m********g
发帖数: 10469 | 1 盘了太久，跌是必然。好奇为啥１个月都护不了，都护了这么久 |
|
T**********1
发帖数: 2406 | 2 Dont know. Guess it does not matter any more. |
|
|
z****z
发帖数: 2054 | 4 Ross自己在energy sector上已经押了宝了, 看来是志在必得:
Wilbur Ross, known for big investments in downtrodden industries, is betting
that the oil and gas slump has dragged on long enough to shake out weaker
players.
His investment firm, WL Ross & Co., has purchased hundreds of millions of
dollars in troubled energy debt in a bid to take control of distressed oil
and gas companies if they are forced to hand over ownership to creditors,
according to people familiar with the matter. The firm sat out the early
inning... 阅读全帖 |
|
z****z
发帖数: 2054 | 5 By selecting Iowa Governor Terry Branstad as US Ambassador to China, Preside
nt-elect Donald Trump chose a man who Chinese President Xi Jinping considers
a "friend." But as a friend, Branstad will be the messenger to deliver the
hard truth that the days of America bowing and scraping at China's feet are
over.
To start, Trump and Branstad should put a quick end to China's economic espi
onage and outright theft. And make no mistake: China is stealing from the U.
S. economy on a staggering scale.
B... 阅读全帖 |
|
发帖数: 1 | 6 Thirteen Alabama counties, previously exempt from food stamp work
requirements, showed an 85 percent decrease in food stamp enrollment after
work requirements were reinstated, according to data from the Alabama
Department of Human Resources.
As of January 1, 2017, 5,538 able-bodied adults without young children who
resided in the 13 counties received food stamps. By May 1, 2017, that number
decreased to 831, an 85 percent drop, AL.com reported.
Statewide, 13,663 able-bodied adults without young ... 阅读全帖 |
|
P*O
发帖数: 4324 | 7 现在看有些好处哈，保证了底层劳动力不流失。但是事物都有两面，经济好时大家容易
挣到钱，连毒贩的收入估计都是年年新高，去好区打劫的自然少，如果经济downturn,
好区治安眨眼就会变糟糕，穷人坏人没钱挣了自然最简单的就是劫富，到时候楼主别忘
了来版上叫苦哈。 |
|
T*****u
发帖数: 3257 | 8 4. What is Medicaid’s role in the federal budget?
Medicaid is the third-largest domestic program in the federal
budget.
As a low-income program, Medicaid is exempt from automatic budget
reductions included in the Budget
Control Act.
Federal deficit reduction discussions continue to include Medicaid.
The House budget plan converts
Medicaid to a block grant and repeals the ACA cutting federal Medicaid
spending by 38% by 2022.
Twice during the last decade the leg... 阅读全帖 |
|
|
|
e***a
发帖数: 15 | 11 China Losing Taste for Debt From U.S. --NYT
By KEITH BRADSHER
Published: January 7, 2009
HONG KONG — China has bought more than $1 trillion of American debt, but as
the global downturn has intensified, Beijing is starting to keep more of
its money at home, a move that could have painful effects for American
borrowers.
The declining Chinese appetite for United States debt, apparent in a series
of hints from Chinese policy makers over the last two weeks, with official
statistics due for release in |
|
xt
发帖数: 17532 | 12 不是。说着说着就到了currency 上去了
Soaring prices threaten not only India's economic
comeback but also its position (alongside China)
as a world leader in the global financial revival.
China and India's continued strong demand for
natural resources and consumer products helped
keep the global economy afloat through the downturn.
But in China, worries about rising prices are
beginning to take root following more than a year
of extremely loose lending policies.
Chinese consumer price inflation hit 2.7 per cen |
|
E*V
发帖数: 17544 | 13 【 以下文字转载自 Military 讨论区 】
发信人: EUV (奶特都是卖国贼), 信区: Military
标 题: Re: Chinese Premier Wen Says Europe Should Refrain From See
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Wed Oct 6 20:38:05 2010, 美东)
BRUSSELS (Reuters) – Chinese Premier Wen Jiabao told the European Union on
Wednesday to stop piling pressure on Beijing to revalue its currency, saying
a rapid shift could unleash disastrous social turmoil.
Wen told an EU-China business forum in Brussels that China would implement a
reform of its currency regime announced in Jun... 阅读全帖 |
|
w*********s
发帖数: 2136 | 14 On Friday, headlines across the United States declared that "unemployment
remains unchanged at 9.6%". Many analysts rejoiced and heralded this
announcement as a sign that we have hit bottom and that things will be
turning around soon. But is that the truth? A closer look at the
unemployment numbers reveals some disturbing facts. For example, according
to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, a broader measure of unemployment that
includes workers that have stopped looking for work rose sharply to ... 阅读全帖 |
|
t******4
发帖数: 2300 | 15 CAIRO (AP) - Egypt's military rulers called for an end to strikes and
protests Monday as thousands of state employees, from ambulance drivers to
police and transport workers, demonstrated to demand better pay in a growing
wave of labor unrest unleashed by the democracy uprising that ousted Hosni
Mubarak's regime.
