement Compared to Last Year, Despite Higher Fuel Prices
Recent Highlights Include: Launched Joint Business with British Airways and
Iberia
Received Tentative DOT Approval for Antitrust Immunity with Japan Airlines
Enhancing Strategic Position in Los Angeles
AMR Corporation On Wednesday October 20, 2010, 11:00 am
FORT WORTH, Texas, Oct. 20 /PRNewswire-FirstCall/ -- AMR Corporation, the
parent company of American Airlin... 阅读全帖 |
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w******s
发帖数: 16209 | 21 Hong Kong Adds Tax, Intensifies Housing Bubble Fight
Nov. 20 (Bloomberg) -- Hong Kong intensified a yearlong battle to curb
surging home prices with additional taxes and higher down payments a day
after the International Monetary Fund warned that asset inflation may derail
the city’s economy.
Homes sold within six months of purchase will incur a 15 percent stamp duty
from today, Financial Secretary John Tsang said in a briefing yesterday.
Down payments for homes costing HK$12 million ($1.5 milli... 阅读全帖 |
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L****n
发帖数: 12932 | 22
move
the
I'm not sure i understand your "10-yr trailing PE" very well. when talk
about trailing PE, most people refer to the "12 month trailing PE" ie the "
current PE". from this page on SP500's web site http://www.standardandpoors.com/indices/market-attributes/en/us, you can find the raw data in spreadsheet. i see the current PE of sp500 as of last quarter is 14.97(base on operating earning, taking out one time charge). too see another period that has the same number 14.XX, you have to go a... 阅读全帖 |
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c***m
发帖数: 2630 | 23 Is FOLLOWING your reason for buying BAC?
1. Bank of America's chart is incredible compared to what it was in 2007,
when it resembled the north face of Mount Everest. Cramer thinks the chart
itself is a "screaming buy" and wonders why it is inspiring so much
negativity.
2. The bank is well-capitalized and doesn't need to raise more money.
3. Dividend boosts are on the way.
4. Bank of America managed to snag 20% of the mortgage market during the
downturn. While having so many mortgages was a liabi... 阅读全帖 |
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c**2
发帖数: 8496 | 24 you were right. last January correction also started in MLK week and lasted
3 weeks. Airlines were not too bad (10% down), but insurance and finance
fell 30% during that downturn. |
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i******w
发帖数: 407 | 25 Acceleration in 4Q reflected a downturn in imports, higher consumer spending
, and an upturn in residential investment. |
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b******r
发帖数: 16603 | 26 I tried to bring down my LVS cost to $39 in the last Q. Will keep doing some
swing trading in the coming downturn. |
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v****e
发帖数: 19471 | 27 CYG always says when I start to talk seriously about the market, it is a sur
e sign for a downturn... |
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v*******g
发帖数: 334 | 28 7 Ways to Short China's Real Estate Bubble
http://www.thestreet.com/story/11060147/1/7-ways-to-short-china
NEW YORK (Insider Monkey) -More than a year ago Jim Chanos raised questions
about China's enormous real estate and construction investments and stated
that he is shorting China's real estate bubble. "Bubbles are best identified
by credit excesses, not valuation excesses," he said on CNBC, adding, "And
there's no bigger credit excess than in China."
Chanos didn't specifically lay out how he ... 阅读全帖 |
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W*****e
发帖数: 7759 | 29 【 以下文字转载自 Military 讨论区 】
发信人: umner (jhq), 信区: Military
标 题: Chinese Exports Hit Record for April
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Tue May 10 03:09:17 2011, 美东)
http://www.nytimes.com/2011/05/10/business/global/10yuan.html?_
Chinese Exports Hit Record for April
By KEITH BRADSHER
Published: May 10, 2011
* Recommend
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* Print
*
Reprints
* ShareClose
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o
HONG KONG — China’s export... 阅读全帖 |
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c*****r
发帖数: 8227 | 31 牛牛们注意了：这只是一个反弹！最后的胜利，是属于熊的！
原因，如下：
The risk of a double dip recession has climbed sharply as the economy
endures the double whammy of slowing growth and wild swings in global
markets, according to economists surveyed by The Wall Street Journal over
the past week.