The statement by the ruling military council that took power from Mubarak
appeared to be a final warning to protest organizers in labor and
professional unions before the army intervene... 阅读全帖 |
|
d******i
发帖数: 632 | 16 Dead Man's Curve, it is indeed very pathetic. I usually don't hit on brake
on highway except for traffic conditions, but that stupid 90 degree turn
made me very nervous that day. The thing is that because of economy
downturn and generous lanes in Ohio, there are very few cars on highway and
everyone drives 80 mph, all of a sudden you have to slow down to 40-45 mph. I
saw a lot of tire tracks on that turn. Feel sorry for all the accidents
happened at that site. |
|
l*****g
发帖数: 556 | 17 Car price from 2011 to now is abnormal.
Last year car price was super high due to Japan's earthquake.
This year for the first 5 months, most car manufacturers had over 10% sale
increase due to the fact that many consumers hold off buying for long long
time.
From June, car sale start to decrease. Since USA is now the only profitable
auto market, more discounts from manufacturers to fight for market shares. (
according to truecar and edmunds)
My guess is: If ecomonic downturn happen again oversupp... 阅读全帖 |
|
kn
发帖数: 2446 | 18 如果没有downturn呢
profitable
(
happen |
|
d********n
发帖数: 1856 | 19 wow, it is true
http://www.globalatlanta.com/article/17442/
Responding to the worldwide economic downturn, Delta has also suspended
flights between Atlanta and Shanghai, China, and Seoul, South Korea,
beginning Sept. 1 as the airline cuts international capacity by another 5
percent on top of the 10 percent reductions it announced last year. |
|
c***m
发帖数: 2630 | 20 >>>Central banks around the world have a history of taking small steps at first when they begin raising interest rates after a long period of keeping them low in response to an economic downturn. Because China does not have a well-developed bond trading market, the yields on the weekly sales of central bank bills are widely watched as a barometer of the central bank’s intentions.
The central bank sells its bills mainly to banks, which pay in renminbi that the central bank then effectively takes |
|
W*****e
发帖数: 7759 | 21 【 以下文字转载自 Military 讨论区 】
发信人: umner (jhq), 信区: Military
标 题: Chinese Exports Hit Record for April
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Tue May 10 03:09:17 2011, 美东)
http://www.nytimes.com/2011/05/10/business/global/10yuan.html?_
Chinese Exports Hit Record for April
By KEITH BRADSHER
Published: May 10, 2011
* Recommend
* Twitter
* Sign In to E-Mail
* Print
*
Reprints
* ShareClose
o Linkedin
o Digg
o MySpace
o Permalink
o
HONG KONG — China’s export... 阅读全帖 |
|
d*******g
发帖数: 1978 | 22 hahahaha
cash is king, half load is good enough.
if you look at MACD of ASHR, downturn is around the corner |
|
c*f
发帖数: 977 | 23 It looks reasonable. But you may also want to check other schools that
publish the salary information for 2008-2010 to see the trend. The economy
took a downturn at the end of 2008 and catch up lately. I'm not sure how the
current salary level is, compared to 2008 that's before the recession... |
|
r*****e
发帖数: 620 | 24 是的，而且如果industry downturn的周期，所有公司都裁人，下家不好找 |
|
m********8
发帖数: 341 | 25 http://web.wenxuecity.com/BBSView.php?SubID=myhouse&MsgID=1105702
即使这件事全天下都知道了， 马小三和出轨男只是没面子， 但很快人们就会忘了。
他们会开始朝夕相处的生活。出轨男不用再照顾两个小孩， 尤其不用照顾一个白天哭
晚上也哭的婴儿，生活变轻松了。马小三有出轨男帮着， 生活基本没变，而且新婚的
出轨男肯定要比结婚十年的丈夫来得殷勤。马小三的劳工也只是没了面子而已。 过不
了多久， 就会回国搬运了。
只有可怜的大奶，生活在昂贵的硅谷，干着竞争极其残酷的IT工作， 处在每天裁人的
经济downturn 时期, 每天清早送两孩去daycare, 晚上抢在daycare关门前接两孩. 尤
其两年后, 老大上小学了, 她就得跑两个地方去接和送. 老大病了, 她得呆家里. 老二
病了, 她得呆家里. 然后还要想着单亲家庭孩子的心理问题。我不相信她还有很多时间
去和律师见面. 我的一位恶心的男同事(也是硅谷wsn在办离婚) 就跟我说，他拖也要把
他老婆拖垮， 反正他有时间， 老婆带孩子忙。 在美国离婚拖个两三年是常事。我在
硅谷I |
|
|
s********n
发帖数: 1962 | 27 ☆─────────────────────────────────────☆
Taikonaut (遨游太空) 于 (Wed Feb 27 22:57:52 2008) 提到:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QiwaHO-hl3M
☆─────────────────────────────────────☆
twilighthu (深邃) 于 (Wed Feb 27 23:15:24 2008) 提到:
老巴, 呵呵, 我还是很感谢他老人家的...