The 46 economists in the survey—not all of whom answer every question—put
the odds that the U.S. is already in another recession at 13%, while they
peg the chances of going that way in the next year at 29%—up from 17% only
a month ago.
... 阅读全帖 |
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c*****r
发帖数: 8227 | 32 Data Signal Trouble for Economy
The U.S. economy is showing new signs of fatigue, depressing financial
markets, discouraging consumers and unsettling businesses.
New economic data signaled that manufacturing, which had been showing
strength, may soon join other indicators in pointing down. The Fed is
certainly watching but they are not yet ready to pull the trigger on another
quantitative easing program.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average lost 419.63 points, or 3.7%, Thursday, and
is down 9.5% for... 阅读全帖 |
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k********8
发帖数: 7948 | 33 http://www.zerohedge.com/news/guest-post-keynesian-solutions-af
Submitted by Jim Quinn Of The Burning Platform
Keynesian Solutions - After Total Failure -Try, Try Again
“Lenin is said to have declared that the best way to destroy the capitalist
system was to debauch the currency. By a continuing process of inflation,
governments can confiscate, secretly and unobserved, an important part of
the wealth of their citizens. By this method they not only confiscate, but
they confiscate arbitrarily; and... 阅读全帖 |
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c*****r
发帖数: 8227 | 34 The Near- and Longer-Term Prospects for the U.S. Economy
Good morning. As always, thanks are due to the Federal Reserve Bank of
Kansas City for organizing this conference. This year's topic, long-term
economic growth, is indeed pertinent--as has so often been the case at this
symposium in past years. In particular, the financial crisis and the
subsequent slow recovery have caused some to question whether the United
States, notwithstanding its long-term record of vigorous economic growth,
might n... 阅读全帖 |
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i******e
发帖数: 49 | 35 请问达人. 这两个操作有什么不同? 听说它们都有decay. 如果是这样, 同样的条件下,
市场downturn, short FAS肯定要好过 buy faz.
那为什么faz还有存在的必要呢? |
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h*******a
发帖数: 573 | 36 Not sure where you watch your news. Obama wanted to extend only the tax cuts
for the middle class and raise taxes on the top 5% richest in the country.
But the Republicans rejected any tax increases and threatened not to approve
extending unemployment benefits. So Obama conceded (When did he not concede
?) to the Republican blackmail by extending the tax cuts for the super rich.
Some bits of history for the Bush tax cuts:
http://www.nytimes.com/2010/08/23/opinion/23krugman.html
http://krugman.bl... 阅读全帖 |
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c*********o
发帖数: 8367 | 37 Netflix says it's sorry, then creates new uproar
Red envelopes and red faces: Netflix apologizes after price hike, then
causes another uproar
ap
tweet130
Email
Print
This screen shot shows Qwikster.com, a new website service available soon
from Netflix. Netflix Inc. plans to separate its DVD-by-mail service and
streaming video businesses. CEO Reed Hastings said on Sunday in a blog
posting that the DVD service will be called Qwikster while the streaming
business will be housed under t... 阅读全帖 |
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c*****r
发帖数: 8227 | 38 一个犹太的自白。希望你有耐心看完。
Why Are Jews Liberals?
By NORMAN PODHORETZ
One of the most extraordinary features of Barack Obama's victory over John
McCain was his capture of 78% of the Jewish vote. To be sure, there was
nothing extraordinary about the number itself. Since 1928, the average
Jewish vote for the Democrat in presidential elections has been an amazing
75%—far higher than that of any other ethno-religious group.