☆─────────────────────────────────────☆
mccoy (cc) 于 (Wed Feb 27 23:50:06 2008) 提到:
他老人家目光远大，咱们说近点儿，凭什么DJI跌到11500就得回头？为什么不能回到
2006年初的水平？我就看这次的底得到10800，而且6月份不完就能到。这还是基于这次
recession比较温和的估计上，如果真是滞胀起来了，6月以后还有好戏。
当然，你要是跟Buffett是一条心，这次downturn就 |
|
p*******k
发帖数: 20 | 28 【 以下文字转载自 Stock 讨论区 】
发信人: pennbrook (得失随缘,心无增减), 信区: Stock
标 题: 从历史比较这次熊市
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Thu Oct 30 22:41:40 2008)
Bear markets: painful, but not uncommon
* There have been 13 bear markets (periods when the stock market
declines by 20% or more from peak to trough) since 1926, an average of one
every six years.1
* Down 43% in the past 12 months (October 2007 peak to October 2008
trough), the current downturn already ranks as the fifth worst bear market
ever, just behind 1973-74 and 200 |
|
s********z
发帖数: 5411 | 29 Good points.
I am wondering if there is such thing as manufacture monopoly. Can Chinese
manufacturers kill the manufacturing in developed countries and have their
own plants at countries where labor is even cheaper than China? Then, they
might have some pricing power.
Will a appreciated RMB paradoxically drive Chinese manufacturers away from
low value, labor intensive manufacturing to valued-added innovative
production? I think the current economic downturn will kill most of small
manufacture |
|
m*****u
发帖数: 1342 | 30 It's possible. I remember the preferred shareholders of Fannie/Freddie got
wiped out when the US gov took over. I think this is the reason why the
preferred for Citi and BAC (BoA) are so cheap now.
But look at the other hand, goverment screwed up badly when they wiped out
the preferred shareholders of Fannie/Freddie, many of them are small banks
in the US (who are already under stress in the downturn). Also, keep in mind
, issuing preferred is a very common way for the banks to get funds. Now th |
|
k****t
发帖数: 12697 | 31 like vgsix? also no load low cost fund. it seems they go up faster than
index during the boom but goes down morn in this downturn. better deal as
more mall store closing, timberland with income etc? |
|
x***i
发帖数: 395 | 32 考虑到现在利率很低，而且政府大量发行债券，那么中长期看，股市和经济恢复，给债
券型基金留下的就剩下滞涨或者下降了。
短期看，除非股市大跌，否则债券基金升值的空间也不大。
我上面的这个逻辑分析对么？请各位指正。
看下面wsj的文章
By JONNELLE MARTE
The economic downturn has some investors considering safe Treasury-bond
funds over riskier corporate-bond funds.
But those seeking to avoid the risk of bond defaults by turning to Treasury
funds should keep in mind that these funds can still decline in value, if
Treasury yields rise from current low levels.
Investors considering Treasury funds should "not make the |
|
x***i
发帖数: 395 | 33 我的个人分析
考虑到现在利率很低，而且政府大量发行债券，那么中长期看，股市和经济恢复，给债
券型基金留下的就剩下滞涨或者下降了。
短期看，除非股市大跌，否则债券基金升值的空间也不大。
看下面wsj的文章
By JONNELLE MARTE
The economic downturn has some investors considering safe Treasury-bond
funds over riskier corporate-bond funds.
But those seeking to avoid the risk of bond defaults by turning to Treasury
funds should keep in mind that these funds can still decline in value, if
Treasury yields rise from current low levels.
Investors considering Treasury funds should "not make the mistake of
as |
|
b*****e
发帖数: 1125 | 34 Thanks. However the current downturn is more like 1929's and 1980's. |
|
g*****g
发帖数: 34805 | 35 Layoff may have peaked
http://tiny.cc/qLSqk
This is 4 weeks moving average of new UI claim.
Recovery may be sluggish but downturn may be over. |
|
w*****m
发帖数: 21 | 36 I bought 200 shares Leucadia National Corp (LUK) at $23.45 on September 3,
2009. I paid additional $4.95 for this transaction. During this downturn and
previous Katrina disaster, I have bought BRK.B, BAM and L that have
business models similar to LUK. I still have others on my watch list. In its
2008 annual report, LUK summarized its business model:
"We tend to be buyers of assets and companies that are troubled or out of
favor and as a result are selling substantially below the values, which we |
|
c*****x
发帖数: 429 | 37 http://www.businessweek.com/ap/financialnews/D9DU2PR80.htm
Emerging Global Shares on Wednesday said it launched an exchange-traded fund
focused on infrastructure development in China.
The China Infrastructure Index ETF (CHXX) invests in 30 of the largest
public companies that focus on infrastructure development in the country.
The country is garnering immense investor interest because it's weathered
the economic downturn so much better than countries in the West. Most
international companies hav |
|
h*******y
发帖数: 864 | 38 Most people suppose that China's economic success depends on exporting cheap
goods to the rich world. If so, when US consumer weakened since 2009, China
's growth would already have been seriously dented by a stuttering American
economy.
The fact is: if exports are measured correctly, however, they account for a
surprisingly modest share of China's economic growth.
The headline ratio of exports to GDP is very misleading. It compares apples
and oranges: exports are measured as gross revenue while... 阅读全帖 |
|
Q***u
发帖数: 433 | 39 You missed the point. Stock market is not black and white and doesn't always behave according to textbooks. The general rule says small-cap usually overperforms during recovery and underperforms during downturn, but it's not something that is set in stone. I didn't even bother looking at the charts to see how many years IVV overperforms/underperforms compared to IJH/IJR, because (1) its last ten years' performance is not my reason to go with either IVV or IJR; and (2) past performance is NEVER a... 阅读全帖 |
|
l****y
发帖数: 8847 | 40 good point
always behave according to textbooks. The general rule says small-cap
usually overperforms during recovery and underperforms during downturn, but
it's not something that is set in stone. I didn't even bother looking at the
charts to see how many years IVV overperforms/underperforms compared to IJH
/IJR, because (1) its last ten years' performance is not my reason to go
with either IVV or IJR; and (2) past performance is NEVER : an indicator of
future returns.
(or at least most) major... 阅读全帖 |
|
t*m
发帖数: 4414 | 41 index funds/etf !
how can it get out early in downturn and beat its own benchmark? |
|
m******t
发帖数: 165 | 42 Thursday, the IMF released a report named World Economic Outlook.
Its analytic chapter says that the recent spike in oil prices suggest
that the global oil market has entered a period of increased scarcity.
According to the report, the origins of this scarcity can be traced to
the tension between the upward shift in global oil consumption growth
due to fast-growing emerging market economies and supply constraints,
which have led to a downshift in oil supply growth.
The report notes that scarc... 阅读全帖 |
|
k***n
发帖数: 3158 | 43 3 metals as barometers for the market
gold for deflation
silver for inflation
copper for economic bull
gold outperforms the other two signals deflation pressure
silver outperforms the other two signals inflation pressure
copper outperforms the other two signals bull market
with gold leading the way, copper has been terrible since Feb, and recent
smackdown of silver, deflation and a major market downturn are written
on the wall.
Be careful, guys. |
|
|
|
c****3
发帖数: 265 | 46 agree!
The paper income is not even "paper". The very fact that the house was
bought cheap indicate the possibility of downturn in house pricing. It won't
grow forever like in China.
Even in China the price will drop in 20 years, when old generation dies out:
consider one child from 4 adults, everyone might have 5 houses by then,
which takes away any upwards pushing. |
|
c****3
发帖数: 265 | 47 agree!
The paper income is not even "paper". The very fact that the house was
bought cheap indicate the possibility of downturn in house pricing. It won't
grow forever like in China.
Even in China the price will drop in 20 years, when old generation dies out:
consider one child from 4 adults, everyone might have 5 houses by then,
which takes away any upwards pushing. |
|
E**x
发帖数: 33 | 48 Did you invest on those houses during the 2009-2012 downturn? The
combination of low house price and low mortgage rate did produce some great
net return opportunities. But they are very rare now. |
|
E**x
发帖数: 33 | 49 Did you invest on those houses during the 2009-2012 downturn? The
combination of low house price and low mortgage rate did produce some great
net return opportunities. But they are very rare now. |
|
m*********a
发帖数: 3299 | 50 yield curve is widening more than 100 bps in the past several weeks, the
most dramatic rising of long term rate in the history with short term rate
moving very little. It is thus quite reasonable to assume that when FED
tapers its purchase of long term treasury bonds and MBSs, the yield curve
will continue to widen. FED withdraws the qualitative easing because
evidence starts to show that QE becomes very expensive but the effect on the
economy is smaller than expected. FED will not change its gu... 阅读全帖 |
|