Yet there were reasons to think that it would be different in 2008. The main
one was ... 阅读全帖 |
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e*********a
发帖数: 36 | 39 if I remember correctly, gold took a nosedive in 2008 when the stock market
crashed.If it is a bull market correction, gold is likely to go up as the
safe haven. However, if there is deflation/bear market/US$ appreciation,
gold is more likely to exprerience a significant downturn. |
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c*****r
发帖数: 8227 | 40 ECRI 全文：
U.S. Economy Tipping into Recession
Early last week, ECRI notified clients that the U.S. economy is indeed
tipping into a new recession. And there’s nothing that policy makers can do
to head it off.
ECRI’s recession call isn’t based on just one or two leading indexes, but
on dozens of specialized leading indexes, including the U.S. Long Leading
Index, which was the first to turn down – before the Arab Spring and
Japanese earthquake – to be followed by downturns in the Weekly Leading
Ind... 阅读全帖 |
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t********2
发帖数: 638 | 41 http://blogs.wsj.com/marketbeat/2011/09/30/recession-is-a-done-
Quotes:
ECRI’s recession call isn’t based on just one or two leading indexes, but
on dozens of specialized leading indexes, including the U.S. Long Leading
Index, which was the first to turn down – before the Arab Spring and
Japanese earthquake – to be followed by downturns in the Weekly Leading
Index and other shorter-leading indexes. In fact, the most reliable forward-
looking indicators are now collectively behaving as they did o... 阅读全帖 |
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o**y
发帖数: 3065 | 42 A rising TED spread often presages a downturn in the U.S. stock market, as
it indicates that liquidity is being withdrawn. |
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f******d
发帖数: 6361 | 43 WASHINGTON (AP) -- For more Americans, being out of work has become a semi-
permanent condition.
Nearly one-third of the unemployed -- nearly 4.5 million people -- have had
no job for a year or more. That's a record high. Many are older workers who
have found it especially hard to find jobs.
And economists say their prospects won't brighten much even after the
economy starts to strengthen and hiring picks up. Even if they can find a
job, it will likely pay far less than their old ones did.
The o... 阅读全帖 |
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p****a
发帖数: 4829 | 44 If QQQ close red, it is more likely we will start downturn. |
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x*n
发帖数: 68 | 45 今早看到的一片文章，觉得写得很好，分享一下。不知道大牛们读了，有什么见地？
http://www.nashuatelegraph.com/business/942344-192/finding-blam
Finding blame for American Airline’s bankruptcy
DALLAS – Those looking for easy answers to American Airlines’ bankruptcy
filing are likely to be disappointed.
“You’re talking about the straw that broke the camel’s back. But which
one of the straws?” asked Rich Gritta, a University of Portland management
professor who specializes in aircraft finance.
He ticked off some of the reasons. “Fuel price... 阅读全帖 |
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k********n
发帖数: 18523 | 46 'The company is on the right course'
Bank of America Chairman Charles "Chad" Holliday
Bank of America Chairman Chad Holliday says the Charlotte-based
bank is on the right track.
Holliday, a former DuPont CEO, tries to reassure shareholders in his annual
proxy letter that the bank is turning the corner as it seeks to recover from
a five-year period of economic downturn and aftermath.
"Brian (Moynihan) and the management team are making progress in a difficult
environment," Holliday s... 阅读全帖 |
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t******g
发帖数: 252 | 47 I think we have similar account size. I've read your posts on your
percentage and money change.
The only good thing for me is that I've raised some cash for this downturn.
And I've been buying in the last few days. It might turn uglier. But I was
holding full position last summer and I remember losing like 30 something Ks
a day. |
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l*******0
发帖数: 342 | 48 I sold further call to offset/hedge my Cost. ( max downturn is $50)
★ 发自iPhone App: ChineseWeb - 中文网站浏览器 |
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c****t
发帖数: 5452 | 49 夏天的时候大家都瞪着眼睛等果子，结果等来了果子的weak view. |
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